News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Odaily报道，VanEck数字资产研究主管Matthew Sigel在X平台发文表示，自2026年以来，多家采用数字资产财库（DAT）策略的上市公司已放弃或调整比特币储备策略。其中，Satsuma Technology、Bitdeer、Prenetics、Genius Group、Vaultz Capital、MAIA Biotechnology等公司已出售全部比特币或数字资产持仓；MARA Holdings、Strategy、Nakamoto、Smarter Web Company、Cango等则通过出售部分比特币用于偿债、回购股份或补充营运资金。此外，Exodus、DigitalX等企业也由单纯囤币转向主动管理数字资产持仓。
CryptoQuant 分析师 Darkfost 表示，一张最新图表显示，当前机构相关需求整体明显走弱，主要体现在比特币现货 ETF、财库公司以及 Strategy 三类主体上。
according to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) now holds a total of 843,775 BTC ($54.634 billion), with an average cost price of $75,476, and an unrealized loss of $9.05 billion (-14.2%). Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 7,430 ETH ($13.68 million) last week at approximately $1,842 each. They now hold a total of 5,777,468 ETH ($10.861 billion), with an average cost price of $3,376, and an unrealized loss of $8.643 billion (-44.3%).
: Kim Byung-yeon, a director of the Research Division of the Investment Strategy Department at NH Investment & Securities, stated at a meeting with a visiting delegation of journalists and analysts held at the Korea Exchange headquarters in Seoul on July 20, that the current Korean stock market has already reflected concerns over a semiconductor peak, geopolitical anxieties, and supply-demand disruptions, making the decline excessive.NH Investment & Securities sets the lower range of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) at 5,800 to 6,250 points and believes the index is more likely to rebound to the low-to-mid 7,000-point range after a sharp price correction, before stabilizing according to the cloud revenue growth rate and capital expenditure plans of major US technology companies.Kim Byung-yeon stated that attention should be paid to the absolute level of semiconductor exports rather than the export growth rate. The institution estimates that the net profit of the semiconductor industry will increase from 217 trillion won last year to 759 trillion won this year and 1,019 trillion won next year, with a net profit growth rate of 34% next year.
According to official website data, VanEck's non-financial preferred stock ETF, PFXF, has further increased its position in Strategy Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC), with the total market value of holdings reaching $207 million.
according to fund official website data, VanEck's non-financial preferred stock ETF PFXF has further increased its position in Strategy Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC), bringing the total holding market value to $207 million. As of July 16, STRC was the top holding of PFXF, accounting for 8.63% of the fund's net assets, corresponding to approximately 2.42 million shares.
According to crypto analyst Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc), citing CryptoQuant data, Strategy has paused BTC purchases, and demand on the ETF side has also shown no signs of recovery—after ending eight consecutive weeks of net capital outflows, net flows turned negative again this week, wiping out all capital inflows from last week, while large institutional buying pressure continues to decline.
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in the latest report that although recent spot Bitcoin ETF fund inflows have fluctuated significantly, Strategy's increase of USD reserves from $2.55 billion to $3 billion (covering approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividends), as well as Bitcoin futures (including CME futures and perpetual contracts) recording positive fund inflows this week, are both "positive signals" for Bitcoin's prospects. The analysts also noted that leveraged ETF inflows linked to Strategy have remained stable for seven consecutive weeks, mainly driven by retail investors, effectively supporting its stock price. Meanwhile, Strategy President and CEO Phong Le stated that the company is "very confident" in its balance sheet, will only consider debt risk if Bitcoin prices fall to the $8,000 to $10,000 range, and plans to continue issuing additional shares after the STRC preferred stock returns to a $100 par value, with the proceeds potentially used to purchase more Bitcoin.
