News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News As prediction markets gradually expand into the realms of politics and government decision-making, insider trading risks are becoming a regulatory focus. U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi has stated that it has identified multiple suspected cases of insider trading and has submitted the relevant leads to federal regulators.Kalshi spokesperson Laura Frank stated that the company prohibits market manipulation and insider trading and has established a trading surveillance system similar to those used in securities markets. Earlier this year, Kalshi's monitoring system flagged suspicious trading activity by former Congressman George Santos in markets related to the U.S. President's State of the Union address. The company subsequently submitted its investigative findings to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Additionally, federal agencies are investigating whether former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez used advance knowledge of Trump's speech content to trade on Kalshi-related markets.Meanwhile, the Trump family is accelerating its push into the prediction market space. Trump Media & Technology Group is developing a prediction market platform called TruthPredict, which will allow users to trade prediction contracts tied to major events. The company is also launching Truth API, providing Wall Street with high-speed data access to Truth Social content.Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of the former president, currently serves as a strategic advisor to Kalshi, while his venture capital firm, 1789 Capital, has invested in rival Polymarket and joined its advisory board. This means the Trump family is simultaneously linked to the two leading prediction market platforms, while Trump Media Group is also building its own prediction market business.Although there is currently no public evidence showing that Donald Trump Jr. or the Trump family has traded using inside government information, the potential conflicts of interest arising from the intertwining of presidential public information, market trading, and family business interests are drawing growing external scrutiny.As of now, Donald Trump Jr.'s team and Trump Media & Technology Group have not immediately responded to requests for comment. (Fortune)
Odaily News: U.S. banking giant Wells Fargo plans to launch tokenized deposits for select corporate and commercial clients in fall 2026, initially supporting USD and GBP transactions, with plans to expand to more clients and currencies in 2027. Tokenized deposits remain bank liabilities but can enable continuous transfers, programmable payments, faster settlement, and transaction visibility via blockchain. Wells Fargo is not the only bank pursuing this initiative. JPMorgan has already expanded its blockchain-based payment services for institutional clients, and other major financial institutions are developing similar products and shared networks. Meanwhile, the circulation and transaction volume of stablecoins such as USDC continue to grow, and they are already used for settlement across crypto markets, payment networks, and tokenized finance platforms. Tokenized deposits allow funds to remain within the regulated banking system while supporting time-based transfers and condition-triggered payments. Stablecoins, on the other hand, already cover trading, remittance, cross-border payments, decentralized finance, and tokenized asset settlement. Enterprise adoption of both product types will also be influenced by accounting treatment, regulatory rules, and cross-network interoperability.
Odaily News The U.S. labor market has shown notable signs of cooling. Data shows that U.S. non-farm payrolls decreased by 23,000 in July, far below the market's previous expectation of an increase of 85,000, missing expectations by 108,000 — marking the third-largest monthly decline since the onset of the pandemic in 2020. Meanwhile, June's non-farm payroll figures were revised down by 37,000, further signaling a weakening trend in the labor market.Following the release of the employment data, market expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve quickly declined. Data indicates that the probability of a September rate hike dropped sharply from roughly 70% to 40%, prompting investors to reprice the future path of Fed policy. Analysts suggest that a lower probability of rate hikes typically benefits risk assets, but the underlying reasons — weakening economic growth and a softening labor market — could also heighten market risk aversion. At the same time, gold prices have surpassed $4,400, reflecting rising demand for safe-haven assets.For Bitcoin, the current market presents a dual impact: on one hand, a shift toward looser Fed policy could boost risk appetite, which is positive for crypto assets; on the other hand, continued deterioration in the labor market could limit upside potential for the market. The market will be watching next month's non-farm payroll data to see whether it further confirms the trend of slowing employment. If labor weakness persists, it could reinforce expectations of a Fed pivot toward easing — but it could also intensify concerns of an economic recession.
