Morgan Stanley: Cloud Giants' Growth Rate Surges to 48%, DDOG and Others Face Test of High Expectations
According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley's research report on August 6 pointed out that the combined growth rate of the three major cloud vendors in Q2 jumped from 39% to 48%, accelerating for five consecutive quarters. AWS grew 37% (fastest in 18 quarters), Azure increased 43%, and Google Cloud increased 82%. AWS's AI annualized revenue has exceeded $25 billion, with triple-digit growth. Azure's PostgreSQL revenue increased 55% (accelerating for three consecutive quarters), and Fabric paying customers exceeded 40,000, up 60%. Morgan Stanley believes AI consumption is driving core infrastructure demand, creating a positive backdrop for DDOG, SNOW, and MDB.
However, expectations are also rising simultaneously. Market expectations for DDOG's Q2 growth rate are 35% to 36%, with valuation corresponding to approximately 69 times 2028 FCF; any signal below expectations could be amplified. Most of SNOW's consumption comes from AWS, and cloud acceleration is a positive signal for product revenue. MDB is unlikely to see an AI inflection point in the short term, but competitive pressure is increasing. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on all three companies, with target prices of $300, $300, and $380 respectively. Whether demand exists no longer needs verification; the question the market needs to ask is whether demand is good enough to support current valuations.