News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: AI space technology company Muon Space announced the completion of a $250 million Series C funding round, led by Eclipse Capital, with participation from Google, Salesforce Ventures, Galvanize, Wellington Management, I Squared Capital, Woven Capital, as well as Radical Ventures and Congruent Ventures. The new funds will be used to accelerate large-scale satellite constellation production, expand dual-use spacecraft platforms, enhance on-orbit AI computing capabilities, and provide real-time ultra-high-bandwidth satellite connectivity in partnership with SpaceX Starlink.
Odaily News According to reports from the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East, family offices of ultra-high-net-worth investors are significantly increasing their investments in SpaceX, with total exposure reaching approximately $3.8 billion. This shows that private wealth institutions are competing for investment opportunities in the rocket, satellite, and artificial intelligence company founded by Elon Musk.According to data compiled by Bloomberg based on regulatory filings (13F), as of the end of June, the family office of Nick Pritzker, heir to the Hyatt hotel fortune, held a SpaceX investment position valued at approximately $1.8 billion.The report states that as SpaceX gains market attention following its initial public offering (IPO), more and more family offices are positioning themselves in the company through private market investment channels. Since SpaceX remains a high-valuation, scarce private technology asset, its equity opportunities have long been sought after by institutional investors and ultra-wealthy individuals.Investors value not only SpaceX's leading position in the commercial aerospace sector, but also its Starlink satellite internet business and its future potential in artificial intelligence infrastructure. As the AI wave prompts global capital to reassess the value of computing power, communications, and space infrastructure, SpaceX is gradually becoming an important investment target connecting the aerospace, satellite communications, and AI industries.However, due to the limited liquidity of SpaceX's private equity transactions and their high valuations, the large-scale bets by family offices also mean that investors are taking on higher long-term valuation and exit risks. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News - Baron Capital founder and legendary investor Ron Baron recently made an aggressive prediction about SpaceX's future growth prospects, suggesting that the space company founded by Elon Musk could reach a valuation of $4 trillion within the next 10 to 15 years.Baron has long been bullish on SpaceX, previously stating that the company could achieve a valuation growth of $10 trillion to $30 trillion over the next 10 to 15 years, and has said SpaceX has the opportunity to become one of the largest companies in the world. Baron's optimism is primarily driven by SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet business, reusable rocket technology, and the future space infrastructure market. He believes that as global demand for internet connectivity grows and AI computing needs expand, the space economy could become a new long-term growth frontier. Baron Capital GroupBaron Capital has previously taken a significant position in SpaceX. The firm began investing in SpaceX in 2017 and stated that the investment has generated substantial returns. Baron has previously noted that the SpaceX portfolio has become a major component of his funds, and he expects the company to maintain long-term growth potential even after going public. Baron FundsHowever, market observers point out that SpaceX still faces significant challenges in reaching a multi-trillion-dollar valuation, including the pace of Starlink commercialization, rocket launch costs, the ability to execute new businesses such as space data centers, and execution risks associated with a high valuation. Currently, long-term value expectations surrounding SpaceX are becoming a focal point in capital markets, with supporters arguing that the company is transitioning from a traditional aerospace enterprise into a platform company integrating satellite communications, AI infrastructure, and the space economy. (Thestreet)
Odaily News: The Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan (OTPP) announced that its investment return reached 9.5% in the first half of this year, driven primarily by gains from Elon Musk's SpaceX initial public offering (IPO).In a statement, OTPP CEO Jo Taylor attributed the H1 performance growth to venture growth equity, public market equities, and inflation-resistant asset investments. By the end of the first half of the year, the fund's net assets had risen to CAD 303.2 billion (approximately USD 217.5 billion).According to reports, the SpaceX IPO was a key factor driving OTPP's investment returns. As one of the world's largest aerospace companies, SpaceX has rapidly expanded through commercial launches and satellite internet services like Starlink in recent years, attracting long-term capital from pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and major institutional investors.OTPP is one of the world's largest institutional investors, with long-term investments in private equity, technology companies, and infrastructure assets. The valuation uplift from SpaceX's listing underscores the significant impact that unlisted tech unicorns and high-growth assets have on the returns of major pension funds. (Bloomberg)
According to Bloomberg reports, SpaceX stock performed relatively steadily on Thursday following the expiration of the lock-up period (lock-up agreement) restricting insiders from selling shares, involving the unlocking of up to approximately 911.5 million shares valued at about $100 billion based on current valuation. Trading data shows SpaceX stock price fluctuated within a range of less than 3% during early trading, as the market digests the potential selling pressure brought by this large-scale share release. Trading volume in the first 30 minutes after the opening approached 93 million shares, accounting for about 40% of the total volume of the previous trading day. This unlocking occurred shortly after SpaceX announced its first earnings report. Previously, SpaceX stock price once fell about 14% due to investor concerns that the company's investment scale in artificial intelligence business was higher than expected. However, most Wall Street analysts still maintain a long-term optimistic view on the company. Market focus includes SpaceX's future investment plans in AI, satellite internet, and mobile communication businesses. Despite facing capital expenditure pressure in the short term, analysts believe the company's leading position in rocket launches, Starlink satellite network, and commercial space sectors remains an important factor supporting its long-term valuation. This stock unlocking of about $100 billion has also become an important event for the market to test investor confidence after SpaceX's listing. The lack of significant stock price fluctuations indicates that the market had certain expectations regarding the liquidity release from internal shareholders.
