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Traders cut bets on Fed October rate hike

Federal Reserve's Williams stated he is "in no hurry to act," prompting markets to significantly cut bets on an October rate hike, with expectations now for only one more increase before year-end.

El Salvador's Bitcoin Office Denies Government Backing for Sivar Stablecoin App

Odaily News: Bitcoin News posted on X platform that Bloomberg reported the Nayib Bukele government is backing the launch of a new app called Sivar, which uses a U.S. dollar stablecoin for payments and remittances. El Salvador's Bitcoin Office responded that the Salvadoran government has no plans to launch or operate any Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, or stablecoin wallet.Coinbase announced that Sivar was launched by Modveon and uses Coinbase infrastructure to process remittances between the United States and El Salvador. Transfers are settled in stablecoins on Base with a flat fee of $2, and can be withdrawn at over 1,000 locations in El Salvador; Coinbase said more than 25,000 Salvadorans had registered before launch. El Salvador's Bitcoin Office stated that after selling Chivo Wallet to a private operator, the government has officially ended all involvement, and called Bloomberg's related report "fake news."

$388 Million in Crypto Assets Stolen, Bitget CEO Says Full Recovery Unlikely

Odaily News — Gracy Chen, CEO of cryptocurrency exchange Bitget, said the company is not optimistic about recovering the $388 million in crypto assets lost in last week's security incident. Citing the Bybit hack in 2025 as a reference, she noted that approximately one year after that incident, only about 3.5% of the stolen funds had been frozen, and that this does not equate to a completed recovery.Bitget has set up a bounty program offering 5% rewards for frozen funds and recovered funds respectively. The NEAR Intents team said it has intercepted over $50 million in assets related to the attack and frozen approximately $500,000. Tether and Circle have blacklisted the relevant wallets, freezing $318,000 worth of USDT and USDC.Gracy Chen stated that preliminary investigations indicate the attack may match VPN addresses used by North Korea-linked groups, but Bitget has not yet fully ruled out the possibility of an insider job. Bitget has resumed withdrawals in phases, starting with Bitcoin transactions on Monday and continuing with ETH transactions on Tuesday. (Cointelegraph)

zk.money Relaunches After Three Years, Supporting Private Payments

Odaily reports: Aztec Network developer Aztec Labs has relaunched the self-custodial wallet zk.money. The wallet can conceal payment amounts, balances, and recipient information through Aztec Network, and supports transfers via readable names or links.Users can deposit DAI, USDC, or USDT from Ethereum, with USDC and USDT being converted to DAI. Deposit records remain publicly traceable, while subsequent transaction activity remains private.The early Alpha version limits individual deposits, payments, and withdrawals to under $2,500, and screens addresses in accordance with sanctions policy. The software has not yet undergone a full audit and carries security risks. (CoinDesk)

Profited $120,000 with a 400% return, Dicedicedice places bets again after more than 6 months

According to Lookonchain monitoring, trader Dicedicedice previously appeared to have bet that the United States would strike Iran before February 28, earning $120,000 for a 400% return. After more than 6 months of inactivity, Dicedicedice has placed bets again.

Analyst: Nearly 90% of BTC Market Volume Dominated by Futures, Spot Demand Remains the Missing Piece for a Rally

Odaily reports: CryptoQuant on-chain analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently clearly dominated by futures trading, with the ratio of Binance spot-to-futures trading volume at approximately 0.12, meaning futures account for roughly 90% of trading volume. Meanwhile, Binance BTC open interest fell from $10.6 billion to $9.2 billion over the past week, but spot demand remains weak, preventing the ratio from improving.Darkfost noted that the current rally is primarily driven by the futures market, and spot buying remains the missing piece. If spot demand fails to follow through, this rally could become unstable.

Today, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 511 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 5,648 ETH

according to Lookonchain monitoring, today U.S. spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded a net inflow of 511 BTC, approximately $42.99 million; over the past 7 days, cumulative net inflows reached 15,196 BTC, approximately $1.28 billion. Spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs recorded a net inflow of 5,648 ETH yesterday, approximately $15.37 million; over the past 7 days, cumulative net inflows reached 168,733 ETH, approximately $459 million.

Unrealized profit of $15.47 million, MK4 holds 5.84 million NEAR long position

according to Onchain Lens monitoring, MK4 (0x773...bf66) holds a 5.84 million NEAR long position, with a position value of $29.21 million and an unrealized profit of $15.47 million. Bitwise's NEAR spot ETF has begun trading on the New York Stock Exchange. Its total unrealized PnL is a profit of $13.55 million, with a historical cumulative profit of $56.54 million.