JPMorgan analysts say Strategy’s recent increase in USD cash reserves, along with positive fund flows in the Bitcoin futures market, are “encouraging signs” for Bitcoin’s outlook, despite recent volatility in spot Bitcoin ETF flows.The report notes that flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been unstable in recent weeks, turning negative this week after inflows last week. In contrast, leveraged ETFs linked to Strategy have seen relatively stable and positive flows over the past seven weeks. Analysts attribute this primarily to retail investor buying, which may have supported Strategy’s stock price and prevented its common stock from falling below the net asset value of its Bitcoin holdings.Meanwhile, Strategy recently increased its USD cash reserves from $2.55 billion to $3 billion, enough to cover approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividend payments. JPMorgan had previously suggested that Strategy should raise its cash reserves to cover two to three years of dividends, in order to alleviate market concerns about the company potentially being forced to sell Bitcoin to pay dividends in the future.Analysts say it is still difficult to determine whether Strategy's move to bolster its cash reserves has directly improved Bitcoin investor sentiment. However, the fact that Bitcoin futures still recorded positive fund flows this week, against a backdrop of spot BTC ETF outflows, is also seen as an encouraging signal for the market outlook.
According to the NYDIG research report (Author: Greg Cipolaro, July 10, 2026), Bitcoin fell 13.4% in the second quarter of 2026, with year-to-date losses expanding to 32.9%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index rose 27.7% and tech stocks surged 43.5% during the same period, indicating that this decline was not due to macro risk aversion, but rather Bitcoin-specific supply pressure. The core pressure stems from Strategy (MSTR) launching the "Digital Credit Capital Framework," authorizing the sale of approximately $1.25 billion worth of Bitcoin to cover capital structure obligations, marking a shift of the largest historical marginal buyer from continuous accumulation to active monetization, and the DAT complex overall turning from a demand engine to a supply risk. Regarding ETFs, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $4.9 billion in the second quarter, but the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust attracted $364.8 million in inflows against the trend, showing distribution channels remain competitive. Regarding the derivatives market, against the backdrop of weak spot demand and continuous outflows from ETFs and stablecoins, positive funding rates coupled with rising open interest indicate leveraged longs are rebuilding positions, posing a risk of passive liquidation triggering a new round of declines. Bitcoin has currently fallen 54.3% cumulatively from the all-time high of $126,000 set on October 6, 2025; if referencing the 2018 and 2022 cycles (gradually narrowing declines of approximately 70%, approximately 370
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of $4.5 billion in June, marking their worst monthly performance since their launch in January 2024. Bitcoin fell 20.48% in June, hitting a 21-month low of $58,190 on July 1. Citi has lowered its 12-month Bitcoin price target from $112,000 to $82,000, following a previous reduction from $143,000 on March 17. Citi also cut its 12-month Ethereum price target from $3,175 to $2,240. Strategy sold 32 Bitcoins between May 26 and 31, worth approximately $2.5 million, its first sale since December 2022. As of May 31, it held 843,706 Bitcoins, with the board approving a framework for selling up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. Open interest in leveraged Bitcoin futures fell from around $31.3 billion around May 30 to about $21.6 billion in early June. Within two weeks, major holders increased their holdings by over 270,000 Bitcoins.
Odaily Strategy sold nearly $467 million worth of MSTR common stock last week but did not increase its Bitcoin holdings. Analysts believe this indicates that the company is implementing its recently proposed Digital Credit Capital Framework and beginning to prioritize strengthening its balance sheet, rather than solely pursuing short-term BTC accumulation.According to the latest filings, Strategy has increased its U.S. dollar cash reserves to $3 billion, while its Bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at 843,775 BTC. Both Benchmark and TD Cowen believe this move strengthens the company's balance sheet and helps boost market confidence in its preferred equity financing model.TD Cowen reiterated its "Buy" rating and $260 price target for Strategy stock, stating that this operation is an early signal of management executing the new capital allocation framework. The firm noted that Strategy's choice to expand dollar reserves and pause Bitcoin purchases demonstrates a greater emphasis on balance sheet discipline rather than maximizing short-term BTC accumulation.Benchmark also maintained its "Buy" rating with a $570 price target. On Monday, Strategy's stock price traded at approximately $91.50, near its long-term low. Overall, analysts believe that amid pressure on preferred equity financing tools like STRC and market focus on dividend coverage capacity, Strategy's increase in cash reserves may help alleviate investor concerns regarding a forced sale of BTC.
