News linked to both this project and an event.
Crypto analyst Ali posted on the X platform stating that Nvidia (NVDA) shares reached an all-time high of $237.88 on October 2, rising nearly 14% since September 14. The stock is currently testing the upper channel resistance and is poised to potentially climb toward a $260 target. With the AI sector regaining market focus, AI-related ETFs may see breakout rallies. The Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL) aims to generate triple the daily performance of the semiconductor index and has recently displayed breakout tendencies. If the support around $150 holds, a follow-through target of $210 comes into view. The Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM), which primarily invests in global memory chip manufacturers, is currently consolidating in an ascending triangle pattern. A decisive break above $64 could open further upside room toward an $80 target. Ali believes the subsequent performance of these two ETFs will likely confirm the ongoing extension of the AI cycle.
The latest portfolio holdings of "AI Oracle" Leopold Aschenbrenner show that his core positions remain concentrated in semiconductor and AI infrastructure-related companies, with SanDisk (SNDK) and Micron (MU) accounting for approximately 28% and 27.5% of the portfolio respectively, ranking as the highest-priority holdings.
According to Korean media outlet MK and data from the Korean Securities Information Portal, since September, Korean individual investors have significantly trimmed their positions in multiple U.S. semiconductor stocks while simultaneously adding to semiconductor leveraged ETF holdings. Net selling exceeded $100 million for Micron, $68.61 million for SanDisk, $49.37 million for Marvell Technology, and $15.56 million for NVIDIA. The SK hynix ADR, which recently debuted on the NYSE in July, recorded net selling of $46.16 million during the same period, contrasting with cumulative net purchases of $811 million through the end of August.
Boosted by Nvidia's strong Q2 earnings, the Bitcoin spot price has rebounded to the $81,000 range. As August options expiration approaches, analysts believe key selling pressure is easing, indicating greater upside potential once the price breaks through $82,000.
NVIDIA announced better-than-expected second-quarter earnings after hours and, unusually, issued advance fiscal-year performance guidance. The company projects FY2028 revenue to increase by roughly 70%, significantly surpassing analysts’ expectations of 44%, with actual growth likely to be even higher given ongoing supply constraints.
NVIDIA expects third-quarter revenue to reach $108 billion, exceeding the average analyst estimate but falling short of some market forecasts. Following the earnings report, its stock dipped approximately 2% in after-hours trading, sparking market concerns over the pace of AI capital expenditure growth and the potential for an industry bubble.
According to Bloomberg, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (Hon Hai Precision Industry) announced second-quarter results ended June, with net profit increasing 35% year-on-year to NT$60 billion (approximately US$1.9 billion), exceeding analysts' average expectation of NT$58.4 billion; quarterly revenue had previously recorded a 40% increase. July single-month revenue surged 54.2% year-on-year to NT$946.5 billion, far exceeding analysts' average expectation of a 32% increase for the quarter. The company's strong performance reflects sustained robust global demand for AI hardware.
Odaily News, Citrini analyst jukan posted on X platform, according to TrendForce's latest memory industry research, the DRAM supply shortage is expected to persist through 2027, and the HBM4e certification timeline remains uncertain. NVIDIA has been reassessing the HBM configuration for Rubin Ultra since the third quarter of 2026.The original plan called for a 12-layer stacked HBM4e configuration, but NVIDIA is currently evaluating multiple designs in parallel, including HBM4e 8-layer stacking, HBM4 12-layer stacking, and HBM4 8-layer stacking, with the final specifications yet to be confirmed. In addition to NVIDIA, some CSPs are reportedly also considering reducing HBM capacity for their next-generation custom ASICs.From 2025 to the first half of 2026, NVIDIA used 12-layer stacked HBM4e as the baseline design for Rubin Ultra. However, since the beginning of the third quarter of 2026, NVIDIA has begun reviewing lower-spec alternatives. TrendForce attributes this change to two major supply-side constraints: first, the overall DRAM shortage expected in 2027 will limit the wafer capacity that memory manufacturers can allocate to HBM production; second, uncertainty remains regarding the certification timeline for 12-layer stacked HBM4e and the pace of yield improvement in mass production.TrendForce stated that NVIDIA's primary focus for the Rubin Ultra generation is improving I/O speed, with expanding GPU shipments as a secondary priority. If NVIDIA ultimately decides to downgrade the HBM specifications, it is expected to do so by reducing the number of DRAM stacking layers. Whether HBM4e can complete certification and enter mass production as planned will determine whether Rubin Ultra's I/O speed can be improved from the previous generation Rubin's 8 to 11.7Gbps to 14 to 16Gbps, or be maintained at 11 to 12Gbps through an optimized HBM4 design. Within the same product generation, the number of DRAM stacking layers determines the trade-off between HBM capacity per GPU and the number of GPUs that can be shipped.TrendForce also believes that the final configuration will depend on wafer allocation decisions made by memory manufacturers. On the supply-demand front, HBM bit shipments in 2027 are expected to grow 50% to 60% year-over-year, but are still projected to fall short of demand growth. With supply constraints persisting, HBM suppliers are expected to maintain pricing power throughout 2027. The industry has broadly anticipated significant HBM price increases, and AI chip makers will face the dual pressure of limited HBM supply and rising procurement costs, further strengthening the incentive to adopt lower HBM capacity configurations.
