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Cup is building an influence scoring engine that turns Web2 attention into Web3 value. It combines social signals with on-chain actions, powering campaigns, fair launch, and sustainable community growth.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Hong Kong police launch "Gobi and Wind Shield" operations to crack down on illegal gambling during the World Cup and trace virtual asset bets
: The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched the Gobi and Wind Shield operations, targeting illegal offshore gambling through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police noted that in recent years, illegal gambling has become increasingly digitalized, including online betting, solicitation of gamblers via social media, and settlement of bets with virtual currencies. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, placing bets with offshore bookmakers carries a maximum penalty of 9 months in prison and a fine of HK$50,000. Accepting bets carries a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. Money laundering carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. The police also shared the case of a young man who was addicted to offshore gambling, at one point owing as much as HK$160,000. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have an over 80% risk of developing gambling disorder later in life. (Sing Tao Daily)
Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Users can trade contracts related to major events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, elections, and the 2026 FIFA World Cup directly through the Moomoo platform.Event contracts are exchange-traded derivatives that allow investors to bet on the outcome of specific events. Contract prices range from $0.01 to $1, reflecting the market's expectation of the probability of each event occurring. These products will be integrated into the platform alongside Moomoo's existing offerings of stocks, options, and ETFs. Additionally, Moomoo has recently launched cryptocurrency deposit and withdrawal functionality, as well as the moomoo API Skills service for AI-powered investment tools, continuing to expand its product ecosystem. (CoinDesk)
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Bernstein: 2026 World Cup Expected to Drive Up to $10 Billion in Trading Volume for Prediction Markets
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
The first scam of the World Cup? WCUP surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million, with 95% of its supply controlled by a single entity
that, according to Bubblemaps, the FIFA-related token WCUP, which launched yesterday, surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million. Over 30 new wallets snapped up 95% of its supply immediately at the opening. These wallets were funded by multiple centralized exchanges within the half-hour before the launch, had no prior on-chain history, and subsequently distributed the tokens to over 2,500 new addresses via Uniswap Router.Bubblemaps noted that the project's documentation only vaguely mentions a presale and partner allocations, with no on-chain evidence directly linking to the team. However, this level of concentration, combined with undisclosed paid promotion arrangements with KOLs, poses a significant risk.
Bybit Launches USDT-Denominated Event Settlement Contracts, Initially Focusing on FIFA World Cup Football Matches
It is reported that Bybit recently launched a new category of contracts: USDT Event Settlement Contracts, which are based on the outcomes of sports events. Users can trade these contracts in real time before and during matches, with automatic settlement after the event concludes. Product Features: - Contract prices are benchmarked at 10, reflecting the market’s real-time expectations for the home or away team’s victory: prices above 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the home team; prices below 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the away team. - Settlement price formula: 10 + (home team goals − away team goals). Only goals scored during the official 90-minute match duration count; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. - Settlement occurs 130 minutes after the scheduled match kickoff. A “close-only” mode is activated during the final 20 minutes prior to settlement. - Maximum leverage supported is 5x; minimum initial margin is 10 USDT. According to comprehensive reports, the first batch of contracts will be rolled out progressively aligned with the 2026 FIFA World Cup schedule. Exact listing times for individual trading pairs will be announced officially by the platform.
WEEX Launches “World Cup × Monopoly” Themed Trading Campaign—Join to Share in $1 Million USDT
WEEX Exchange has launched the large-scale themed trading reward campaign “World Cup × Monopoly: Participate and Win $1 Million in USDT,” which runs until 23:59:59 (UTC+8) on July 20, covering the entire World Cup season. The campaign features low participation thresholds and highly engaging interactive gameplay: users can earn dice by completing tasks such as registration, depositing funds, trading futures and spot assets, consuming dice, and inviting friends to join. After rolling the dice, users advance across the game board according to the number shown; landing on specific squares entitles them to rewards including BTC, ETH, and USDT. Rolling dice to advance on the board and completing weekly trading tasks both accumulate points. Reaching designated point thresholds unlocks milestone rewards such as USDT, WXT tokens, fee discounts, and trial funds. Additionally, users can spend points to interact with World Cup matches—cheering for their favorite teams—and leverage small investments to earn even more points.
AlphAi Launches World Cup Prediction Event
According to official sources, AlphAi has announced official support for prediction market trading, simultaneously launching the 2026 World Cup prediction event. Users can participate in World Cup-related prediction markets within AlphAi, including champion predictions, Golden Boot winners, team advancements, and match results. During the event period, new users who register can claim a 5 pUSD trial voucher. After completing transactions, they can earn fee-based points and participate in prize pool distributions.AlphAi stated that this launch represents a step in its expansion from Meme token launches into prediction markets and more trading scenarios. The platform will continue to explore directions such as Perp DEX, Stock, and RWA in the future.
HTX Launches “World Cup Prediction Red Packet Campaign” with a Total Prize Pool of $100,000 USDT
According to HTX’s announcement, HTX Plaza has launched a time-limited “World Cup Prediction Red Packet Campaign,” with a total prize pool of up to $100,000 USDT. The campaign runs from June 12 to July 20, 2026 (UTC+8), covering all 34 match days of the World Cup. Users simply need to visit the campaign post on HTX Plaza, participate in the prediction for the day’s first match, and submit their vote to qualify for red packet collection the following day. Additionally, users who post analytical insights about match outcomes in the comment section may further boost their engagement score. The campaign is now live and gaining momentum. Users who participate for seven consecutive days will automatically unlock eligibility for a high-value red packet on Day 8. Head over to HTX Plaza to join the predictions—enjoy the matches and win red packets simultaneously, sharing in the passion and perks of the World Cup.
