News linked to this event type.
: Retail bearish sentiment has hit a new multi-year record, while institutional positioning lags even further behind. As U.S. equities face an unprecedented disconnect between fundamentals and capital flows, analysts predict a rare "Wall Street expectation gap" is now underway. Last week, the S&P 500 index posted a cumulative gain of 22% since late March and broke through the 7,700-point mark for the first time in history. As investors digested the latest batch of earnings reports, the benchmark index closed roughly flat on Monday.Strategists at 22V Research have observed a notable divergence between the AAII Bull-Bear Spread and the firm's proprietary economic data index, which tracks a range of U.S. macro data releases. According to the firm's model, the current valuation deviation implies that the S&P 500 will rise by 1.6%, 5.1%, and 7.8% over the next one, three, and six months, respectively.Dennis DeBusschere, President and Chief Market Strategist at 22V Research, wrote in a note to clients: "The current reading of investor sentiment relative to economic data suggests market returns will be above normal levels."Alastair Pinder, Global Equity Strategist at HSBC, also noted that the many macro concerns that have emerged over the past few weeks have indeed given investors ample reason to question the current stock market rally.
Odaily News: According to Arkham monitoring, Galaxy Digital just transferred 600 BTC to Binance, worth $38.4 million, suspected to be a sell-off.
Odaily讯 According to Cyvers Alert monitoring, an Address Poisoning attack incident has been detected, resulting in the victim losing approximately $100,000 in USDT. The attacker carried out the "address poisoning" against the victim's wallet about 66 days ago by sending a transaction to create a malicious address record resembling an address the victim normally interacts with. Today, the victim failed to verify the full wallet address and mistakenly transferred funds to the attacker's address.Following the incident, in order to avoid potential freezing risks, the attacker has converted the stolen USDT into ETH, and the wallet currently holds approximately 52.8 ETH.Cyvers reminds users to always fully verify wallet addresses when making on-chain transfers, and to avoid relying solely on address records from transaction history. Meanwhile, security agencies recommend adopting AI-based on-chain security tools for real-time detection of abnormal transaction behavior, in order to reduce risks such as address poisoning and phishing attacks. Address poisoning attacks have become one of the common fraud methods in the crypto asset space in recent years. Attackers typically exploit users' habit of copying addresses from historical transactions by forging similar-looking addresses to trick users into transferring assets mistakenly.
Odaily News According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, global risk assets have shown a clear recovery over the past week, with major US stock indices collectively hitting new all-time highs. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.58%, 5.19%, and 2.96%, respectively. The crypto market also rebounded in tandem, with BTC up 2.1% on the week and ETH up 1.4%, bringing the total cryptocurrency market cap up 1.4%. On the capital flows front, BTC spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $853 million for the week, while ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of $244.9 million, indicating further improvement in institutional demand.In terms of industry developments, the integration of traditional finance and blockchain continues to advance. BlackRock has appointed JPMorgan to push forward the tokenization of a European money market fund, exploring 24/7 transfer of blockchain-based fund shares. Grayscale has filed an S-1 registration statement for the first US Worldcoin ETF, further deepening the connection between digital assets and traditional financial markets. Stablecoin infrastructure also remained active, with Yellow Card completing a $40 million strategic funding round and planning to expand its stablecoin account and payment infrastructure into Latin America and the Asia-Pacific markets.On the investment and financing front, eight deals were completed last week, with total disclosed funding reaching $90.64 million, focused on the infrastructure track. Overall, market risk appetite has seen some recovery, with institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure, stablecoins, and asset tokenization remaining key areas of continued industry focus.
Bitcoin analyst Plan B stated on the X platform that the core of Bitcoin's long-term value lies in scarcity, not short-term price fluctuations.Plan B believes that many people focus on Bitcoin's price charts, while the S2F model he uses focuses on the degree of asset scarcity. This model measures scarcity through "existing supply ÷ annual new production," where the S2F for gold is approximately 60. Due to Bitcoin's fixed total supply of 21 million coins and its predictable issuance schedule, its S2F is currently around 120 and continues to rise over time.The Bitcoin halving mechanism is an important driver of the S2F model. Approximately every four years, the Bitcoin network reduces the block reward by half, decreasing new supply and roughly doubling the S2F level, making it the core supply-side event observed by the model.Plan B emphasized that the S2F and its upgraded version, the S2FX model, predict long-term average value rather than precisely forecasting market tops or bottoms. Bitcoin's price typically fluctuates around the model's estimated value, and investors should focus on multi-year cycle averages rather than single-day price highs. Additionally, Plan B believes that as scarcity increases, Bitcoin is undergoing different stages of development, including proof of concept, payment network, "digital gold"/store of value asset, and institutional-grade financial asset. Each increase in scarcity could bring new market narratives and capital inflows.However, Plan B also reiterated that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." He stated that the S2F model is merely a tool for long-term understanding of Bitcoin's scarcity, not a trading signal or a "crystal ball" for price prediction. Although the model has withstood major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and China's mining ban, it still has limitations.
According to BIT analysts, the major IPO wave continues. Anthropic is currently expected to go public in late September or early October 2026. The trading price of its private secondary market shares has risen to $598, a significant increase from $59 in July 2025 and $162 in August 2025.