Odaily News: One week after the implementation of regulatory measures on single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs in South Korea, trading activity in related products has noticeably cooled, with trading volume falling below 1 trillion KRW for two consecutive trading days.According to data from the Korea Exchange (KRX), on August 7, the combined trading volume of 16 single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs in the Korean market stood at 941.2 billion KRW, marking the second consecutive trading day below 1 trillion KRW after the previous day's 919.8 billion KRW.Market observers believe the decline in trading volume is mainly attributed to the new regulatory measures implemented on July 31. The new rules raise the capital threshold for ordinary retail investors to participate in single-stock leveraged ETFs, increasing the base margin requirement from 10 million KRW to 30 million KRW in cash.Data shows that on the day before the regulation took effect (July 30), the trading volume of the 16 related ETFs reached as high as 12.45 trillion KRW. On the first day of regulation (July 31), it plummeted to 3.15 trillion KRW, and has continued to decline since, dropping to 1.39 trillion KRW and 1.26 trillion KRW on August 3 and 4 respectively, before falling below 1 trillion KRW in recent days.Meanwhile, the share of single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs in the overall Korean ETF market turnover has also dropped significantly, falling to 5.6% on August 7, compared with 30% to 40% before the regulation.However, Korean securities institutions point out that investment demand has not completely disappeared. Instead, there is evidence of "regulatory arbitrage" or a "balloon effect," with funds shifting toward semiconductor leveraged ETFs and overseas-listed leveraged products.Jung Hyun-jong, a researcher at Korea Investment & Securities, stated that while single-stock leveraged ETF trading volumes have declined following the regulation, semiconductor leveraged ETF trading volume has actually increased, indicating that some capital is rotating into alternative products. Overseas market products may also become targets for capital flows. Jung noted that since overseas-listed ETFs are not subject to domestic Korean regulatory restrictions, investors may turn to overseas single-stock leveraged ETFs. Among them, the Hong Kong-listed CSOP SK Hynix Daily (2x) Leveraged Product is currently one of the largest single-stock leveraged ETF products globally by market capitalization. Domestic Korean regulatory measures alone are unlikely to fully curb investor demand for semiconductor cycles and high-leverage strategies, and the long-term effectiveness of the regulation will require continued observation. (Daum)
Odaily News: Punchbowl News reporter posted on X platform that negotiations in the U.S. Senate over the CLARITY Act are affecting the legislative process before recess. Democratic leadership is still pushing to delay the procedural vote on the crypto regulation bill, with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer seeking more time for further negotiations.Meanwhile, Republicans are calling for the vote to move forward as soon as possible. Both sides are still coordinating on the bill's content and related provisions, and it remains uncertain whether the CLARITY Act can reach a vote before the Senate recess.
According to CoinDesk, the S&P 500 index has risen 3.12% this month, adding approximately $2.1 trillion in market value (equivalent to the total market cap of the entire crypto market), reaching a record high total market cap of $70.5 trillion, but Bitcoin has only risen about 2% this month, hovering near $64,600. Analysts point out that this round of stock market rise is mainly driven by AI and semiconductor individual stock narratives, rather than a broad-based recovery in risk appetite at the macro level, and Bitcoin lacks direct beneficial exposure to this. Meanwhile, the crypto market also faces multiple internal pressures: the Coldcard platform suffered a $120 million exploit, the prospects of the "Clarity Act" remain uncertain, MicroStrategy has reduced its BTC holdings for three consecutive months, and stablecoin supply continues to shrink—USDT's market cap dropped from $190 billion in April to $183 billion, and USDC's dropped from $79.5 billion to $72 billion.
Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn stated that based on new victim reports received following the incident, the number of attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability has reached at least 15.Thorn noted that information provided by victims helped the research team uncover previously unidentified attack activity. Unlike thefts from centralized exchanges, correlations between the attackers in this vulnerability exploit require confirmation through on-chain analysis and victim feedback.He added that a single victim reporting less than 1 BTC stolen helped the team discover a previously unknown attack, which siphoned approximately 12 BTC from 126 addresses.According to Galaxy Research's earlier estimates, the Coldcard vulnerability has led to at least three rounds of attacks, with losses amounting to approximately $100 million in BTC. Additionally, Galaxy has identified a suspected fourth round of attacks, which could bring total losses to approximately $130 million.Meanwhile, the incident has also sparked discussions regarding the security of Bitcoin self-custody. Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi stated that "AI security hardening costing around $2" could potentially have prevented this vulnerability, and noted that some AI models were able to rediscover related vulnerabilities within a relatively short timeframe. However, industry insiders pointed out that current claims about the speed of AI discovering vulnerabilities lack rigorous blind testing and verification.Researchers believe that as AI model capabilities improve, the costs of vulnerability discovery and attacks in the crypto industry may continue to decline, requiring wallet developers to further strengthen code audits and security protections. (Cointelegraph)
According to QCP Group, the US Treasury, via the New York Fed, jointly purchased yen with the Japanese Ministry of Finance last Friday, marking the first US-Japan joint foreign exchange intervention action specifically to support the yen since 1998. Meanwhile, the US 30-year Treasury yield briefly rose to about 5.27%, hitting a new high since 2007, before falling back to 5.24%. QCP pointed out that the transmission path of this intervention to the crypto market mainly unfolds through yen carry trades—rapid yen appreciation may force investors holding yen funding positions to deleverage and buy back yen, subsequently affecting risk assets including BTC and ETH, reenacting the market volatility triggered by carry trade unwinding in August 2024. QCP reminded that current macro monitoring indicators should take the USD/JPY exchange rate, Japan funding costs, and US long-end Treasury yields into consideration; fiscal policy operations are increasingly becoming an important variable affecting the direction of global liquidity.
Odaily News — U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has proposed the "Creating an Anti-Corruption Bureau Act," which plans to establish a new federal anti-corruption agency responsible for investigating, enforcing, and preventing corruption within the executive branch. In a statement, Schumer noted that U.S. President Donald Trump previously disclosed investment income exceeding $2 billion in 2025, of which approximately $1.4 billion came from crypto-related businesses; in addition, the Trump family also holds crypto fund assets linked to foreign governments.The proposal would consolidate agencies such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC), the Office of Government Ethics (OGE), and the Office of Special Counsel (OSC). Trump's relationship with the crypto industry is also one of the main controversies in the advancement of the current U.S. crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act.The White House responded that Trump's investments are managed by independent third-party financial institutions and that there is no conflict of interest. Meanwhile, the CLARITY Act remains under consideration in the U.S. Senate, with no vote scheduled yet. (Cointelegraph)
According to BIT Official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN) analysis, the current crypto market faces dual pressure from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the slowed progress of the CLARITY Act. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh maintains a hawkish stance; the 2-year US Treasury yield has risen cumulatively by approximately 35 basis points since late January, and the Committee has seen a pattern of 9 votes to maintain interest rates and 3 votes supporting rate hikes. Regarding the CLARITY Act, prediction markets indicate a mere 32% probability of it being signed by the end of 2026, with the legislative window continuing to narrow. Meanwhile, crypto market trading volume has retreated 80% from highs, total market cap has fallen approximately 50%, and USDT and USDC have shown no significant expansion since November 2025, reflecting an overall lack of new USD liquidity in the market. Despite this, Bitcoin remains within the $62,000 to $66,000 range, correcting only about 3% over the past week. It demonstrates stronger resilience compared to most altcoins, reflecting that active position adjustment pressure has been largely released. BIT points out that if Bitcoin subsequently regains $70,000 and drives multiple indicators to turn bullish, it will further confirm that the low point of this cycle has been established.
According to Yonhap News, economists at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warned in an analysis in their monthly bulletin that the AI boom is blurring economic signals, increasing the risk of central banks making serious policy errors. The analysis pointed out that AI's impact on investment, trade, and asset prices has reached an "observable" scale, sufficient to influence global economic prospects in real time, and continues to support economic growth amidst trade disputes and geopolitical shocks; U.S. spending on data centers and IT manufacturing facilities has risen to 0.8% of GDP, and the wealth effect from AI-driven stock price increases is also stimulating consumption. Meanwhile, if AI boosts productivity or triggers unemployment concerns, it may produce a disinflationary effect. BIS economists warned that short-term inflationary effects may already be emerging, while disinflationary effects will be more gradual; once central banks overestimate productivity gains or underestimate underlying demand growth, they will face the risk of keeping interest rates too low and inflation spiraling out of control.
