News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Blockworks analyst Shaunda Devens posted on X that Polymarket's current FDV valuation of approximately $1.5 billion for Variational is somewhat overly optimistic. This pricing directly applies Hyperliquid and Lighter-level valuation-to-revenue multiples to a platform that still relies on points subsidies. By comparison, the median first-day "FDV / annualized revenue" ratio for recently launched Perp DEX tokens is only 6.3x (Variational is currently around 57x), and within the first month after TGE, trading volume typically drops sharply by a median of 54%.Shaunda added that if conservative assumptions based on historical precedents are adopted (using the median first-day "FDV/annualized revenue" ratio of 6.3x), Variational's fair valuation would be only $167 million, corresponding to a points price of $4.8–$5.4. Even using the highest recent ratio precedent (Lighter's approximately 21.1x), its valuation would still only be about $558 million, corresponding to a points price of $16–$18.However, Shaunda also explained: "To be clear, given that current market risk appetite is clearly in a Risk-on state, we do not believe Variational's valuation at TGE will fall to the extremely conservative range mentioned above. These historical multiples are listed to illustrate that current pre-market OTC pricing may be overly optimistic."
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on predict.fun, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $500 million one day after opening" has risen to 57%, up 12% in 24H. Additionally, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $800 million one day after opening" has risen to 36%.Last night, Variational announced the completion of a $50 million Series A funding round, led by Dragonfly Capital, with participation from Bain Capital Crypto and Coinbase Ventures.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market — seeing changes before they are priced in.
According to DefiLlama data, Variational's open interest exceeds $800 million, ranking fourth in the Perp DEX sector. Notably, among the top five Perp DEXs by open interest, Variational is the only platform that has not yet issued a token.Previously, it was reported that last night Variational announced the completion of a $50 million Series A funding round, led by Dragonfly Capital.
decentralized derivatives trading platform Variational has announced the completion of a $50 million Series A funding round. The round was led by Dragonfly Capital, with participation from Bain Capital Crypto and Coinbase Ventures. Headquartered in the Cayman Islands, the company is dedicated to building an on-chain derivatives protocol for institutional and traditional finance traders. By aggregating liquidity from both traditional finance and crypto markets, it aims to provide instantly tradable on-chain markets for real-world assets such as oil and commodities. Its core product, the Omni platform, adopts a zero-fee model and incorporates a liquidity pool mechanism to enhance market depth and execution efficiency.Variational stated that its goal is not to directly compete with centralized exchanges, but rather to connect multi-source liquidity through a "brokerage-style" model, including traditional finance market makers and major crypto trading platforms, in order to solve the "liquidity cold start" problem for on-chain markets. (Fortune)