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Serenity: The AI Supply Chain Boom Is Far From Over, With Storage, Packaging, and Power Sectors Poised for Long-Term Demand Surge

Odaily News "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity shared insights on the AI industry chain on the X platform, noting that AI infrastructure demand is driving multiple sectors—including storage, advanced packaging, computing power financing, optical communications, power supply, and electronic components—into a long-term expansion cycle. The AI supply chain remains in a phase of rapid growth.In the storage sector, Serenity cited UBS forecasts indicating that traditional DRAM manufacturers (such as Micron) could see gross margins reach an unprecedented 95% by 2027, potentially even surpassing the gross margin levels of HBM products. Additionally, SanDisk's long-term agreements already cover approximately two-thirds of its 2028 production capacity, with minimum contracted revenue reaching $93 billion. Given its current market cap of around $239 billion, this suggests its future revenue targets could persist for years, making it difficult to simply classify the company as a traditional cyclical stock.On the cloud computing infrastructure front, CoreWeave has signed agreements to use Nvidia A100 GPUs through 2029. This is a positive development for emerging cloud computing companies such as Nebius and Iren, and it also weakens some investors' bearish thesis centered on the rapid depreciation of older GPUs.AI model companies are also continuing to grow at a pace that exceeds expectations. Frontier AI labs are still maintaining extremely rapid growth rates, and a slowdown in growth would actually be a cause for concern. The market projects that Anthropic's 2028 revenue could reach $190 billion to $200 billion.However, advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure remain core bottlenecks. The head of advanced packaging at TSMC has stated that in the coming years, the industry may face not only memory shortages but also tight supply of ABF substrates.Serenity concluded that the AI infrastructure supply chain is continuously expanding. From GPUs, storage, and advanced packaging to power, optical communications, and electronic components, every segment is showing a long-term demand growth trend. The AI supply chain is still in a high-speed development stage.

Goldman Sachs: IPO Surge Hits Record, Danger Signal Hasn't Flashed Yet

According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' July 20 Top of Mind report pointed out that U.S. IPO proceeds in 2026 have already exceeded $125 billion, breaking the full-year record of 2021, and are expected to exceed $200 billion for the full year. But the number of IPOs is only about 60, far lower than the 400 in 1999 and 250 in 2021 during bubble periods, mainly driven by a few mega-tech companies. Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Snider believes late-cycle warning signals have not yet appeared, the household sector has become net buyers, annualized IPO proceeds account for only about 1% of the S&P 500 market cap, and market absorption capacity is underestimated. University of Florida Professor Ritter pointed out that high issuance volume predicts low returns, but the signal accuracy is only slightly higher than random (about 52%). Acadian Fund Manager Lamont warned that the issuance wave is one of the "Four Horsemen" of bubbles, but may mark the beginning rather than the end of a bubble; currently, first-day gains do not show extreme speculation signals. All three experts believe that IPO volume is moderate, valuations have not reached bubble levels, first-day gains are not out of control, and true danger signals have not yet appeared. Snider expects company buybacks in 2026 to be about $1.3 trillion, enough to offset new supply. If the AI narrative or corporate earnings undergo a significant shift, market and IPO prospects will change accordingly.

Goldman Sachs: Expects SpaceX’s AI Revenue to Surge 100-Fold by 2030

Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX’s AI revenue to surge 100-fold by 2030. (Jin10)

Etherealize: Ethereum Could Surge to $250,000, "Productive Money" Narrative Gains Attention

Odaily News According to Etherealize's latest research report, which proposes the "Productive Money" theory, if Ethereum captures the combined monetary premium of approximately $31 trillion currently held by gold and Bitcoin, its implied price could exceed $250,000, far above the current level of around $2,300.The report points out that ETH not only possesses traditional monetary attributes such as scarcity, verifiability, and censorship resistance but can also generate an annualized yield of about 2%–4% through staking, achieving an "interest-bearing" monetary characteristic, thereby distinguishing it from non-productive assets like gold and Bitcoin.Furthermore, within the DeFi system, ETH serves a triple demand source as a "collateral asset + fee-burning mechanism + staking lock-up," forming a mechanism for supply contraction and value accumulation. The report believes that with the development of on-chain finance and asset tokenization, ETH is expected to simultaneously possess the dual attributes of a "store of value + productive asset."However, the report also notes that ETH's path to achieving this valuation still faces multiple uncertainties including regulation, technology, and competition. Its long-term value revaluation depends on the market's recognition of its monetary properties.