According to Cointelegraph, the Hungarian parliament voted to abolish the crypto asset verification requirements previously set to take effect on July 1, 2025, which mandated that specific cryptocurrency conversions could only be executed after licensed third parties verified asset sources, wallet ownership, and customer information. Finance Minister Kármán András stated that the previously strict regulatory provisions had caused multiple service providers to exit the Hungarian market, and the market is currently showing signs of recovery. Meanwhile, the Hungarian National Bank (MNB) officially granted Tiwala Solutions, operator of the Budapest crypto platform CoinCash, the first domestic license under the EU MiCA framework on July 20, with authorization covering custody, cryptocurrency-to-fiat and cryptocurrency-to-cryptocurrency exchange, transfers, investment advice, and portfolio management services.
According to The Block, 44 state attorneys general led by Ohio Attorney General Andy Wilson jointly submitted a public comment letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stating that the CFTC's proposed rules exceed the authority granted by the Commodity Exchange Act and requesting them to redraft new rules compliant with the Constitution. The letter emphasized that sports betting has historically fallen under state-level regulatory jurisdiction, and the federal government has never intervened. Meanwhile, the NFL also wrote to CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, requesting to curb the expansion of sports prediction markets, arguing that the current proposed rules are insufficient to protect the integrity of events. Currently, the legal battle between states and the CFTC continues to intensify: a Minnesota court ruled to suspend the enforcement of the state's prediction market ban, allowing Kalshi and Polymarket to continue operations; however, a New York federal judge again refused to block New York State from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, and Michigan and Washington states have also issued temporary injunctions restricting Kalshi from conducting sports event contract business locally.
According to e27, the "2026 Affluent Investor Snapshot" survey released by HSBC shows that the average cryptocurrency allocation for global affluent and high-net-worth investors is 6%, a slight decrease of 1 percentage point compared to 2025. Singapore investors' crypto allocation remained unchanged at 5%, and Malaysia remained unchanged at 6%, with no significant signs of exit. Meanwhile, investors in both regions are actively reducing cash holdings—13% of respondents in Singapore and 16% in Malaysia plan to reduce cash allocation within the next 12 months, shifting to increase alternative assets such as fixed deposits, gold, and private equity. Malaysian investors' interest in gold is particularly prominent, with the proportion planning to increase gold holdings rising by 20 percentage points; Singapore investors are more inclined towards fixed deposits (+18 percentage points) and alternative investments (+15 percentage points). Conducted between January and February 2026, this survey covered a total of 9,993 investors across 10 global markets, with a minimum investable asset threshold for respondents of USD 100,000.
According to Cointelegraph, Russia's largest bank, Sberbank, plans to establish cryptocurrency trading infrastructure by December 1, 2026, including an off-chain digital depository to record customer cryptocurrency rights and process most transactions. Meanwhile, the Russian legislature has completed the final reading of the first comprehensive crypto market regulation bill. The framework will officially take effect on September 1, 2026, covering five types of regulated market participants: exchanges, brokers, asset managers, custodians, and exchange service providers, with the Central Bank of Russia responsible for overall supervision.
the race for the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) is coming to an end, but the real challenges for companies are just beginning. The high cost of maintaining ongoing compliance systems may reshape the European crypto landscape. The future competitive focus in the industry is likely to shift from "who can obtain a license" to "who can afford the regulatory costs," driving companies towards scaling through mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, or partnerships with banks. As MiCA is gradually implemented and the UK's crypto regulatory framework takes shape, the European crypto industry is entering a new phase of consolidation. Insiders believe that high-standard regulatory requirements could fuel a new wave of M&A, and cooperation between crypto-native companies and traditional financial institutions will deepen further.This trend may be even more pronounced in the UK market. