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Bonk Guy: MARSCOIN May See a Strong Q4 Rally, Musk + CZ Narrative Becomes Key Highlight

well-known trader Bonk Guy posted that MARSCOIN's current price action is "very clean," and predicted it may see a significant rally in Q4, adding that its fundamentals are also improving. According to the analyst, as BNB and BNB Chain gain greater influence in this cycle, MARSCOIN's "Musk + CZ" narrative has further strengthened. He noted that in the previous cycle, SHIB and DOGE market caps once surpassed $40 billion and $80 billion, respectively, while MARSCOIN this time will combine elements such as Musk, Binance founder CZ, and space rocket company SPCX. Binance has already provided support to the related ecosystem through SPCX rewards and a portion of its own trading fees, and the market may be underestimating MARSCOIN's potential performance over the next few months.

Analysts: Bitcoin Market Momentum Strengthens, Key Cost-Basis Indicator Signals Bull Market

Analyst Darkfost states that the cost basis for Bitcoin's short-term holders (STH) has confirmed crossing above that of active long-term holders (LTH), sending a bull market confirmation signal historically observed for the fifth time. Active long-term holders refer to coin supplies transferred at least once over the past seven years, a definition designed to exclude long-dormant balances. Currently, over 3.5 million bitcoins held for more than ten years remain dormant, with this supply segment growing by an average of approximately 8,000 to 30,000 coins per month. Darkfost believes current market momentum is shifting positively, partially driven by capital inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), although the possibility of this signal failing remains.

Fetch.ai Discloses: Signing Key Leaked, Partners with SingularityNET to Deactivate Affected Wallets

Fetch.ai officially announced that it was hacked, with attackers breaching the system via stolen signing keys and transferring funds to withdrawal wallets. An on-chain attack analysis report tracing the complete path from the key leak to the attacker's withdrawal has been published on the ASI:One platform. Currently, Fetch.ai has collaborated with SingularityNET to disable the affected wallets and related contracts. The investigation is ongoing, and updates will be provided continuously.

Bitfinex Analysis: BTC Breaks Below Key Support, ETFs See Single-Day Net Outflow of $450 Million

According to Bitfinex Alpha, Bitcoin broke below the key support level of $77,100 on September 15, closing at $75,702 with a daily decline of 3.2%, marking its third consecutive closing lower after breaking through the recent range bottom. On that day, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $450.4 million, with Fidelity FBTC seeing an outflow of $214.8 million and BlackRock IBIT recording an outflow of $161.7 million, accounting for 84% of total outflows. This marks the 14th-largest single-day net outflow in 2026. The downturn was driven by multiple factors: the failure of the CLARITY Act to advance, the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 5% (for the first time since 2023), accelerated selling by short-term holders (exchange inflows surged sharply from 19,400 BTC to 33,100 BTC, of which 23,200 BTC were acquired at a loss), and foreign demand dropping to a historic low during the 20-year US Treasury auction. From a technical standpoint, BTC has fallen below the market average value of $76,500 and Strategy's average holding price of $75,412, leaving the average holder currently underwater. If the downtrend continues, key support levels below are $73,500 (cost basis for 3-6 month holders) and $71,300 (realized price for short-term holders). A rebound requires reclaiming $77,100 backed by significant spot trading volume.

“1011 Insider Whale” Agent: Bitcoin Holds Key Support at $76.6K, Year-End Outlook Remains Cautiously Optimistic

Odaily News – In the latest weekly report, Garrett Jin, agent for the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that despite oil prices rising to around $95 this week, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breaking above 4.8%, and market expectations for a September Fed rate hike climbing to approximately 70%, Bitcoin has held its key support at $76,600 and has since recovered to above $77,000.Garrett noted that the $75,000 to $80,000 range has formed a substantial new cost basis, providing firmer support for the market. If Bitcoin closes above $82,500 on the daily chart and subsequently holds around $80,000 during a pullback, it would signal that the market is absorbing selling pressure and gearing up for further strength. Conversely, if the daily close falls below $76,600—accompanied by weakness in at least two of the following metrics: ETF flows, Coinbase premium, and 7-day net realized profit/loss—it would constitute a clearer downside warning.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion in August, but September opened with two-way flows, recording net outflows of around $237 million on Tuesday. Garrett believes that Bitcoin holding key support amid heightened macro rate pressures suggests recent spot demand is not entirely driven by short-squeeze dynamics. He maintains a constructive outlook for Bitcoin's performance toward year-end, though he notes that future trajectory will depend on whether U.S. Treasury yields can halt their sustained upward trend.