Odaily Bitcoin has been declining since October last year, with its current price hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, indicating the market remains in a deep bear phase. Multiple industry analysts believe the current pressure on Bitcoin stems primarily from three factors: the four-year cycle, macroeconomic inflationary pressures, and market leverage liquidations.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin's long-standing "four-year cycle" continues to influence investor psychology. Historically, Bitcoin typically undergoes approximately three years of an upward cycle followed by a one-year correction period. Investors have developed cyclical expectations and began reducing some long-term holdings towards the end of 2025.Additionally, the macroeconomic environment is a significant drag on Bitcoin. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, pointed out that rising inflationary pressures in the US have weakened market expectations for interest rate cuts. Investors are shifting towards higher-yielding traditional assets, leading to capital outflows from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The short-term bottom is estimated to be around $58,000, with future trends still influenced by interest rate policies, corporate Bitcoin buying behavior, and progress in US crypto regulatory legislation.Excessive market leverage has also exacerbated this correction. As a large number of investors expanded their Bitcoin exposure through borrowing and financing during the bull market, derivatives open interest has declined as the market weakened. Digital asset treasury companies have also come under pressure. Strategy's stock price has fallen approximately 75% since October last year, and its previously promoted model of corporate Bitcoin accumulation is facing renewed market scrutiny.However, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects. Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Strategist at 21Shares, predicts that Bitcoin may bottom out this summer, rebound after interest rates shift towards easing and geopolitical conflicts ease, with a year-end price target of $100,000. (Fortune)
It argues that the market hype surrounding South Korean artificial intelligence startups and university research is significantly overestimated, with a significant gap in overall competitiveness compared to China. It suggests that South Korea learn from China's talent introduction pathway, launch a mechanism similar to the "Thousand Talents Plan" to attract overseas Korean talent to return, and actively recruit top international artificial intelligence talent; otherwise, South Korea may gradually become a nation dependent on artificial intelligence technology.
Odaily Odaily Planet Daily reported that Geoffrey Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated that the market has misinterpreted Michael Saylor's adjustments to Strategy Inc.'s bitcoin strategy, and the recent selling pressure stems from confusion over this strategy rather than a change in bitcoin's long-term outlook. Strategy Inc. is shifting bitcoin from being a reserve accumulation asset to serving as collateral to support its STRC preferred stock. Kendrick maintains the bitcoin price forecast of $100,000 by the end of 2026. As of press time, BTC was trading at $64,322.89, and Strategy's stock MSTR closed at $94.64 on Friday. The outstanding notional value of STRC is approximately $10 billion, which Kendrick believes makes the preferred stock heavily overcollateralized due to its bitcoin backing. (Bitcoin.com News).
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted that since October 2025, the market value of holdings of Bitcoin treasury companies has declined from $396 billion to $272 billion, a cumulative drop of over $100 billion. Data shows that although these companies' Bitcoin holdings increased from 953,000 to the current 1.14 million, most of the Bitcoin reserves were accumulated at high prices. November 2024 to October 2025 was the most aggressive buying phase for corporate treasury companies, when Bitcoin prices were mainly in the $75,000 to $125,000 range. Currently, the pace of accumulation has nearly stalled. Whether these enterprises will follow Strategy's example and choose to sell holdings at low levels remains to be seen.
