News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Blockworks analyst Shaunda Devens posted on X that Polymarket's current FDV valuation of approximately $1.5 billion for Variational is somewhat overly optimistic. This pricing directly applies Hyperliquid and Lighter-level valuation-to-revenue multiples to a platform that still relies on points subsidies. By comparison, the median first-day "FDV / annualized revenue" ratio for recently launched Perp DEX tokens is only 6.3x (Variational is currently around 57x), and within the first month after TGE, trading volume typically drops sharply by a median of 54%.Shaunda added that if conservative assumptions based on historical precedents are adopted (using the median first-day "FDV/annualized revenue" ratio of 6.3x), Variational's fair valuation would be only $167 million, corresponding to a points price of $4.8–$5.4. Even using the highest recent ratio precedent (Lighter's approximately 21.1x), its valuation would still only be about $558 million, corresponding to a points price of $16–$18.However, Shaunda also explained: "To be clear, given that current market risk appetite is clearly in a Risk-on state, we do not believe Variational's valuation at TGE will fall to the extremely conservative range mentioned above. These historical multiples are listed to illustrate that current pre-market OTC pricing may be overly optimistic."
Perp DEX protocol Variational posted on X: "With the Swap feature now officially live (and more trading markets continuing to roll out), our next major initiative is the Omni trading API. Previously, all trading could only be done through the frontend interface. Soon, traders will be able to programmatically trade across the 550+ traditional finance and crypto markets already available on Omni."
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that the probability of predict.fun's "Variational FDV above $1 billion one day after launch" rose 11% over the past 5 hours, currently at 75%.Previously, Variational postponed the VAR TGE to Q4 of this year, with the genesis allocation accounting for 32% of the total supply.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily News: predict.fun stated on the X platform that the predicted probability of Variational reaching a $1 billion FDV one day after launch has risen from 41% to 59%.
Odaily News: Variational has launched its first batch of Swap markets, XAU and US100, with execution costs reduced by up to 87.5% compared to on-chain TradFi perpetual contracts. Its trading mechanism aligns with traditional financial markets and can directly tap into TradFi dealer liquidity, providing deeper market liquidity and more predictable holding costs.Swaps offer exposure to underlying assets similar to perpetual contracts. The key differences lie in liquidity sources and holding costs: Swaps are priced based on TradFi liquidity and replace volatile funding rates with a stable holding cost rate primarily benchmarked to USD borrowing costs. Like all Variational markets, Swaps charge no trading fees. Swaps will trade alongside existing TradFi perpetual contracts, and Variational plans to list new Swap markets over the coming months at a cadence similar to its perpetual markets.