Peter Brandt:BTC 2029 年高点或达 60 万美元

老牌交易员 Peter Brandt 将比特币本周期峰值预期上调至 30 万至 60 万美元,并提示 10 月初或现技术性回撤。其同时看空 XRP 投资价值,建议投资者将加密仓位控制在 10% 以内并以 BTC 为主。

Peter Brandt: Bitcoin Could Reach as High as $600,000 This Cycle

Odaily reports: Veteran trader Peter Brandt says Bitcoin has likely bottomed out for this cycle and entered a new bull market. He has raised his cycle top forecast from the previous $250,000 to $300,000 to $300,000 to $600,000 by late 2029, adding that hitting $500,000 is "very likely."However, Peter Brandt warns that Bitcoin could pull back to $65,000 to $66,000 in early October to flush out momentum chasers. Brandt is also skeptical of XRP's investment value, calling it a "fool coin," and said that XRP having payment use cases and Ripple having banking partners does not necessarily mean its value will rise. (Cointelegraph)

Worth $20.5 million, a whale withdrew 7,500 ETH from Binance within 30 minutes

according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale withdrew 7,500 ETH worth $20.5 million from Binance in the past 30 minutes.

Trader Doomer Continues to Place Orders to Accumulate PUMP, Still Holds About $6 Million in Stablecoins Off-Market

According to on-chain data monitoring, trader Doomer (@solanadoomer) is continuously accumulating PUMP through limit buy orders. After his last similar purchase, the price of PUMP rose by about 5%. The trader still holds approximately $6 million in stablecoins, which have not yet been deployed into the market.

Smaller bond funds may be the first to show problems — Eric Balchunas lists the worst-performing active funds in September

Odaily report: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that bond mutual funds can be seen as an early warning signal in a rising interest rate environment, and listed the worst-performing active bond funds in September for the market to watch. Eric Balchunas said that large funds such as PIMCO and Fidelity have a greater impact on deepening the bond selloff, but smaller funds may encounter potential problems earlier.

A newly created address withdrew 14,800 ETH worth $39.73 million from Binance and OKX within 9 hours

Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ember Monitoring, a newly created address withdrew 14,800 ETH worth $39.73 million from Binance and OKX over the past 9 hours.

Over $54 Million in Value: A Whale Deposits 20,000 ETH into Bitget

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale swapped 20,040 stETH for approximately 20,000 ETH via 1inch, worth about $54.69 million; minutes later, the whale deposited 20,000 ETH into Bitget, worth about $54.66 million.

Tether mints approximately $497 million in XAUt gold tokens to be deposited into the treasury.

According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), Tether minted 119,670 XAUt (Tether Gold) to its treasury on September 29, worth approximately $497 million.

Analysis: BTC open interest shrinks by 49,000 in 7 days, proactive profit-taking replaces forced liquidations

K33 Research head of research Vetle Lunde analyzed that over the past 7 days, CME and perpetual contract BTC open interest combined decreased by 49,000, the largest single-week decline since October 2025, during which market volatility remained subdued and funding rates continued to trend downward.Unlike previous major deleveraging episodes that were accompanied by forced liquidations, this round of deleveraging is closer to proactive profit-taking, with overall market sentiment becoming more rational.

HyperCore Transfers 447,824 HYPE to Kinetiq, Worth Over $39.5 Million

Odaily News — According to WhaleAlert monitoring, approximately 25 minutes ago, HyperCore transferred 447,824 HYPE to Kinetiq, valued at approximately $39,563,029.

11 months later, another deposit to an exchange: Kanye deposits 1,445 ETH, worth $3.91 million

According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ai Yi, Kanye West withdrew 1,445 ETH from Aave one hour ago and subsequently deposited it into Binance, worth $3.91 million. This marks his first ETH deposit to an exchange since October 2025; he still holds $26.7 million worth of crypto assets on-chain.

After Bitget enabled ETH withdrawals, funds have seen a net inflow, with the balance rebounding to over 30,000.

According to monitoring by @ai_9684xtpa, after Bitget resumed ETH withdrawals, ETH quickly flowed back, even registering net inflows. The address beginning with 0xED9 appears to be the hot wallet prepared by Bitget for these withdrawal requests. It held a balance of 30,000 ETH prior to the resumption, experienced steady outflows over the following 30 minutes that temporarily drove it down to approximately 25,000 ETH, but subsequent ETH inflows have since pushed the current balance back above 30,000 ETH.