Analyst Willy Woo: Bitcoin Holding Rate May Become the Key Threshold for the "Separation of Currency and the State"

According to on-chain analyst Willy Woo (@willywoo), approximately 5% of the global population currently holds BTC, surpassing the 4.5% who hold gold and the 4% who hold the S&P 500. Woo noted that if BTC adoption remains at 5%, it is merely a conventional financial asset; however, if it rises to 50%, it could enable a separation between currency and the state.

Glassnode: BTC Rebounds 26% After Short Squeeze, $81,000–$86,000 Becomes Key Supply Resistance Zone

According to Glassnode, Bitcoin has rebounded approximately 26% from its mid-August low, driven primarily by record short liquidations. August 19 marked the largest single-day short liquidation day monitored since 2019, with shorts accounting for 85% of total liquidations within the squeeze window. Over the same period, coin-denominated BTC futures open interest fell by 11%, while perpetual contract funding rates remained largely neutral, indicating that the rally was not accompanied by significant new leveraged long positioning. On the capital flow front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded cumulative net inflows of $2.23 billion during this window, with no single-day net outflows, marking the strongest consecutive seven-day inflow streak of the year. The 30-day accumulation trend scores for wallets across all size categories remained above 0.5, reflecting broad-based buying coverage throughout the market. However, Glassnode notes that the $81,000–$86,000 zone concentrates the cost basis of long-term holders, sell orders, options market maker negative gamma positioning, and potential short liquidation bands, forming the primary resistance to the current rebound. The report suggests that if BTC holds above $83,300 alongside sustained ETF inflows, it may signal that this supply zone is being absorbed. Downside focus should then shift to the $70,000 short-term holder cost basis, followed by the $62,000–$65,000 support range.

BTC Enters Early Bull Market Phase, $83,000 Remains Key Barrier

According to Cointelegraph, analysts pointed out that Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the early stages of a new bull market, but $83,000 remains a key resistance level for confirming the uptrend.

Analysis: Bitcoin Approaches $80,000 Mark, ETF Inflows and Macro Liquidity Become Key Variables

Odaily News比特币 rose to its highest level since May before the US market opened on Friday, briefly touching $79,400 during trading before hovering around $78,000, just one step away from the key resistance level of $80,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $606 million on Thursday, the highest level since May 1, boosting market risk appetite.James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, stated that this rally is primarily driven by macroeconomic factors rather than factors within the crypto market itself, noting that Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to changes in liquidity expectations and real yields. Previously, US inflation data came in below expectations, employment data weakened, and the US Treasury announced measures to push down long-term Treasury yields, all of which drove risk assets higher.Butterfill pointed out that $80,000 is an important demarcation line for Bitcoin at present. To form an effective breakout, the market needs further confirmation that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting toward easing, with related signals potentially released at next week's Jackson Hole symposium.However, he also cautioned that if inflation remains persistently high or the dollar weakens, the Fed may be forced to adopt a more cautious policy. Additionally, the scale of accumulation by large holders remains relatively limited, and the market still lacks strong confidence to support a sustained breakout. Going forward, US spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows and macroeconomic data performance will serve as key indicators for judging the sustainability of the trend. (CoinDesk)

CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Attempting to Reclaim Active Supply Cost Basis, ~$70,400 Becomes Key Level

Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently attempting to reclaim the "Active Supply Cost Basis" level.Darkfost noted that active supply refers to all BTC that has been transferred at least once within the past 7 years. By excluding long-dormant Bitcoin, a more accurate average cost basis that aligns with the current market structure can be obtained, with its Realized Price standing at approximately $70,400.He stated that the last time Bitcoin successfully reclaimed this level was in early April, before the market fell back below this zone again in early June, with sellers reasserting dominance.Darkfost said that if BTC can sustain its position above the active supply cost basis this time, it could signal the market is forming a longer-term uptrend, rather than the brief breakout that lasted only about two months previously.This metric is commonly used by the market to observe changes in long-term holder costs and Bitcoin market cycle status. Whether BTC can firmly hold near the $70,400 level will become a key indicator for future bullish and bearish forces.