SpaceX early investor and XPRIZE Foundation founder Peter Diamandis stated that SpaceX has the potential to become the world's first company with a market capitalization of $10 trillion.During an interview on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street," Diamandis said that the market has yet to find the right way to value SpaceX, and that the company's space transportation, satellite internet, and future space economy initiatives could generate long-term growth far exceeding that of traditional enterprises.He pointed out that SpaceX's core value comes not only from its reusable rocket business, but also from Starlink satellite internet, future lunar and Mars exploration programs, and the new economic ecosystem being built around space infrastructure.Previously, SpaceX had already become one of the highest-valued private tech companies globally. As the company expands from rocket launches into satellite communications and deep-space exploration, investors are trying to reassess its long-term commercial potential.Diamandis believes that traditional valuation models struggle to measure the value of a platform company like SpaceX, which operates across aerospace, communications, and future infrastructure simultaneously, so the market may be underestimating its future growth potential. (CNBC)
According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.
Morgan Stanley analysts stated that if SpaceX's stock price falls to $100 per share, it implies the market's valuation of its AI business has dropped to zero. SpaceX launched an IPO valued at $86 billion in mid-June, and this week it fell to a low of $110.85, down 18% from the offering price. Analysts assigned a target price of $300 per share to the stock, with more than half derived from the AI business valuation. Previously, SpaceX entered the AI infrastructure sector leveraging its Starlink satellite network, providing low-latency data transmission services for large model training.
According to the Financial Times, investors are increasingly betting on a decline in SpaceX's stock price, with the stock price falling below the offering price for the first time just weeks after its listing. The report states that SpaceX's initial valuation incorporated high expectations for future growth, such as Starlink satellite internet expansion, commercialization of space business, and AI-related potential. Although previously favored by the market due to its rocket business, satellite internet, and artificial intelligence positioning, attracting significant capital attention during the early listing period, the retreat in stock price has led some traders to begin betting on further declines through short selling or other bearish strategies. Currently, SpaceX has not yet responded to this market trading situation.
as the 25-day quiet period following SpaceX's (SPCX) June IPO comes to an end, Wall Street analysts have begun releasing formal research reports. Multiple major brokerages have issued favorable ratings, indicating institutional investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential.As IPO underwriters, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have assigned buy-equivalent ratings to SpaceX. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan set a price target of $205, while Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas gave a target of $300. Additionally, institutions such as Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, and UBS have also initiated coverage with buy or equivalent ratings. Among them, Raymond James Financial provided the most optimistic forecast; analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of SpaceX with a "Strong Buy" rating and a price target as high as $800, believing SpaceX will become "one of the most representative industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century."Analysis suggests that market optimism towards SpaceX is primarily based on its布局 (layout/foundation) in areas such as rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, and government contracts. At the same time, the company's communications business can provide a sustainable source of revenue and support future expansion of launch scale.As of March 31, 2026, SpaceX holds 18,712 Bitcoins. Wall Street believes that the concentrated coverage following the end of the IPO quiet period provides a window for institutional investors to conduct their first systematic assessment of SpaceX's valuation. The fact that nearly all major institutions simultaneously issued positive ratings is relatively rare for large-scale IPOs. (CoinDesk)
According to reports, SpaceX, the aerospace company led by Elon Musk, has attracted over $250 billion in investment demand for its IPO, surpassing its planned fundraising target of $75 billion. The offering is nearly 4 times oversubscribed, valuing the company at $1.8 trillion. Bankers and investors noted that long-term funds have submitted large orders. Pricing is expected to be finalized on Thursday, though demand figures could still change before orders are placed by major institutional investors. SpaceX's growth narrative is primarily tied to its satellite internet business, Starlink, which has become a significant source of revenue and profit for the company. SpaceX also highlighted that its artificial intelligence products address a market opportunity worth $23 trillion. Cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, and Bybit have listed pre-IPO perpetual futures for SPCX this month. Binance's related product has accumulated a trading volume of $2.1 billion over 18 days, covering over 130 countries. Decentralized exchange Hyperliquid recorded a trading volume of $70 million in the past 24 hours, with open interest exceeding $115 million. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "On the second trading day of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on the Nasdaq, will its opening price be greater than or equal to its first-day closing price (i.e., open higher on the second day)?"SpaceX officially submitted its S-1 prospectus on May 20 and is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on June 12. This IPO breaks tradition by adopting a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. Market traders are divided: positions betting on a higher opening on the second day are mainly supported by Starlink's strong revenue performance and the potential of space-based orbital data centers and computing power from the merger with xAI (restructured as SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, cautious short positions are primarily concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 90x, the significant losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on stock price volatility in the early stages of listing.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.
