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Bitcoin Bottom Formation Underway, Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Hits New High Since 2022

According to The Block, Glassnode's latest on-chain data shows that Bitcoin has been trading below the realized market mean ($76,600) and the short-term holder cost basis ($72,200) for five consecutive months, marking one of the longest deep value periods in its history. Daily average realized losses for long-term holders reached $280 million, the highest since December 2022, accounting for 43% of the total on-chain realized value. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $84.86 million on July 8, while Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of $70.48 million on the same day, marking five consecutive days of positive inflows. In terms of derivatives, the options open interest put/call ratio dropped to 0.56, the lowest in 2026, while perpetual funding rates remained below neutral levels, indicating the market overall holds a cautiously bullish positioning. In terms of geopolitics, the US-Iran ceasefire agreement collapsed, and the U.S. Central Command carried out retaliatory strikes against Iran, causing Bitcoin's weekly gains to narrow from 9.4% to approximately 5%. Analysts pointed out that the continued cooling of long-term holder selling pressure, stabilization of institutional capital flows, and the price reclaiming the realized market mean are the three prerequisite conditions for the market to enter a bull market.

INTERPOL 全球反欺诈行动逮捕逾 5800 人,揭露跨链洗钱网络

据 The Block 报道,INTERPOL 主导的全球反欺诈专项行动共逮捕超过 5800 名嫌疑人,并成功揭露一个利用跨链代币交换手段掩盖非法资金流向的加密货币洗钱网络。其中一名嫌疑人的数字钱包在短短 10 个月内处理资金逾 1.225 亿美元。链上分析人士指出,跨链操作虽增加追踪难度,但并不意味着资金流向无法溯源,此类案例表明金融犯罪正持续随区块链技术演进而升级。

American Judge Revives Fraud Claims Against Barry Silbert and DCG

Odaily A federal judge for the U.S. District Court for the District of Connecticut has revived common law fraud claims in the Genesis Yield lawsuit against Digital Currency Group founder Barry Silbert, DCG, and other defendants, while allowing federal securities law claims in the case to proceed.The ruling amends a prior decision by the court from February of this year. The plaintiffs had argued that the court has jurisdiction to hear their state law claims under the Class Action Fairness Act. Judge Stefan Underhill accepted this argument and reopened the relevant state law claims.The case revolves around the defunct Genesis Yield lending program, which allowed users to deposit crypto assets and earn interest. Investors allege that Silbert, DCG, and other defendants misled customers about the company's financial health and risk controls before Genesis suspended withdrawals and filed for bankruptcy in early 2023.However, not all state law claims were revived. The court dismissed consumer protection claims from four states and stayed related claims from three others. Overall, the ruling re-centers the dispute regarding fraud liability for DCG and Silbert as a focal point of the case. (The Block)

Standard Chartered: Market Severely Underestimates Uniswap-Robinhood Partnership Potential

According to The Block, Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoffrey Kendrick stated that the market is "severely" underestimating the potential for collaborations between Uniswap and high-quality DeFi protocols such as Robinhood, and expects more similar collaborations to materialize within the next few quarters, particularly those centered around Uniswap.

Analysis: Bitcoin Rebounds Above $61,000 as Long-Term Holders Re-Accumulate But ETF Outflows Persist

Bitcoin rebounded above $61,000 on Thursday, recovering from 21-month lows hit earlier this week, showing signs of stabilization following a period of high volatility. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $296 million on July 1, extending the trend of capital exodus. June alone saw outflows of about $4.5 billion, marking one of the worst months on record. Among them, the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF led with a single-day net inflow of $36.3 million.On-chain data indicates that long-term holders have re-entered an accumulation phase after an extended period of distribution, with buying pressure increasing from addresses holding 100–1000 BTC. Currently, approximately 10.83 million BTC are in a state of unrealized loss, surpassing the 9.22 million BTC that are in profit. Glassnode analyst Chris Beamish noted that the Coinbase order book shows increased buying depth, and market makers' Gamma positioning is stabilizing, suggesting structural support is forming. However, the derivatives market remains cautious. The options market Put/Call ratio has risen to a one-year high, with implied volatility increasing, reflecting heightened demand for hedging. Meanwhile, long leverage exposure on Hyperliquid has climbed to a cyclical high, indicating diverging market sentiment.On the price structure front, Bitcoin briefly broke below $58,000 before repeatedly testing support. It currently remains below the critical Gamma Flip zone of around $68,000. The realized price of approximately $53,000 is viewed as a key structural support level. On the macroeconomic front, US non-farm payroll data came in below expectations, pushing back expectations for the timing of interest rate cuts. The broader crypto market remains in a phase of capital rotation and structural competition. (The Block)