Garrett Jin: Bitcoin's $80K-$82.5K Range is a Key Resistance Zone, Short-Squeeze Momentum Hard to Sustain

Odaily News, Garrett Jin, proxy for the "BTC OG Insider Whale," analyzed that Bitcoin's latest breakout above $70,000 was driven by multiple bullish factors, including the U.S. Treasury's expanded bond buybacks, the SEC's proposed crypto asset regulatory framework, and the White House crypto summit. The current price has entered a dense overhead supply zone ranging from the mid-$60,000s to the low $80,000s, with the first resistance layer already showing signs of weakening.Garrett Jin pointed out that the significant accumulation of new cost basis in the mid-$60,000 area over the past two months has provided underlying support for this breakout. While the short-squeeze triggered by short liquidations could temporarily push Bitcoin above $80,000 in the near term, the $80,000 to $82,500 range is a critical resistance zone to watch, and the short-squeeze momentum is unlikely to persist. If the market can effectively absorb supply below $80,000 before a breakout, it would be more conducive to a healthier subsequent trend.On the same day, SK Hynix announced South Korea's largest-ever stock buyback and cancellation plan, committing to return at least 50% of its projected free cash flow through 2027 to shareholders. Its shares surged over 10% at one point, triggering a buy-side circuit breaker on South Korea's KOSPI index. Analysts believe this move could alleviate market concerns over declining risk appetite for Korean semiconductor stocks, but it cannot alter the cyclical trajectory of the memory chip industry itself.

Analysis: Bitcoin Breaks Above $72K, Dollar Weakness and Fed Liquidity Expectations Become Key to Outlook

Odaily News - Bitcoin extended its gains on Wednesday and climbed above $72,000 on Thursday, reaching its highest level since June 1.Market analysis suggests that the recent rally is primarily driven by easing pressure in the U.S. Treasury market. The White House's earlier signals of support for Treasury market stability alleviated investor concerns over bond market volatility. However, the longer-term trajectory still depends on changes in Federal Reserve liquidity policy.Analyst Pedro Fontes noted that if the world's largest debt market requires policy support to maintain stable operation, it would further strengthen demand for assets that are scarce, predictable, and not reliant on government debt expansion—characteristics that Bitcoin aligns with. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.88% to 98.77 yesterday, hitting a fresh low since May.Strive Founder and CEO Matt Cole stated that the dollar index has been in a long-term "structural downtrend," and a weaker dollar could create a more favorable investment environment for assets like Bitcoin. Markets will continue to monitor the White House's further remarks on the bond market, shifts in geopolitical conditions, and U.S. initial jobless claims data today, as these factors could influence Treasury yields and market liquidity expectations. (CoinDesk)

Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin Hitting $100,000 by Year-End: U.S. Treasury Expanding Bond Buybacks Could Be Key Catalyst

Odaily News – Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) could rise to $100,000 by the end of 2026 as the U.S. Treasury expands liquidity support for the long-term bond market.In a recent client report, Kendrick noted that Bitcoin's current key technical resistance level is $65,500. If the price breaks through this level, it could signal that the cyclical low for this market cycle has already formed. He suggested investors begin positioning for a Bitcoin rally to $100,000 by year-end. Kendrick stated that beyond the four-year cycle pattern for Bitcoin, which suggests the market may be nearing a bottom, the U.S. Treasury's recent announcement to expand long-term bond buybacks is also a significant catalyst.The U.S. Treasury plans to raise the cap on buyback operations for 10- to 20-year and 20- to 30-year Treasury bonds from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. The expanded program is scheduled to be implemented from September 9 to November 4. Following the announcement, yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries notably declined, easing the pressure that the significant sell-off in the bond market had placed on financial markets.Kendrick believes the Treasury's expanded bond buybacks represent a "favorable environment for Bitcoin," as Bitcoin has previously benefited multiple times from government liquidity interventions, while its fixed supply mechanism gives it properties that hedge against currency debasement. In the market, Bitcoin rose over 6% on Wednesday, briefly approaching $69,000, marking its highest level since early June. Kendrick has previously been repeatedly bullish on Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, arguing that as global fiscal pressures increase and monetary policy trends toward easing, Bitcoin may enter a new long-term upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)

Whale "TLBL" Suspected of Private Key Leak, Cumulative Losses Over $50 Million

According to Lookonchain, the whale address "TLBL" has experienced another major asset security incident, with cumulative losses exceeding $50 million. Of this total, the address previously lost approximately $24 million due to a phishing attack two years ago; in the latest incident, it is suspected that over $26 million in assets across 3 wallets were completely transferred out due to a private key leak. This incident has once again sparked market concern regarding security management risks for high-net-worth on-chain addresses.

