News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Some analysts expect that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could rise to 6%, driven by concerns over the federal fiscal deficit, debt growth, and capital competition. Since the end of 2023, the yield has risen to 5.23%, while Bitcoin's price has roughly doubled to $86,000.If yields rise due to fiscal concerns, investors may seek alternatives to government debt, and Bitcoin could benefit; if the rise in yields is driven by the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy again, Bitcoin could come under pressure. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has continued to climb, with some analysts forecasting it will reach 6% (it last hit this level in 2000). Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, emphasized that the drivers behind the yield increase are critical: if the rise stems from concerns over fiscal deficits and term premiums, investors may shift to alternative assets such as Bitcoin, constituting a bullish development; if it stems from the Federal Reserve resuming its rate-hiking cycle, it would repeat the 2022 scenario of Bitcoin plummeting 64%. Data shows that since the end of 2023, the 10-year yield has risen by 135 basis points to 5.23%, while Bitcoin’s price simultaneously doubled to around $86,000, validating the "decoupling" narrative between Bitcoin and Treasuries amid fiscal concerns. Dan Niles, founder of Niles Investment Management, also noted that the U.S. fiscal deficit accounts for approximately 6% of GDP. Coupled with tech giants undertaking large-scale fundraising that competes with Treasuries for the same pool of capital, yields will continue to be pushed higher.
Odaily News: Bitcoin fell back to around $83,600 on Friday, down about 1% from the previous trading day, after briefly touching around $87,000, reaching that level for the first time in months. Market analysis suggests that the expiry of $1.56 billion in Bitcoin options on Deribit may have exacerbated short-term volatility, as market makers typically unwind their hedging positions after options expiry.Over the past 24 hours, BTC open interest and trading volume fell by 14.39% and 13.68% respectively, with long and short liquidations relatively balanced—long liquidations totaled $161.96 million and short liquidations $156.1 million—indicating that leveraged funds are readjusting. On the technical side, BTC's 50-day moving average remains above its 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross," and the short-term trend is still viewed as relatively strong.Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net inflows of $299.09 million on Friday, though this was lower than the single-day inflow levels seen earlier in the week. By contrast, XRP rose 4.37% over the past 24 hours and 15.45% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $1.58; Solana rose 3.36% over the past 24 hours and 9.33% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $119.84. The next macro data points the market is watching are the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data due on September 30 and the September nonfarm payrolls report due on October 2. (Decrypt)
veteran trader Peter Brandt stated that his long-term ETH chart shows that if ETH breaks above $5,000, the price could eventually rise to $8,600. The higher target marked on the chart is $8,674.50.Brandt emphasized that publishing a chart or making a price judgment is not the same as an actual trade, and those claiming to have completed a trade need to provide proof of the trade. His commodity trading career began in 1976, and he founded Factor Trading Co. in 1980. (Bitcoin News)
the whale "10 Big Targets First" replied on X regarding their previous actions, stating that they expect the current BTC uptrend to potentially extend to $120,000, and plan to reduce their position by 30% when BTC rises to $100,000.Previously, they stated that BTC still has room to enter at $80,000 or even above, and predicted that $100,000 may arrive sooner than previously expected.
: BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on the X platform that Lance Vitanza, an analyst at the $15 billion investment bank TD Cowen, stated that Strive's stock price will rise 33% to $32. The firm noted that its treasury activities have significantly exceeded previous models. TD Cowen expects Strive to hold more than 27,100 bitcoins by the end of 2026.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), as the BTC price rose, the 1,793 BTC (approximately $114.4 million) short position held by address 0xff84 was once on the verge of forced liquidation. The address subsequently voluntarily closed part of the position to mitigate risk. The current remaining short position is 1,543 BTC (approximately $98.97 million), and the latest liquidation price has moved up to $64,225.35.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler pointed out in a weekly report analysis that the US 10-year Treasury yield has recently risen to approximately 4.7%, approaching the upper limit of the range over the past five years. The high-interest rate environment is tightening financial conditions, raising financing costs and asset discount rates, and increasing pressure on risk assets.
Citrini analyst Jukan, citing Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore, stated on X that the memory shortage in the data center sector is continuing to deteriorate, with no signs of easing market supply pressure, and the tightness of memory supply remains higher than expected. Currently, compared to the projected levels for the second quarter of 2026, prices for memory products with the same specifications have already risen by at least 25% in the third quarter, exceeding previous forecasts by Morgan Stanley and third-party institutions.The tight memory supply situation could further intensify in 2027 and 2028. Current available memory resources in the market cannot meet the rapidly growing demands of the artificial intelligence industry, and this situation is unlikely to change in the short term. AI is consuming a large amount of DRAM production capacity, reducing the memory resources available for other industries, and the production of consumer electronics such as PCs and smartphones has already been affected.AI is consuming a large amount of DRAM production capacity, reducing the memory resources available for other industries, and the production of consumer electronics such as PCs and smartphones has already been affected. The demand from AI is not only impacted by the memory shortage; memory itself is gradually becoming one of the key bottlenecks limiting AI development, on par with data center space and power supply. Additionally, some cloud computing customers are paying higher-than-expected prices to secure memory products delivered six weeks early. The market believes that as AI server construction continues to expand, pressure on the supply chains for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and DRAM may persist further.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, SK Hynix (SKHX) on Hyperliquid surged and plunged sharply after opening this morning. It opened at $1,168.1, reached a high of $1,270.1 within half an hour, a gain of approximately 8.7%; it then quickly retreated, dipping to a low of $1,185.3 at 9:55, down approximately 6.7% from the high.
Citrini analyst Jukan stated in a post that, according to the latest channel research, the global DRAM market average selling price (ASP) for the third quarter is expected to rise 21% quarter-over-quarter. This expectation is higher than TrendForce's previous forecast of a 13% to 18% increase in traditional DRAM prices and an overall increase of 8% to 13% including HBM.
Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas posted on platform X stating that the S&P 500 Index is currently at historical highs, while Money Market Fund (MMF) assets have also hit record highs. This structure of "both stock market and cash at highs" forms a sharp contrast, but for bulls, it means there is still a large amount of "dry powder" yet to enter the market.
Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated in a post on platform X that FTSE Russell has announced the preliminary list of index additions and deletions, and BitMine Immersion Technologies (ticker: BMNR) has been included in the list of companies under consideration for inclusion in the large-cap Russell 1000 Index.Tom Lee noted that Bitmine's current market capitalization has already exceeded the $5.7 billion threshold for inclusion in the Russell 1000 large-cap index. Since many active fund managers only invest in Russell 1000 components, if BMNR is officially added to the index, it could attract more institutional capital attention.Additionally, the market generally expects that approximately 20% to 25% of a stock's market capitalization is typically held by passive index funds and ETFs, meaning that eligibility for the Russell 1000 may further increase expectations for related passive capital inflows.
According to hypurrscan data, as HYPE and ZEC continue to rally, the floating profits on whale Evaded's (@ICanPlug) 10x long positions have grown to nearly $8 million. Specifically:10x long ZEC position holds 36,880 ZEC, worth $24.9 million, with floating profits of $5 million;10x long HYPE position holds over 363,000 HYPE, worth over $20.55 million, with floating profits of $2.92 million.