"The Big Short" prototype Michael Burry disclosed his latest portfolio adjustments via his personal Substack account. On the short side, he further increased his short position on Micron Technology (MU), with an average entry price of approximately $880; continued to increase his short exposure to NVIDIA (NVDA), and added to his short position on the semiconductor ETF SOXX, with an average price of approximately $506, indicating that he maintains a generally cautious stance on the semiconductor sector overall.
: According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ai Yi, trader Beaumont's two addresses (0x9e8...816, 0x7fa...11b) closed and took profit on a total of $28.95 million in short positions on Micron over the past half hour, accumulating a profit of $2.953 million; subsequently, they opened a $29.417 million 2x short position on NVIDIA at an entry price of $193.15.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid whale has deposited 31.12 million USDC into Hyperliquid over the past 3 days, currently holding a $64.9 million short position. The latest deposit was 5.12 million USDC. Current positions include a $43.93 million short on SKHX, a $17.07 million short on BRENTOIL, as well as other shorts on SMSN, HIMS, and NVIDIA. This wallet is currently 100% short.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid whale has just deposited 11 million USDC, bringing total deposits to 16 million over the past 24 hours. This wallet currently holds $43.9 million in short positions, which have been held for a long time, including $28.3 million in SKHX shorts, $14.56 million in BRENTOIL shorts, as well as other short positions in HIMS, SMSN, and NVIDIA.
According to a post on X by Citrini analyst jukan, Foxconn has secured the first contract to manufacture SpaceX's next-generation AI servers, which are powered by NVIDIA's GB300. This move breaks the duopoly of Dell and Supermicro. The project is reportedly valued at approximately $52 billion and has not been included in the company's existing revenue guidance, suggesting that Hon Hai's AI business momentum may be stronger than previously anticipated. Coupled with the strong performance of its subsidiary FII, market expectations for Hon Hai's second-half results have significantly risen.
on the 14th local time that, according to Forbes, Oracle founder and chairman Larry Ellison's assets have decreased by $124.8 billion (approximately 186 trillion Korean won) in just over a month. On the 1st of last month, Oracle's stock price was $250 per share. Holding 40% of Oracle, Larry Ellison's total assets exceeded $300 billion, making him the world's second-richest person after Elon Musk. Recently, Oracle has faced continuous selling pressure. On the 13th, its stock price fell to $133 per share, its lowest level in 14 months. Larry Ellison's assets dropped to $175.2 billion, pushing his wealth ranking down to 8th place, below NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's $176.3 billion.Last year, Oracle signed a $300 billion contract with AI startup OpenAI and began building related infrastructure like data centers. Oracle has already invested $55.7 billion in AI data centers and announced an additional $70 billion investment. On the 9th, Standard & Poor's downgraded Oracle's credit rating from BBB to BBB-, a level just above junk bond status. (ETNews SW).
Citrini analyst Jukan disclosed in a post on the X platform that NVIDIA has decided to temporarily abandon adopting TSMC's COUPE (Compact Universal Photonic Engine) technical solution, as TSMC's progress in advancing silicon nitride (SiN) technology has been slow and the development of 2D grating couplers has not met expectations.
