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Odaily News, ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood stated that while the recent U.S. employment report appears concerning on the surface, deeper economic trends are shifting. Productivity gains, the expanding application of AI, and potential deflationary pressures could become the main market themes moving forward.Wood noted that the U.S. federal deficit as a percentage of GDP is currently around 5.6%, approaching levels seen during the Reagan era in the 1980s. She believes that if productivity and technology adoption continue to accelerate as ARK anticipates, that ratio could fall to about 5% by year-end, although most economic forecasters view this target as difficult to achieve.On inflation, Wood believes the market is underestimating deflationary risks. She noted that recent inflation data has consistently come in below expectations, with the June CPI falling 0.4% month-over-month, PPI down 0.3% month-over-month, and core PCE rising just 0.1% month-over-month. She argues that companies that fail to adopt AI and productivity tools may face greater pricing pressure and competitive risks in the future.Wood is also bullish on the U.S. dollar. ARK's data model based on Kalshi prediction markets suggests the dollar index could rise to 102.6 this year. She pushed back against the view that "overseas capital is selling off U.S. assets," pointing out that Japan's recent currency market intervention primarily involved selling euros and buying yen, rather than selling dollars.In energy markets, Wood believes a global crude oil supply glut is taking shape. She noted that the UAE's production has risen to historic highs after leaving OPEC, and further downside in oil prices could act as a deflationary driver for the global economy.Regarding the AI investment boom, Wood said concerns about an AI bubble are overblown, and the current growth in capital expenditure likely represents the early stage of a long-term technological revolution rather than a short-term speculative cycle.In the crypto asset space, Wood said Bitcoin's performance relative to gold is stabilizing, and believes that as the "agentic commerce" economy develops, Bitcoin and stablecoins could become the biggest beneficiaries.
According to charts released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on July 27, 2026, the Bitcoin price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) trends show a clear divergence signal. The RSI recently fell to the 30% oversold zone, then rebounded to around the 50% level, while the BTC price also recovered from near the lows to approximately $64,645. Notably, the purple downward trend line in the chart shows that since the June 2025 high (approximately $125,000), BTC has been overall in a downward channel; the current price is still suppressed by this resistance line, and whether it can effectively break through will be key to judging subsequent trends.
Glassnode stated that the extent to which long-term holders dominate selling pressure can be assessed by observing exchange fund flows. The indicator "Long-Term Holder/Short-Term Holder Exchange Realized Profit/Loss Relative Ratio" shows that among the funds currently flowing into exchanges, over 65% come from long-term holders selling at a loss.
According to data disclosed by crypto analyst Scott Melker, Bitcoin short-term holders have recorded the largest loss-taking sell-off in history, while approximately 5.3 million BTC held by long-term holders are in a state of unrealized loss, with market sentiment turning extremely pessimistic.Additionally, Bitcoin's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to around 15.5, its lowest level since the pandemic-induced bear market in March 2020, indicating the market is deeply oversold. Having already fallen below $60,000, the likelihood of Bitcoin testing $50,000 is increasing. However, if it can sustain the key support level at $60,000 in the near term, a rebound toward the 20-day EMA around $70,600 could be possible in the coming weeks.