Standard Chartered stated that it maintains its Bitcoin price prediction of reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026, believing that the recent market decline triggered by Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy) related activities is not due to a deterioration in the company's balance sheet, but rather a strategic adjustment that the market has not fully understood.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, noted in a report that Strategy's recent behavior is disrupting short-term market expectations for Bitcoin. The market had previously accepted the company's narrative of "never selling Bitcoin," but now Strategy appears to be shifting towards a more complex capital operation model. How clearly the company can communicate this change will determine when market pressure eases.Currently, Strategy holds 843,775 Bitcoins, representing approximately over 4% of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply. From 2020 to mid-2025, Strategy's mNAV (Market Value of Enterprise / Bitcoin Asset Value) was consistently above 1, allowing the company to raise funds through stock issuances to purchase Bitcoin and achieve shareholder value growth. The commitment to "never selling Bitcoin" was central to this model gaining market acceptance. However, with the current mNAV approaching 1, the leverage effect of this financing model is weakening.Kendrick believes Strategy is transitioning from a "Bitcoin accumulation tool" to a "Bitcoin credit support tool." This involves using its Bitcoin holdings as the credit basis for its perpetual preferred stock, STRC. Currently sized at approximately $10 billion, STRC is the largest financial instrument launched by Strategy, offering an annualized dividend rate of 12%, paid semi-monthly in cash, and is designed to maintain a price near its $100 par value through interest rate adjustment mechanisms.Standard Chartered indicated that STRC is currently trading around $90, while Strategy's dollar reserve for paying dividends stands at approximately $2.55 billion, covering an estimated 17.4 months of dividend expenses.Kendrick stated that Strategy's policy adjustment allowing for Bitcoin sales does not necessarily mean the company will continuously sell. He believes that as long as the market believes the new capital structure arrangement can stabilize the STRC price, Strategy may not actually need to sell Bitcoin. He compared this mechanism to a central bank's commitment to "do whatever it takes": mere restoration of market confidence may mean actual intervention never occurs. (The Block)
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their latest report that although Strategy's Bitcoin selling plan has triggered market attention, it is not the core risk facing Bitcoin. The real structural threat lies in the fact that blockchain applications such as tokenization, payments, and settlements are increasingly occurring on permissioned chains (Permissioned Blockchain), rather than on public chains such as Ethereum. If this trend continues, the public chain ecosystem will face issues such as declining liquidity and weakened capital inflows, ultimately dragging down Bitcoin valuations. The analysts also warned that the proliferation of bank-built blockchain infrastructure and tokenized deposits could undermine the position of stablecoins in institutional payments; regulated alternatives such as SWIFT's blockchain plan, the digital euro, and the digital yuan also constitute competitive pressure. However, the analysts also pointed out that if hybrid public-private chain models emerge, stablecoin regulation becomes clearer, or Bitcoin continues to be held as "digital gold", the aforementioned risks may be mitigated.
Bitfinex Alpha 最新报告指出，Strategy 近期进行了首次大规模比特币出售，但市场表现出较强韧性，并未出现明显抛售压力，7 月走势目前保持积极。现阶段约 1083 万枚 BTC 处于未实现亏损状态，而约 922 万枚 BTC 仍保持盈利，市场尚无法完全判断投资者是否已经消化近期资金流变化，但现货交易量并未完全反映此前大规模资金流出的影响，因此可能接近熊市底部形成阶段。 随着 ETF 资产配置变化以及资金流重新转正，7 月比特币市场可能迎来新的变量。随着长期持有者及部分巨鲸重新积累，比特币正在从低信念持有者向更高信念投资者转移，未来 2至 3 个月可能成为确认阶段性底部的重要窗口。
According to Lookonchain monitoring, despite Strategy selling BTC, three whales are still holding leveraged long positions. Among them, one whale holds a 40x leveraged long position of 1,000 BTC, valued at $63.8 million; another whale holds a 10x leveraged long position of 30,627 ETH, valued at $54.9 million; and a third whale holds a 20x leveraged long position of 470.4 BTC, valued at $30 million.