News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently attempting to reclaim the "Active Supply Cost Basis" level.Darkfost noted that active supply refers to all BTC that has been transferred at least once within the past 7 years. By excluding long-dormant Bitcoin, a more accurate average cost basis that aligns with the current market structure can be obtained, with its Realized Price standing at approximately $70,400.He stated that the last time Bitcoin successfully reclaimed this level was in early April, before the market fell back below this zone again in early June, with sellers reasserting dominance.Darkfost said that if BTC can sustain its position above the active supply cost basis this time, it could signal the market is forming a longer-term uptrend, rather than the brief breakout that lasted only about two months previously.This metric is commonly used by the market to observe changes in long-term holder costs and Bitcoin market cycle status. Whether BTC can firmly hold near the $70,400 level will become a key indicator for future bullish and bearish forces.
Peter Schiff, a well-known gold bull and long-term Bitcoin bear, stated that he is confused about Bitcoin's recent lack of decline and believes this rebound provides a new round of selling opportunities for long-term holders. He pointed out that $65,000 is Bitcoin's current key resistance level, with limited upside potential after breaking this level, but significant downside risk once it falls below.
According to Glassnode data reported by Odaily, the $63,000 level is emerging as a key support and battleground zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to trade within the $60,000 to $67,000 range, with over 3% of BTC's circulating supply—approximately 515,000 BTC—having a cost basis concentrated near $63,000. Additionally, more than 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 area. Glassnode notes that only the $78,000 to $82,000 range currently has a higher supply density than this zone, corresponding to Bitcoin's May cyclical peak.Furthermore, Bitcoin's current price nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week MA currently stands at approximately $63,657, while BTC's price is around $63,822, indicating significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.Looking at the 30-day cumulative Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying momentum being the most pronounced. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC continue to increase their positions, suggesting that long-term capital is still positioning itself. The $63,000 level has become a critical price band in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important reference for future price movements. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: Analyst “AntiFragile” stated on Platform X that Bitcoin’s (BTC) order book currently shows strong buyer support, with a significant number of patient buy orders concentrated in the range 2%-20% below the current price.AntiFragile noted that these buy orders began appearing as early as early June, representing passive buying demand positioned in advance. If BTC’s price pulls back into these zones, these orders are expected to act as a buffer, reducing market volatility. The current order book structure indicates that some investors are waiting for lower entry prices rather than buying into the uptrend. These long-standing orders may serve as potential support in the event of short-term market corrections.
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose above $65,800 on July 22, hitting a new high in over a month, with a monthly gain of approximately 2%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the sixth consecutive day, with single-day net inflows of $203 million on Tuesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $37.5 million on the same day, marking three consecutive days of positive inflows. Analysts have identified the next key resistance level near $68,000 — this price level represents the convergence zone of the short-term holder cost basis and the Q2 opening price, where a large number of trapped buyers will break even, and the first touch is expected to trigger massive selling pressure.
Odaily In May of this year, Bankless founder David Hoffman publicly announced on the X platform that he had liquidated all of his ETH holdings.Due to ETH's recent strong price performance, some community users posted remarks teasing David for "selling ETH at the exact bottom." David Hoffman responded by saying: "Stop saying that. The current price of ETH is lower than my liquidation price."
on-chain analytics firm Glassnode stated that top traders on decentralized derivatives exchange Hyperliquid are heavily long on Bitcoin, with their sustained long position reaching the highest level since the platform's records began, surpassing the level seen during Bitcoin's previous rally to approximately $83,000. Glassnode noted that this position indicates strong speculative demand at the current price level. Hyperliquid is a decentralized derivatives exchange where traders can trade leveraged perpetual contracts with no expiry date on-chain. A Bitcoin whale on Hyperliquid has recently pushed net long positions to a year-to-date high. Glassnode's weekly report shows that despite Bitcoin's price decline in June, accumulation has continued; Bitcoin has recently reclaimed the $65,000 level.
Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted that the June ETF market showed "JUNE-SANITY (June Madness)" level performance, with multiple indicators approaching or breaking historical records. Data shows that net ETF inflows for the month reached $191 billion, marking the second-highest single-month level on record, with average daily inflows of approximately $9 billion across about 2,700 different funds.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley and 22V Research technical strategist John Roque believe Bitcoin is at a key technical indicator level.Matt Maley stated that if Bitcoin declines further from its current level of around $60,000, it could amplify negative investor sentiment. Although Wall Street firms continue to invest in digital assets, retail investors, who have historically been the main force driving cryptocurrency rallies, have shifted their focus to high-growth AI and tech stocks. Recent significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate waning investor enthusiasm. Cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of decoupling from the stock market.John Roque noted that Bitcoin is retesting its first downside target of $60,000. If it breaks below this level, it implies a potential drop to $400,000. Matt Maley added that Congress might pass a crypto structure bill with clearer rules, which would reduce uncertainty and encourage institutional participation in the long run. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest monthly outflow since 2024 recently. (CNBC)
Analyst Ai pointed out that over the past decade, Bitcoin's 200-week simple moving average (200-week SMA) has been regarded as a core indicator for judging "cycle bottoms." Historically, every time the price touched or fell below this moving average, it was accompanied by a long-term macro accumulation window, followed by a strong upward cycle. Reviewing historical performance:August 2015: Touched the 200-week MA and then started a bull run, with cumulative gains exceeding 8,500%December 2018: Bounced approximately 267% after testing this moving averageMarch 2020: Confirmed support after bottoming out due to the pandemic liquidity shock, followed by a rise of 1,125%June 2022: Fell below for the first time and remained below the moving average for a long period until reclaiming it in December, which triggered a rally of approximately 680%In the current market, the 200-week MA is located around $63,500, while Bitcoin's current price is trading below $60,000. Analysts believe this has already entered a typical long-term value accumulation zone.At the same time, analysts also caution that potential downside risks remain. In the short term, a pullback to $54,000 is possible, and in extreme cases, testing the $40,000 range cannot be ruled out. However, overall, adopting a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for gradual position building is more suitable.Regarding key observation points, the $63,500 level is seen as the "bull-bear dividing line." If Bitcoin can firmly reclaim and confirm the 200-week MA as macro support on a higher time frame, historical patterns suggest it could signal that the early stages of a new bull cycle have already begun.
Analyst Ali Charts believes that Bitcoin is currently in a historically significant long-term accumulation zone. He points out that the 200-week simple moving average has historically served as a key demarcation line between Bitcoin’s bull and bear cycles; regaining and holding above this level could signal the early stage of a new bull market.
well-known trader Ansem posted on X: "Bitcoin is at a pretty significant point right now, retesting the key weekly resistance level around $65,000 - $66,000. I'm not looking to go long here at the moment because I think there are other better long candidates, but if Bitcoin can close its weekly (or daily) candle above this resistance, it will likely retest $72,000 next — I'm personally leaning towards this scenario. If I'm wrong and we see the price weaken and break below $63,800, then I will turn bearish, and it could potentially retest $60,000. If the market actually gives an opportunity (for example, a stop loss/failure point above a low-timeframe consolidation zone before the breakdown), I will take that short. The Fed's FOMC meeting at 2:30 PM today (early tomorrow morning Beijing time) could influence the next direction."
According to data disclosed by crypto analyst Scott Melker, Bitcoin short-term holders have recorded the largest loss-taking sell-off in history, while approximately 5.3 million BTC held by long-term holders are in a state of unrealized loss, with market sentiment turning extremely pessimistic.Additionally, Bitcoin's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to around 15.5, its lowest level since the pandemic-induced bear market in March 2020, indicating the market is deeply oversold. Having already fallen below $60,000, the likelihood of Bitcoin testing $50,000 is increasing. However, if it can sustain the key support level at $60,000 in the near term, a rebound toward the 20-day EMA around $70,600 could be possible in the coming weeks.