SEC Launches ETF Rule Review, Focusing on Crypto Funds and Prediction Market ETFs

the U.S. SEC stated on Tuesday that it is publicly seeking comments on the regulatory approach for "novel ETFs," evaluating whether existing fund registration and listing processes need adjustments. This review comes amid the rapid expansion of crypto ETFs and an increase in applications for prediction market-related ETFs.SEC Chairman Paul Atkins said the regulator wants to hear market opinions to ensure that the U.S. ETF market can effectively serve investors while continuing to grow and innovate. Since Atkins took over as SEC Chairman in April 2025, the SEC has approved multiple crypto ETFs beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, including products tracking assets like SOL and DOGE.Currently, market attention is shifting towards prediction market ETFs linked to political and economic outcomes. The SEC has not yet approved such funds for listing and trading and has delayed several related applications. Atkins previously stated that the SEC will evaluate these products in a "transparent and prudent" manner.In this request for comment, the SEC is asking whether a standardized listing framework should be established for ETFs meeting specific criteria and whether certain novel ETFs need to register as investment companies. TD Cowen analysts believe that this request for comment could potentially lead to rule changes as early as 2027, allowing the SEC to permit a wider range of ETF types, including products based on event contracts, crypto assets, and single-stock strategies. (The Block)

Analysis: Inflation Suppresses Rate Cut Expectations; Bitcoin Cycle Bottom Is Still Far Off

According to The Block, the U.S. May core PCE inflation data—coming in higher than expected at a 3.4% year-on-year increase, the highest since October 2023—further dampened market expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. As a result, Bitcoin dropped to an intraday low of $58,000 on Thursday, marking its lowest level since late 2024, and is currently trading sideways around $59,000. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows for six consecutive trading days, with a single-day net redemption of $696 million on June 25. Spot Ethereum ETFs also saw net outflows for six straight days, with $81.9 million flowing out on the same day. Analysts noted that Bitcoin’s dominance remains near 55%, indicating capital rotation toward high-quality assets rather than broad-based withdrawal. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that Bitcoin’s 4-year rolling realized price risk/reward ratio has yet to reach historical cycle lows, suggesting the asset may not have approached the bottom of this cycle.

Ink upgrades to OP Enterprise Fully Managed Service, signs multi-year agreement

Ink, an Ethereum Layer 2 network incubated by Kraken, has reached a multi-year infrastructure agreement with Optimism, upgrading to OP Enterprise Fully Managed.Under the agreement, Optimism will be responsible for running Ink's production infrastructure, while the Ink Foundation will focus on ecosystem growth and new financial products. Additionally, Ink will serve as a deep design partner for OP Enterprise, jointly advancing roadmap plans including programmable block construction, one-day Ethereum withdrawals, and sequencer-level compliance tools.Currently, applications built on the Ink network generate nearly $40 million in annual revenue. This partnership makes Ink another exchange-related blockchain network to join the fully managed layer service, following Bitpanda's Vision Chain. (The Block)

Bitcoin Falls Below $65,000: Fed Meeting Looms, Structural Concerns Over Strategy and Leverage Risks Converge

Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)

Benchmark: Coinbase Is Transforming from a Crypto Broker to a "Full-Stack Exchange," Maintaining a $270 Price Target

Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)

K33: Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Ratio Hits New High, Bear Market May Be Nearing Its End

According to The Block, K33’s latest report states that Bitcoin rebounded approximately 6% last week after two consecutive weeks of sharp declines, currently hovering near $65,000. The report notes that as of June 6, only 218,400 bitcoins—dormant for over two years—were reactivated in 2026, significantly lower than同期 levels over the past two years, indicating weak on-chain selling pressure.