SpaceX is progressing with its IPO and seeking a valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion. If realized, it would become the world's seventh-largest company by market cap. However, the mid-to-long-term business path justifying this valuation remains unclear.Furthermore, SpaceX's core narrative is shifting. In February of this year, Musk integrated SpaceX with xAI, making artificial intelligence a key component of the company's strategy. Compared to the original core vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," AI now occupies a more prominent position in the company's narrative. In the first quarter, xAI-related business reportedly accounted for over three-quarters of capital expenditures, while approximately 93% of the total addressable market mentioned in the IPO filing is also related to AI.Musk has long been adept at restructuring business narratives to align with market preferences, as seen in previous cases like integrating SolarCity into Tesla and merging Twitter with the xAI ecosystem. SpaceX's new narrative combines rocket launches with AI, envisioning the deployment of AI data centers in orbit to build future computing infrastructure. However, SpaceX launched approximately 2,200 tons of payload into orbit last year, while Musk has suggested that realizing the orbital data center vision would require an annual launch capacity of about 1 million tons. Although Starlink and the rocket business already hold industry-leading positions, genuine cash flow will ultimately be needed to validate this massive valuation hypothesis. (Financial Times)
Odaily ARK Invest stated that SpaceX's upcoming IPO could become a historic capital markets event, with the company's overall valuation potentially approaching the $2 trillion level. Brett Winton, Head of Portfolio and Research at ARK, said on CNBC that SpaceX's IPO is priced at approximately $135 per share, corresponding to a valuation of around $1.77 trillion, and plans to list on Nasdaq on June 12.Winton pointed out that SpaceX's core value comes not only from its rocket launch business but more so from its rapidly expanding satellite internet network, Starlink. This network currently has a bandwidth capacity of approximately 500 Tbps, generating an annual revenue of around $13 billion. It is expected to significantly reduce launch costs with the Starship rocket, accelerating satellite deployment and network expansion. He believes that as AI applications proliferate rapidly, the demand for global communication and computing infrastructure will further increase, positioning SpaceX as a key infrastructure provider in this trend. ARK also estimates that the AI foundation model industry could create between $15 trillion and $20 trillion in enterprise value by 2030.Currently, ARK holds approximately 11.4% of SpaceX's private shares through its venture capital strategy and considers it one of its core long-term holdings. The fund has risen about 15% so far this year, with gains exceeding 70% over the past 12 months. (CNBC)
BIT has pointed out that the market is repricing around SpaceX's potential largest-ever IPO, with a target valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. However, expectations in the secondary market have already been revised upwards to around $2.3 trillion, corresponding to a premium of approximately 34% on the Pre-IPO contracts traded on Binance and Hyperliquid.The market pricing logic has shifted from a "rocket company" to an "AI + Global Connectivity + Space Infrastructure Platform." As SpaceX integrates into the xAI asset system, its total addressable market (TAM) has expanded to approximately $28.5 trillion. This includes an AI-related market of roughly $26.5 trillion, a global connectivity network of about $1.6 trillion, while traditional space business accounts for only $400 billion. The core business, Starlink, generated $11.4 billion in revenue in 2025, a 50% year-over-year increase, with an EBITDA margin of 63%. However, its ARPU has declined from $99 to $66, reflecting the rebalancing pressure between growth and profitability structure.In the long term, the core of the market's bet remains the expansion of the space economy. The global space economy is expected to grow from $630 billion in 2023 to $1.8 trillion by 2033, with the integration of satellite networks, orbital data, and AI computing infrastructure seen as the main growth driver. SpaceX's current valuation is already highly discounting future expectations. In the short term, attention must be paid to valuation and liquidity constraints. However, looking at the medium to long term, the "AI + Space + Communications Infrastructure" convergence narrative it represents could still become one of the core themes in the next phase of the tech capital market.