Odaily News: Gurinder Singh Josan, Co-Chair of the UK Parliamentary Crypto and Digital Assets All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG), along with Lord Vaizey of Didcot, has written to the CEOs of all major UK banks, demanding clarification on how they treat crypto and digital asset businesses. The letter raises six questions covering banks' current policies, whether they provide services to crypto businesses, related transaction restrictions and the factors determining them, and asks whether practices will be adjusted once the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulatory regime takes effect. The group noted that many crypto businesses struggle to open bank accounts in the UK, with some banks also restricting related payments. The letter stems from a parliamentary inquiry into banking service access launched on July 21, with written submissions open until August 31. A January survey by the UK Cryptoasset Business Council estimated that banks block or delay around 40% of transactions to crypto exchanges. HSBC, NatWest, Monzo, and Nationwide cap monthly transfers to crypto exchanges at between £5,000 and £10,000, while Starling and Chase UK prohibit such transfers altogether. UK Treasury Economic Secretary Lucy Rigby stated that the government does not want FCA-licensed firms to face banking restrictions solely because of their industry; the FCA completed related rules in June, with the regime becoming mandatory in October 2027. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, Robinhood-related token STONKBROKER has a market cap approaching $100 million. Lottery-style trader (0x867…b93e8) purchased $5,080 worth of STONKBROKER at an average price of $0.0004373, with the earliest purchase price as low as $0.0001773. Based on the current price of $0.03535, this address now holds unrealized profits of $406,000, representing a return rate of 8,143.3%, and still holds the position.
This round of rewards covers testnet feedback users and early traders. The Closed Beta is still ongoing, with more rounds and larger-scale rewards to follow.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, an Ethereum whale has again accumulated and withdrawn 50,000 ETH from Binance, valued at approximately $93.6 million. As of now, the address has cumulatively withdrawn 90,000 ETH, with a total value of approximately $170 million, of which 40,000 ETH have already been staked.
Odaily News: Asset management firm BlackRock has lowered the minimum threshold for in-kind Bitcoin conversions of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from $25 million to $1 million, a 96% reduction. This mechanism allows authorized participants to exchange Bitcoin for IBIT shares instead of settling in cash. Robbie Mitchnick, BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets, said in an interview on Bloomberg TV that Bitcoin holders can now convert BTC to IBIT in kind with a minimum amount of $1 million. Previously, the threshold was $25 million, primarily targeting large market makers and institutional trading desks. Over the past three consecutive trading days last week, IBIT attracted $479 million in inflows, accounting for approximately 76% of total spot Bitcoin ETF inflows during the same period. In early August this year, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for five consecutive trading days, accumulating over $750 million for the week. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), FalconX deposited a total of 300 BTC into Coinbase in two transactions today, valued at approximately $19.18 million. The first 200 BTC were transferred about 6 hours ago, followed by another 100 BTC within the next few minutes.
此前消息，Ki Young Ju 发文表示，CME 对冲基金罕见转为 BTC 期货净多头，大户正看涨比特币。
Odaily Odaily: Bitget has launched a new round of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 150,000 DOS. This event is exclusively for new futures users and runs from August 11 to August 18. During the event period, users who complete net deposit and futures trading tasks can unlock corresponding candies, with a maximum of 1,000 DOS per person. Detailed rules have been published on Bitget's official platform. Eligible users must click "Join Now" to complete registration before they can participate in the event.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), whale address bc1qdj sold a total of 1,274 BTC via Cumberland, FalconX, and Galaxy Digital 6 hours ago, valued at approximately $81.5 million.
According to monitoring by Trader T (@thepfund), Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $14.6 million yesterday, with major outflows from BlackRock ETHA (-$23.8 million) and Fidelity FETH (-$3.3 million); only Grayscale Mini ETH (+$8.6 million) and BlackRock Staked ETHB (+$3.9 million) recorded net inflows, while the remaining products saw no fund movements.
According to data monitored by Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $144.6 million yesterday. The main outflows came from Grayscale GBTC (-$52 million), BlackRock IBIT (-$53.6 million), and Fidelity FBTC (-$40.3 million). Only Grayscale Mini BTC recorded a net inflow of $37.1 million, while the remaining products saw no fund movements.
Last week, major assets closed higher across the board: July Non-Farm Payrolls -23k severely dampened rate hike expectations, the USD broke below 100, and Gold and Crypto benefited in tandem. BTC/ETH ETF weekly net inflows were $853M/$245M, the third-largest institutional buying week of the year. Core risk this week: 8/12 CPI (08:30 ET), determining the direction of September rate hike expectations. Strategy advances on three fronts: Sell ETH weekly expiry $1,800 P (annualized ~15-20%), Sell HYPE 1D $52 P (annualized ~70%, newly listed on Bybit), Sell XAUT 1D $4,360 C (annualized ~30-60%). All three positions must be reduced to safe levels before CPI.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), the current high-leverage battle between Bitcoin longs and shorts continues to intensify. On the short side, 4 traders collectively shorted 3,895 BTC (approximately $249.4 million), with liquidation prices at $64,600.83, $66,281.28, $66,305.03, and $66,545.09 respectively; on the long side, 2 traders collectively went long 1,547 BTC (approximately $99.08 million), with liquidation prices at $61,200.15 and $61,831.74 respectively.
Odaily News: According to blockchain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, this whale added 533.02 BTC to its short position early this morning, increasing its holdings to 1,313 BTC, worth approximately $84.02 million, with an average entry price of $64,183. It is currently showing floating profits of $251,000 and remains the largest BTC position on Hyperliquid. The position was opened on August 5, and the whale had previously added to it after incurring a loss of $811,000; last night, Bitcoin fell below $64,000 for the first time in recent days.