K33: Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders hits all-time high, suggesting bear market may be nearing its end

crypto research firm K33 stated the Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders has reached an all-time high, indicating the bear market may be approaching its end. K33 noted a clear downturn in the reactivation of old coins in 2026. As of June 6, only 218,421 Bitcoins had been reactivated, showing significantly reduced on-chain selling pressure. In contrast, 1.18 million Bitcoins had been reactivated during the same period in 2024. K33 believes the decline in old coin activity suggests long-term holders have a reduced willingness to sell, with patient participants continuing to absorb the supply. (The Block)

Spot HYPE ETF Approaches $900 Million in Cumulative Trading Volume in First Month

According to The Block, approximately one month after the launch of the first spot HYPE ETFs, the cumulative trading volume across three issuers—21Shares (THYP), Bitwise (BHYP), and Grayscale (HYPG)—has approached $900 million, with net inflows reaching $153 million, reflecting strong institutional allocation intent. All three products hold HYPE tokens directly and pass through staking rewards to investors. The current annualized staking reward rate is approximately 2.25%, accrued per minute, distributed daily, and automatically compounded. Currently, about 45% of the stakable supply—approximately 434 million HYPE tokens—is staked.

Benchmark: SEC NMS Reform May Be the Most Critical Crypto Regulatory Variable This Year

research firm Benchmark Equity Research has highlighted that the market structure reform proposal put forward by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on June 11 could be one of the most far-reaching regulatory actions for the U.S. crypto industry this year. The proposal aims to abolish Rule 611 and Rule 610(e) of Regulation NMS, two core rules that have governed the routing and execution of U.S. stock trades since 2005, which are seen as having long constrained the development of tokenized stocks and on-chain trading.Rule 611 (Order Protection Rule) requires trading venues to avoid executing trades at prices inferior to "protected quotations" on other markets, thereby enforcing the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) system. Rule 610(e) prohibits locked and crossed markets, restricting quotation overlaps and price mismatches.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer stated that if the rules are repealed, it would remove key legal barriers hindering DeFi trading models, such as automated market makers (AMMs), allowing them to operate without relying on traditional order routing systems. The regulatory changes would directly benefit infrastructure for tokenized stocks and crypto securities trading, with Securitize identified as the most immediate beneficiary. Additionally, Coinbase and Galaxy Digital could also benefit from the expansion of trading, custody, and market-making businesses.However, Benchmark also noted that even with looser rules, critical issues such as exchange registration, clearing and settlement, and custody frameworks remain unresolved. The market is still anticipating the SEC's potential introduction of an "innovation exemption" mechanism. The SEC has opened a 60-day public comment period, and Benchmark expects a final vote could take place in early 2027. (The Block)

Trezor Exec: Putting All Bitcoin into ETFs Might Be the Worst Outcome for the Industry, Undermining the Core Principle of Self-Custody

: Danny Sanders, Chief Business Officer of hardware wallet manufacturer Trezor, stated that "putting everything into ETFs" might be the worst development path for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Since the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, cumulative inflows have exceeded $53 billion, making them a significant driver of BTC prices, but also potentially altering the structure of how users hold their assets.Sanders believes that over-reliance on ETFs will weaken Bitcoin's core principle of "self-custody," gradually shifting asset control to third-party institutions instead of users holding their private keys. Although self-custody carries risks such as lost seed phrases or unrecoverable private key leaks, he considers these more of a psychological barrier than a technical challenge, adding that "it's not difficult once you actually start doing it."Data shows that out of approximately 600 million crypto users globally, only about 10% practice self-custody, and only around 12 to 13 million users employ hardware wallets.As an early hardware wallet provider in the industry, Trezor helped popularize the BIP-39 seed phrase standard and continues to advocate for lowering the barriers to self-custody through improved user experience and educational tools, rather than relying on intermediary custody.Sanders concluded that the industry's long-term goal should be to gradually approach a Web2-level user experience, rather than simply replacing self-custody with ETFs. "That would probably be the worst possible outcome for the entire industry." (The Block)