According to Fox News, the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), in collaboration with law enforcement agencies in Dubai, China, and Thailand, conducted a large-scale multinational joint operation that successfully dismantled at least nine overseas cryptocurrency scam centers and arrested 276 suspects, involving millions of dollars in illicit funds. In this operation, the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California filed federal charges of wire fraud and money laundering against six suspects. Those charged include nationals from Myanmar and Indonesia, who operated scam organizations under names such as “Sanduo Group” and “Giant Company.” Dubai police arrested 275 suspects, while the Royal Thai Police apprehended one additional fugitive. These scam networks employed the “pig-butchering” scheme—building fake friendships or romantic relationships to gain victims’ trust, then luring them into transferring funds to fraudulent cryptocurrency investment platforms, after which the proceeds were laundered and transferred to criminal accounts. This operation aligns with the executive order signed by Trump on March 6, 2026, aimed at combating overseas criminal networks that exploit U.S. citizens. The FBI’s dedicated initiative, “Operation Level Up,” has notified approximately 9,000 victims and recovered roughly $562 million in losses for U.S. citizens. The FBI urges victims to report incidents through the Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3).
The core AI suite of the FLOA ecosystem, FloaClaw, has been officially launched in full, simultaneously releasing a multi-scenario AI skills matrix. These features are only accessible to Agents of Level 3 and above.As the core AI tool of the FLOA ecosystem, FloaClaw's usage requires adherence to clear rules: Users need to recharge BNB to obtain compute power-tokens (tokens), with skill consumption increasing along with task complexity; subsequently, FloaClaw will continue to iterate and scale, unlocking more new AI skills and tool modules, while also advancing a creator dividend system. This will allow Agent creators to share in the compute power-token (token) revenue from user skill consumption, and support one-click exchange and withdrawal of BNB, thereby building a sustainable creator economy loop.FLOA is an intelligent Web3 Agent ecosystem platform on the BNB Chain, integrating core capabilities such as data analysis and on-chain automation. Featuring an open incentive mechanism, it serves both as a tool for user empowerment and an efficient growth engine for the Web3 ecosystem.
Bitcoin is once again approaching the $80,000 mark. Market analysis suggests that this level has become a key resistance point to test the strength of the current rebound. On the capital front, continued institutional inflows are providing support. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows for six consecutive days, while Ethereum spot ETFs have also seen inflows for nine straight days, indicating a recovery in risk appetite. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC have cumulatively added approximately 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days, marking the largest monthly increase since 2013, and exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest point in seven years.In terms of on-chain data, Glassnode points out that Bitcoin has reclaimed the "Realized Price" (approximately $78,100). However, the cost basis for short-term holders sits around $80,100, forming a direct pressure zone. Should the price reach this range, over 54% of short-term investors would be in profit, a scenario historically associated with the peak of a rebound phase. At the same time, the perpetual contract funding rate remains negative, indicating a significant short position. Given the ongoing improvement in spot demand, this could provide short-squeeze momentum for a subsequent upward move.In summary, while the capital structure and market resilience have improved, the $80,000 level remains a key watershed. The market has yet to confirm whether it can transition from a resistance level to a support level. (The Block)
Crypto analyst Ali published a detailed analysis on X, arguing that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has hit its bottom, market participants should focus on whether the current volatility represents a “generation-defining entry opportunity.” Based on long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution metrics, Ali delineates the core “value range” for this cycle. On the support side, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows a significant concentration of coins in the $63,111–$70,685 range, forming the current primary support zone; if price breaks below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line from the past decade (approximately $56,000–$60,000), a level historically associated with accumulation phases preceding major rallies.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $71,200, while Ethereum trades at $2,185; the broader market remains range-bound. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $75,000, it risks falling as low as $10,000; conversely, Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes the market bottom has already been established. In derivatives markets, Bitcoin futures open interest rose to 726,000 BTC, with the 24-hour Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) remaining positive for two consecutive days and funding rates slightly above zero—indicating an overall bullish bias. In contrast, CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are marginally negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market anticipating price swings of only about 2.5% around Friday’s inflation data release. Among altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose roughly 6%; however, MANA’s gain coincided with a 25% surge in open interest, suggesting leveraged trading drove much of the move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin can decisively break above and hold $75,000—if achieved, it could trigger capital rotation into oversold altcoin sectors.