Odaily Odaily News: On-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X, stating that according to Doinb's revelation, LoL S4 World Champion Imp suddenly stopped streaming in March 2026 because he made profits from stock trading and no longer needed to stream. Imp previously mentioned during a livestream that "the money earned from streaming in a month is less than what I earn from stock trading in a day," and that "between March and October 2025, his assets increased tenfold, heavily investing in SK Hynix and buying NVIDIA."Additionally, the timing of Imp's streaming hiatus closely coincides with the rise of South Korean semiconductor stocks. However, Imp himself has not responded to the rumors of achieving financial freedom. Meanwhile, MLXG, who is also known for using his salary to trade stocks, heavily invested in baijiu (Chinese liquor) stocks, and his assets have nearly gone to zero.
according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, on June 29, SHAZ announced the completion of a $1.6 billion financing to support a six-year strategic partnership with NVIDIA; 11 hours ago, Leopold Aschenbrenner's fund disclosed a new 19.9% stake in SHAZ. The former saw a gain of 1.45%, while the latter climbed 14% after-hours. The SEC requires funds to submit public reports when their holdings exceed 5%.
: In response to the community debate over "Micron VS Nvidia," Jukan, an analyst at Citrini Research, posted on platform X, stating, "MU (Micron) may not be Nvidia, but its future importance could surpass Nvidia. Inference is now directly tied to revenue, but improvements in inference performance cannot be achieved simply by adding more Nvidia GPUs. In inference, GPUs are often underutilized and idle due to memory bottlenecks. For inference, increasing memory provides higher value. The return on investment for inference ultimately depends on memory, not GPU. Therefore, why are people still fixated on obtaining Micron through Nvidia's framework? One must think more comprehensively. Inference is memory."
: Citrini analyst jukan posted on the X platform that driven by AI demand and supply shortages, South Korea's storage semiconductor export value and unit price rose simultaneously in June. According to trade statistics from the Korea Customs Service, as of June 20, 2026, the total export value of major storage products exceeded 23 billion USD, already surpassing 60% of the 37.16 billion USD total export value for the entire month of May.Based on the recent monthly growth of HBM, NAND, and SSD, the total storage semiconductor export value in June is expected to reach 38 to 42 billion USD, surpassing last month's record and reaching an all-time high. In June, both the export value and unit price of various storage semiconductors rose simultaneously, with the export value of MCP (i.e., HBM) increasing by 51% month-over-month.Influenced by continued investment in AI data centers by global tech giants like NVIDIA, the supply shortage of HBM3E and HBM4, centered around SK Hynix, persists. As wafers are concentrated on HBM production, the supply of general DRAM has relatively decreased, pushing the unit price of general DRAM to approximately 2 to 3 times that of the same period last year. Demand for NAND flash and SSD is growing alongside the expansion of AI inference server construction, with both product categories seeing a month-over-month increase of 25% to 28%. The share of storage products in total semiconductor exports has risen from the previous 70% range to 90% this month. The combined export value of storage and system semiconductors reached 25.5 billion USD, with the total semiconductor export value for June expected to be between 42 and 46 billion USD.Park Junyoung, a researcher at Hanwha Investment & Securities, stated that South Korea's storage industry is currently overcoming weaknesses by relying on two tools: long-term supply agreements and HBM. Even if the profitability of the storage industry declines in the future, the drop in operating profit is unlikely to be as severe as in the past.
Citrini analyst jukan posted on platform X, stating that as the expansion of AI infrastructure demand drives an increase in high-end PCB orders, new bottlenecks have emerged in the upstream CCL supply chain; following T-glass fiber cloth, HVLP4 copper foil is expected to become a key constraint from the second half of the year onwards.Industry insiders say that NVIDIA and its major clients have once again directly intervened in material supply coordination to ensure that the mass production and shipment plans for next-generation AI servers remain on track. Led by NVIDIA, clients are now bypassing CCL manufacturers, directly engaging with upstream material suppliers, managing glass fiber cloth and copper foil themselves, providing suppliers with clearer order visibility, shifting to a direct consignment model, and locking in key material production capacity more than a year in advance.The supply-demand gap is expected to exceed 40% in 2026, and will still be 25% in 2027. As major AI servers and high-speed computing platforms migrate from HVLP2/HVLP3 to HVLP4, the demand for HVLP4 copper foil is rising. The supply shortage is expected to reach 1,500 tons in 2026; Mitsui Kinzoku and Co-Tech are expanding production, but the HVLP4 supply gap is projected to widen to 2,500 tons by 2027.