World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit

Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)

Man from Washington State, USA, sentenced to 5 years for aiding in money laundering of nearly $100 million in cryptocurrency

the U.S. Department of Justice stated in a press release that a 47-year-old resident of Newcastle, Washington, Geoffrey K. Auyeung, has been sentenced to 5 years in prison for conspiracy to commit money laundering.Geoffrey K. Auyeung assisted overseas scammers in transferring nearly $100 million in investment fraud proceeds through bank accounts and cryptocurrency exchanges. The scammers deceived victims into investing in the oil and gas industry, luring them to transfer funds into so-called escrow accounts. To facilitate this, Geoffrey K. Auyeung established at least nine entities to receive funds, which were then transferred overseas or exchanged for cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDT, and USDC via exchanges like Gemini, Coinbase, and BitStamp. Most of these cryptocurrencies were subsequently sent to Binance accounts controlled by individuals in Nigeria and Russia.Geoffrey K. Auyeung opened at least 81 bank accounts across 24 financial institutions and 19 accounts across 8 cryptocurrency exchanges, receiving a total of $97.1 million in wire transfers and deposits. Through his involvement in the scheme, he earned at least $4 million in commissions and received an additional $400,000 in commissions through accounts under his wife's name between August 2024 and December 2025. Auyeung pleaded guilty in February of this year. He will forfeit approximately $2.3 million seized from bank accounts and his home, an Audi SQ8, and has agreed to forfeit approximately $7.1 million worth of cryptocurrency. (The Block)

Chainalysis: Gray-market peptide suppliers accelerate shift to Bitcoin and stablecoins, with Q1 crypto inflows surging 159% year-on-year

According to The Block, blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis’ latest report states that as the gray-market peptide industry’s scale exceeds an annualized $100 million, leading suppliers are accelerating adoption of Bitcoin and stablecoins as primary settlement instruments. In Q1 2026, cryptocurrency inflows into this industry reached $32 million—a 159% quarter-on-quarter surge. Due to widespread bans imposed by traditional banks and credit card payment channels on prescription-grade compounds and unregulated substances, numerous Chinese chemical manufacturers have turned to cryptocurrencies for transactions, with high-value orders especially favoring stablecoins to hedge against price volatility risk.

Bitwise CIO: The crypto market is shifting from momentum trading to contrarian bets; further sustained rallies in major cryptocurrencies await legislative clarity.

According to The Block, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan noted in his latest weekly report that as the Nasdaq-100 Index has surged 43% year-to-date and AI-related stocks continue attracting capital, the crypto market is undergoing a shift—from “momentum trading” to “contrarian bets.” Investors must adopt a long-term perspective and focus on fundamentals. Hougan also observed that during this crypto winter, capital has not flowed into mainstream safe-haven assets like Bitcoin; instead, it has poured into mid- and small-cap tokens with distinctive narratives—such as Hyperliquid (up 72% month-to-date), Zcash (up 50%), and Stellar (up 44%). Additionally, he emphasized that uncertainty surrounding the Clarity Act—a proposed legislative framework for crypto market structure—remains a key constraint on institutional capital inflows. Galaxy analysts and Polymarket both estimate the bill’s passage probability at roughly 50–55%. A sustainable rally in major crypto assets may only materialize after the legislation is enacted.

Grayscale Files for Hyperliquid ETF with Fee Rate 0.29% Lower Than Comparable Competitors

According to The Block, Grayscale filed an amendment to its S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Monday for the Hyperliquid Staking ETF (ticker: HYPG), setting its management fee at 0.29%—lower than the already-listed Bitwise BHYP (0% for the first month, then 0.34%) and 21Shares THYP (0.30%). James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, stated that the fund is expected to officially launch this week. Hyperliquid is a decentralized derivatives exchange supporting on-chain perpetual contract trading; its native token, HYPE, has a market capitalization of approximately $16.1 billion, ranking it as the world’s tenth-largest crypto asset.