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News linked to both this project and an event.

Analysis: Bitcoin Releases Late-Bear Market Signals, Liquidity Return May Trigger Next Round of Volatility

Odaily News Bitfinex's latest report indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating within a narrow range recently, with volatility, trading activity, and market liquidity all compressed to levels similar to those seen at the end of a bear market.Currently, Bitcoin's price remains above the "Median Realised Price" of around $63,200, while the key level for short-term holders (STH) to achieve overall profitability stands at $67,176. Meanwhile, market demand is weakening: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $385 million last week, corporate Bitcoin reserve-related activity has turned negative, spot trading volume has fallen to multi-year lows, and Bitcoin transfer speed has dropped to its lowest level in seven years.Bitfinex stated that in the current extremely thin liquidity environment, even slight changes in capital flows could trigger significant Bitcoin price fluctuations. At the same time, weak retail activity, declining real income, and deteriorating consumer confidence indicate that U.S. household demand is under pressure. Bitfinex noted that the current market shows a clear divergence: accommodative financial conditions are driving traditional risk assets higher, but the crypto market has not yet received corresponding capital inflows.Bitfinex believes that the core market question has shifted from "whether monetary policy will improve" to "whether improved liquidity can translate into capital inflows for crypto assets." If Bitcoin spot ETFs resume sustained net inflows in the future, coupled with stablecoin supply expansion, this would signal a restart of the crypto market's liquidity transmission mechanism and could become a key catalyst for BTC breaking out of its prolonged low-volatility state.Before capital returns, although the macro environment is gradually improving, the crypto market's upside still lacks capital support. However, given that market participation has dropped to extremely low levels and BTC continues to hold key realized price support levels, once liquidity re-enters the market, it could trigger violent fluctuations. The current structure leans toward an upward breakout once demand recovers.

EY Survey: Over 70% of U.S. Entrepreneurs Have Integrated AI, Generally Require Clear Return on Investment

According to Forbes, consulting firm EY conducted a survey of 500 U.S. business owners with annual revenues exceeding $5 million. The results show that over 75% of respondents have integrated AI into business processes at least partially, with 10% having achieved full implementation. Entrepreneurs' expectations for AI center on three major areas: driving revenue growth through sales and marketing (57%), reducing operating costs (55%), and improving customer experience (49%). However, due to the difficulty in quantifying the actual benefits of AI, over one-third of respondents reduced technology spending, including AI, in the past year, generally exhibiting a prudent attitude of "seeing returns first, then increasing investment." In terms of talent and organization, 88% of respondents expect employee headcount to expand within the next 12 months, 42% are redesigning job responsibilities to integrate human-machine collaboration capabilities, but 46% of respondents also point out that insufficient talent and professional expertise are the main obstacles to implementing AI at scale.

US stock calling king Serenity announced for the first time its position in European stock XFAB, with an opening gain of approximately 10%

US stock calling king Serenity posted on X platform that it has completed building a position in European stock XFAB at a market cap of $1.28 billion. This is the first time Serenity has mentioned this stock on X. XFAB rose by 10% after opening on Euronext Paris today (opening at 15:00 Beijing time), rising from €8.88 to €9.88.X-FAB Silicon Foundries SE (XFAB) is a specialty wafer foundry focused on analog and mixed-signal semiconductor technologies. Serenity stated that the EU's "CHIPS Act 2" will act as a catalyst for European photonics companies, and XFAB is likely to be included and receive government funding.Additionally, XFAB is the only high-volume silicon carbide wafer foundry in the United States and is also a key manufacturer of Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS). Currently, XFAB's price-to-book ratio is approximately 1.29x, and Serenity believes its expected price-to-earnings ratio will reach 6.5 to 8.5 in 2028.It is reported that Serenity is currently the most followed and influential stock analyst in the AI/semiconductor sector on the X platform. Joining X in July 2025, Serenity now has over 400,000 followers and over 37,000 account subscriptions. Over the past year, many small-cap stocks it has called have risen by over 100%, and its personal return rate so far this year has exceeded 3,840%.To learn more about Serenity’s investment strategies and background, please read "US Stock Calling King Serenity: Building Positions at Low Valuations Ahead of Institutions, Annual Return of 3,840%".

Polymarket’s Return to the U.S. Stalls: Operations Lag, CEO Accused of “Nominal Management”

According to The Information, Polymarket—four years after exiting the U.S. market—is attempting to re-enter the domestic market by acquiring a U.S.-licensed derivatives and futures exchange, thereby rejoining the regulated framework, and has appointed Justin Hertzberg to lead its U.S. operations. However, recent developments indicate that Polymarket’s U.S. business progress has fallen short of expectations, with its market share significantly trailing that of its main competitor, Kalshi. Reportedly, within the company, Justin Hertzberg assumes more of a “figurehead CEO” role, primarily responsible for signing regulatory documents, while his capacity to manage and scale U.S. operations remains limited. Overall, Polymarket’s re-entry into the U.S. market continues to face dual challenges—both regulatory and operational.

Crypto Whale Sues Coinbase for Refusing to Return $55 Million in Stolen Funds

According to Decrypt, an anonymous cryptocurrency whale filed a lawsuit against Coinbase this week in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, accusing the exchange of refusing to return over $55 million worth of DAI stablecoins stolen in a phishing attack in 2024. The plaintiff claims to have engaged multiple on-chain investigation firms to trace the funds, ultimately identifying that the stolen assets flowed into a Coinbase account. Coinbase confirmed in December 2024 that it had frozen the relevant assets but refused to return them, citing the need for a court order. As of today—more than a year and a half after the incident—the victim has still not recovered the assets and has therefore turned to litigation. The attack was carried out by hackers using the “Inferno Drainer” tool to spoof the DeFi Saver login page; after the victim inadvertently interacted with the fake page, their wallet was fully compromised by the attackers.

Forbes: BTC Expectations for Return to $80,000 Rise as SEC Chair's Comments at Bitcoin 2026 Conference Draw Attention

: US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Paul Atkins recently reiterated the push for "Project Crypto" and announced plans to jointly develop a digital asset classification framework with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This framework will clarify when a token is deemed a security, while also introducing an "innovation exemption" to support the on-chain trading of tokenized securities.The market believes that the series of initiatives pushed by Paul Atkins represent one of the most aggressive shifts in crypto regulation in SEC history, marking a formal abandonment of the old “regulation by enforcement” model in favor of clear rule-making. This move could release a stronger entry signal for institutional capital that has been on the sidelines, potentially driving Bitcoin's price back above $80,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $77,586. The market is now focused on Atkins's further statements at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in late April. (Forbes)