Polymarket and Kalshi to Strengthen Anti-Fraud Measures During the World Cup
Odaily Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi have announced plans to accelerate the deployment of anti-fraud measures during the World Cup to combat potential fraudulent groups, while continuing to expand the coverage of tradable events.According to reports, both companies are introducing more real-world events into prediction markets to enhance user engagement and market liquidity. As transaction volumes continue to grow, related fraudulent activities have also increased. It is reported that Kalshi's annualized revenue reached approximately $1.5 billion in May of this year. (The Information)
Bitget Adds 11 World Cup-Themed Stock Contracts, Including Nike, Coca-Cola, and Visa
According to the official announcement, Bitget’s stock contracts are now available for 11 underlying assets, including BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), NKE (Nike), KO (Coca-Cola), ABNB (Airbnb), MAR (Marriott International), and V (Visa), spanning sectors related to major sporting events—such as sports & entertainment, travel & transportation, and consumer brands. These contracts support up to 20x leverage. For more details, please visit Bitget’s official platform.
OKX World Cup Prediction Campaign Introduces Brand-Sponsored Prize Pool Mechanism; First Prize Pool Sponsored by OneFootball Credits
According to official announcements, OKX’s World Cup prediction campaign has introduced a branded sponsorship prize pool mechanism, with more branded prize pools to be launched subsequently to jointly build the ecosystem.
World Cup Drives Prediction Market Trading Volume to New Highs, Bernstein Says Robinhood May Benefit
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
Related news
A smart money address spent $243,000 on the World Cup group stage match: Portugal to beat DR Congo
The Odaily Seer channel monitors that in the Polymarket prediction event "2026 World Cup Group H Round 1: Portugal vs. DR Congo," a smart money address (0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63) with a 49% win rate purchased over $243,000 on Portugal to beat DR Congo. The average entry price was 76¢, currently showing an unrealized loss of $1,614.The Portuguese men's national football team is currently ranked 5th in the FIFA World Rankings, possessing a fairly prominent overall strength. DR Congo is ranked 46th. It is reported that this match will also be the first game of the legendary superstar Cristiano Ronaldo (CR7) in this World Cup.The Odaily Seer channel continues to follow the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing is set.
AlphAi Launches World Cup Prediction Event
According to official sources, AlphAi has announced official support for prediction market trading, simultaneously launching the 2026 World Cup prediction event. Users can participate in World Cup-related prediction markets within AlphAi, including champion predictions, Golden Boot winners, team advancements, and match results. During the event period, new users who register can claim a 5 pUSD trial voucher. After completing transactions, they can earn fee-based points and participate in prize pool distributions.AlphAi stated that this launch represents a step in its expansion from Meme token launches into prediction markets and more trading scenarios. The platform will continue to explore directions such as Perp DEX, Stock, and RWA in the future.
HTX Launches “World Cup Prediction Red Packet Campaign” with a Total Prize Pool of $100,000 USDT
According to HTX’s announcement, HTX Plaza has launched a time-limited “World Cup Prediction Red Packet Campaign,” with a total prize pool of up to $100,000 USDT. The campaign runs from June 12 to July 20, 2026 (UTC+8), covering all 34 match days of the World Cup. Users simply need to visit the campaign post on HTX Plaza, participate in the prediction for the day’s first match, and submit their vote to qualify for red packet collection the following day. Additionally, users who post analytical insights about match outcomes in the comment section may further boost their engagement score. The campaign is now live and gaining momentum. Users who participate for seven consecutive days will automatically unlock eligibility for a high-value red packet on Day 8. Head over to HTX Plaza to join the predictions—enjoy the matches and win red packets simultaneously, sharing in the passion and perks of the World Cup.
predict.fun: "France wins Group I first place" probability rises to 76%, up 10% in 24 hours
Monitoring by Odaily Seer shows that in the predict.fun "World Cup Group I Winner" prediction event, the probability of France winning Group I has risen to 76%, up 10% in the past 24 hours. Additionally, Norway's probability of winning Group I currently stands at 21%.Today, in the first round of Group I of the World Cup group stage, France defeated Senegal 3:1; Norway defeated Iraq 4:1. France will face Iraq in the next round, while Senegal will take on Norway.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before the price is set.
Polymarket and Kalshi to Strengthen Anti-Fraud Measures During the World Cup
Odaily Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi have announced plans to accelerate the deployment of anti-fraud measures during the World Cup to combat potential fraudulent groups, while continuing to expand the coverage of tradable events.According to reports, both companies are introducing more real-world events into prediction markets to enhance user engagement and market liquidity. As transaction volumes continue to grow, related fraudulent activities have also increased. It is reported that Kalshi's annualized revenue reached approximately $1.5 billion in May of this year. (The Information)
A smart money address has purchased $170,000 worth of bets on France not defeating Senegal in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for the "2026 World Cup Group I Round 1 match: France vs. Senegal," a smart money address (0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c) that has realized over $1.24 million in profit has purchased over $170,000 worth of bets on France not defeating Senegal, at an average opening price of 33 cents.France is widely favored due to its deeper squad strength and recent good form. The team has previously defeated Brazil and Colombia, boasts attacking core players like Mbappé, Dembélé, and Olise, and it has been confirmed that key defender Saliba will be available. Senegal, on the other hand, has gained market recognition through its competitive performance in the Africa Cup of Nations and the return of Mané.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing the changes before the pricing.