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is developing a new regulatory framework for crypto assets, which is expected to bring crypto businesses under the existing financial services regulatory system, subjecting them to capital, operational, and customer asset protection requirements similar to those for traditional investment firms. Steven Lightstone, a partner at Morgan Lewis in London and co-head of the global fintech team, stated that while the FCA aims to promote market competition and support new entrants, its regulatory standards will be very strict when it comes to consumer protection. Unlike the EU's standalone MiCA framework, the UK's approach will directly leverage the existing financial regulatory system to manage crypto firms.Meanwhile, increased regulatory certainty is accelerating the entry of European banks into the digital asset space. Simon Schneider, CEO of Sygnum Europe, noted that currently fewer than 20% of banks in Europe offer crypto-related services, indicating a significant market gap. The greatest value of MiCA is not just creating a new licensing system but providing legal certainty for financial institutions to enter the digital asset market. Citing Switzerland as an example, he pointed out that after the introduction of distributed ledger technology regulations, most major Swiss banks have begun offering digital asset services, a path that other parts of Europe may follow in the future. Banks are unlikely to replace crypto-native companies altogether; instead, they are more likely to rely on specialized infrastructure providers and collaborate in areas such as custody, brokerage, staking, and asset tokenization.As companies that fail to secure MiCA licenses gradually exit the European market, assets may become further concentrated among regulated entities. However, Schneider believes that self-custody models and institutional custody models will continue to coexist for the long term.Industry insiders suggest that the European crypto industry is entering a "regulatory-driven consolidation cycle." For crypto startups that previously
Driven by the profit surge from the AI boom and the impact of U.S. tariff policies, South Korean companies are launching their largest wave of U.S. investment and M&A in recent years. According to data from the South Korean Ministry of Economy and Finance, the actual foreign direct investment (FDI) by South Korean companies in the U.S. in the first quarter of this year more than doubled year-on-year to $10.2 billion, hitting a five-year high. Companies benefiting from the AI infrastructure boom, such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, are accelerating their布局 in the U.S. AI supply chain. Samsung has already participated in funding rounds for ZutaCore, a company specializing in AI data center liquid cooling, and Groq, an AI chip company. Meanwhile, SK Hynix plans to invest $10 billion in U.S. innovative enterprises. Investment bankers believe that with Chinese buyers exiting the M&A market for large-scale U.S. tech assets, South Korean companies are entering a "golden period" for U.S. M&A. (Financial Times)
Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini has donated approximately $10 million worth of Bitcoin to MAGA Inc., a super PAC supporting former US President Donald Trump. According to a report filed with the US Federal Election Commission (FEC), Gemini co-founders Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss completed the donations in two installments on June 19, each worth over $5 million. This donation occurred about three weeks after the CFTC and Gemini jointly filed a motion with the US District Court for the Southern District of New York, seeking to vacate the $5 million settlement agreement reached in January 2025. The settlement stemmed from the CFTC's earlier allegations that Gemini had made false or misleading statements. MAGA Inc. can use these funds to support independent political expenditures for Donald Trump. Previously, the Winklevoss brothers each donated $1 million to Donald Trump's 2024 campaign and contributed $21 million worth of Bitcoin to the Digital Freedom Fund PAC to support the crypto policy direction of the Trump administration. Currently, the court has not yet ruled on the motion to vacate the settlement between the CFTC and Gemini. Meanwhile, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig remains the sole commissioner of the agency. As of June 30, MAGA Inc. has reported receiving over $397 million in funds.
According to the Financial Times, HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) disclosed through a freedom of information request that since launching a special cryptocurrency tax compliance campaign in November 2023, it has reached disclosure settlements with a total of 502 cryptocurrency investors over the past two years, recovering over 8 million pounds in taxes cumulatively, with an average settlement amount of approximately 16,600 pounds per case. Of these, 280 settlements were reached in the 2024/25 fiscal year, involving 3.54 million pounds; 222 settlements were reached in the 2025/26 fiscal year, with the amount rising to approximately 4.78 million pounds. Meanwhile, the number of "reminder letters" sent by HMRC to crypto investors has surged significantly, reaching 64,982 in the 2024/25 fiscal year, a 680% increase compared to three to four years ago. As the UK joins the OECD Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF), starting from January 2026, crypto service providers must collect user identity and transaction information and report it to authorities, further limiting the room for investors to conceal profits. Currently, about 8% of UK adults (approximately 4.5 million people) hold crypto assets.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, the probability of the "CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026" on Polymarket is temporarily reported at 38%, down 9% in 24 hours.Although the latest text of the CLARITY Act has been released and is scheduled to be submitted for a full Senate vote as early as next week, several Democratic senators believe that the ethical provisions regarding Trump's crypto asset conflicts of interest in the new version are too weak. Meanwhile, the market also remains cautious about whether the bill can complete coordination between the two chambers and finalize the legislative process before the August congressional recess.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.