Well-Known Trader: Bitcoin Short-Term Focus on $65,300 Key Resistance, Range-Bound Pattern Unchanged

Well-known trader Killa stated that Bitcoin remains in a narrow range consolidation phase in the short term, with $65,300 being the current key threshold.

Bernstein Issues Divergent Ratings on Bitcoin Miners' AI Transition: Positive on CleanSpark's Execution, MARA Awaiting Key Contract

Odaily News - Investment firm Bernstein recently released a report assigning different ratings to two major Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI infrastructure: maintaining an "Outperform" rating on CleanSpark with a price target of $24, and initiating coverage on MARA Holdings with a "Market-Perform" rating and a price target of $17.Bernstein analysts stated that the core reason for the valuation divergence between the two companies lies in their differing progress in executing AI infrastructure transitions. CleanSpark has already signed an anchor tenant agreement for an AI data center and commenced construction, while MARA is still awaiting its first commercial AI contract.Regarding CleanSpark, the company previously announced the signing of a 20-year triple-net lease agreement with a global high-investment-grade technology firm, covering 175MW of IT capacity at its Sandersville, Georgia project. The agreement also includes exclusive cooperation arrangements for CleanSpark's total 885MW asset portfolio in Texas. Bernstein believes that CleanSpark's collaboration with tenant-designated engineering and construction contractors helps mitigate risks associated with its first large-scale AI infrastructure deployment. The first data center hall is expected to become operational in the fourth quarter of 2027.In contrast, Bernstein's assessment of MARA is more cautious. Analysts pointed out that the first commercial AI contract will serve as a key catalyst for a re-rating of MARA's stock, noting that company management previously indicated expectations of signing at least two AI lease agreements by the end of this year. (The Block)

Analysis: $63,000 Becomes the Key Battleground for Bitcoin Bulls and Bears and a Critical Market Support Level

According to Glassnode data reported by Odaily, the $63,000 level is emerging as a key support and battleground zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to trade within the $60,000 to $67,000 range, with over 3% of BTC's circulating supply—approximately 515,000 BTC—having a cost basis concentrated near $63,000. Additionally, more than 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 area. Glassnode notes that only the $78,000 to $82,000 range currently has a higher supply density than this zone, corresponding to Bitcoin's May cyclical peak.Furthermore, Bitcoin's current price nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week MA currently stands at approximately $63,657, while BTC's price is around $63,822, indicating significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.Looking at the 30-day cumulative Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying momentum being the most pronounced. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC continue to increase their positions, suggesting that long-term capital is still positioning itself. The $63,000 level has become a critical price band in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important reference for future price movements. (CoinDesk)

Prominent Trader: Circle, Coinbase, and ETH Are Core Targets for Reshaping the Financial System, Current Key Allocation Direction

Trader Doctor Profit stated that his current key positioning is the "Galactic Three", namely Circle, Coinbase, and ETH, believing that the three correspond to compliant stablecoin issuance, crypto asset custody and trading, and tokenization and smart contract infrastructure respectively, and are core targets in the reshaping of the financial system in this new cycle.

Analyst: Bitcoin Hits Over One-Month High, $68,000 Becomes Key Resistance Level

According to The Block, Bitcoin rose above $65,800 on July 22, hitting a new high in over a month, with a monthly gain of approximately 2%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the sixth consecutive day, with single-day net inflows of $203 million on Tuesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $37.5 million on the same day, marking three consecutive days of positive inflows. Analysts have identified the next key resistance level near $68,000 — this price level represents the convergence zone of the short-term holder cost basis and the Q2 opening price, where a large number of trapped buyers will break even, and the first touch is expected to trigger massive selling pressure.

Analyst: Bitcoin NUPL 100-Day Moving Average Approaching Zero Axis, May Become Key Indicator for Determining Bottom of Current Cycle

According to analyst thechessONCHAIN on CryptoQuant, Bitcoin NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is currently at 0.158, its 100-day Exponential Moving Average is 0.215, and the 30-day Exponential Moving Average is 0.155. On June 2, the 30-day moving average crossed below the 100-day moving average, indicating weakening market momentum, but both are currently still above the zero line.