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UBS Raises S&P 500 Target, Bullish on AI and Earnings Growth Extending the Rally

Odaily News UBS has raised its S&P 500 index target, projecting a target of 8,100 points by December 2026 and further increasing to 8,400 points by June 2027, citing strong corporate earnings growth and sustained economic resilience.UBS expects S&P 500 companies' earnings per share (EPS) to reach $350 in 2026 and $400 in 2027, driven primarily by performance in the technology, semiconductor, and energy sectors.The bank continues to hold a positive outlook on U.S. economic resilience, the Federal Reserve's patient policy stance, and the accelerating adoption of artificial intelligence, believing there is still room for the current bull market to extend.However, UBS also flagged potential risks, including rising oil prices, resurgent inflation, and AI investment returns falling short of expectations, which could weigh on market valuations and upward momentum.

Bitwise CIO: If Clarity Act Fails to Pass, Market May See Autumn Rally After Short-Term Volatility

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan posted that if the Clarity Act fails to pass this week, the ideal scenario is for Polymarket odds to drop significantly to the teens to eliminate market uncertainty. He pointed out that the market may experience brief volatility at that time, but it will create conditions for an autumn market rebound.

Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps

Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the first time in seven months. However, this rally is clearly more driven by leveraged capital rather than spot buying.The report notes that over the past month, Bitcoin open interest increased by approximately $10 billion, while spot trading volume dropped to a two-year low, a classic short squeeze scenario. Although ETFs still recorded net inflows of $623 million and BTC reserves on exchanges fell to a seven-year low, the current RSI has entered overbought territory. If spot buying fails to sustain after the short squeeze ends, BTC prices could face a rapid correction risk.Wintermute also stated that the current crypto market rally is more driven by the strength of US equities and the resonance of leverage, rather than an independent bull market narrative. Upcoming US CPI data and changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations will be key factors in determining whether BTC can stably hold above $80,000.

Analysis: BTC’s Rally Stalls Amid Japanese Inflation Data and Iran War-Driven Market Risk Aversion

According to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency market weakened overall on Friday, with BTC hovering near $77,800—its upward momentum since Wednesday’s rally from $65,000 notably slowing. ETH traded at $2,300, down approximately 0.8% over the past 24 hours, underperforming BTC. Market pressure stems primarily from two sources: First, Japan’s March Corporate Services Price Index rose 3.1% year-on-year—above expectations—and core inflation accelerated, raising market expectations that the Bank of Japan may signal an interest rate hike at its next policy meeting; a stronger yen could trigger unwinding of global risk-asset carry trades. Second, the ongoing Iran conflict continues disrupting oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz; WTI crude futures have surged over 40% since the outbreak of hostilities, reaching $96 per barrel. The U.S. Department of Defense warned that mine clearance will take at least six months, implying persistent global inflationary pressures and further constraining the Federal Reserve’s room to cut interest rates.