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Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently attempting to reclaim the "Active Supply Cost Basis" level.Darkfost noted that active supply refers to all BTC that has been transferred at least once within the past 7 years. By excluding long-dormant Bitcoin, a more accurate average cost basis that aligns with the current market structure can be obtained, with its Realized Price standing at approximately $70,400.He stated that the last time Bitcoin successfully reclaimed this level was in early April, before the market fell back below this zone again in early June, with sellers reasserting dominance.Darkfost said that if BTC can sustain its position above the active supply cost basis this time, it could signal the market is forming a longer-term uptrend, rather than the brief breakout that lasted only about two months previously.This metric is commonly used by the market to observe changes in long-term holder costs and Bitcoin market cycle status. Whether BTC can firmly hold near the $70,400 level will become a key indicator for future bullish and bearish forces.
Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X platform, stating that Solana ecosystem data shows the total scale of stablecoins on the Solana chain has reached $16.3 billion. Among them, USDC accounts for approximately $6.8 billion, representing 42.8%; USDT accounts for approximately $2.9 billion, representing 18.2%; USDG accounts for approximately $1.2 billion, representing 7.4%.Meanwhile, the number of active stablecoin addresses on Solana has reached 1.7 million, setting a new historical record, indicating that the demand for stablecoins on the network continues to grow.
Odaily News: Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that large Bitcoin holders have accumulated approximately 43,000 BTC over the past 60 days, valued at around $2.75 billion. This group excludes exchange and mining pool wallets, and this accumulation marks the end of a net selling phase that had lasted for several months. After Bitcoin fell to around $60,000, large holders resumed buying; since then, Bitcoin has rebounded to approximately $65,000, with trading mostly ranging between $62,000 and $65,000 in recent weeks. During the same period, the balances of "dolphin" holders as defined by CryptoQuant also increased, indicating that accumulation is not limited to the largest wallets. Spot trading volume in August fell to its lowest monthly level since August 2021. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to BeInCrypto, CryptoQuant data shows that centralized exchange stablecoin reserves fell from a high of about $80 billion at the end of 2025 to about $64 billion, shrinking by about $16 billion (about 20%). Among them, Binance showed relative resilience, with its stablecoin share rising from just over 60% to 68.5%, while platforms such as Coinbase, Bybit, and OKX saw more significant reductions. Meanwhile, on-chain analysis platform Santiment detected that pessimistic sentiments such as "crypto is dead" on X and Reddit continued to intensify, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently at 46, still in the fear zone. The total stablecoin supply also fell from a high of nearly $316 billion in May to $300.89 billion, but the decline was far lower than on the exchange side, indicating that some liquidity may have shifted on-chain rather than exiting completely.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released an analysis indicating that Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $64,200, 1.30 times the long-term holder cost basis of $49,400, and has remained in the low-risk zone for 78 consecutive days. Long-term holder holdings amount to 16.35 million BTC, only 58,000 less than the all-time high of 16.41 million set on July 30; over the past 90 days, this group's supply increased by 1.38 million BTC.
CryptoQuant 分析师 Darkfost 表示,超过 10 年未发生移动的比特币已达 356 万枚,占当前流通供应量约 17.7%,创历史新高。过去 30 天又有超 1.4 万枚 BTC 进入这一长期休眠区间。
Odaily News - CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that whale inflows of XRP on Binance have recently seen a notable decline, with the 3-month moving average dropping to its lowest level since 2021.Data shows that current whale inflows of XRP into Binance stand at approximately $61 million, a significant decrease from previous levels. In comparison, this metric reached $456 million in January 2025 and $355 million in October 2025, with current levels roughly 6 to 8 times lower than before.Although XRP is still striving to hold the key $1 price level in the near term, the inflow behavior of whales who previously preferred conducting large transactions through Binance is diminishing. However, XRP's net inflow remains positive at approximately $18.8 million, indicating that incoming funds still temporarily hold the upper hand.Darkfost noted that this trend mirrors the broader crypto market, with trading volume and capital inflows declining overall, potentially reflecting that selling pressure is subsiding, though new market demand has yet to show a clear recovery. The cooling of whale trading activity is a positive signal for XRP, but it is still insufficient to confirm a market reversal, and it remains too early to determine whether XRP is entering a new upward cycle.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the share of supply held by Short-Term Holders (STH) in the Bitcoin market is declining significantly, with the current distribution as follows: less than 1 day accounts for 1.2%, 1 day to 1 week accounts for 2%, 1 week to 1 month accounts for 5.6%, 1 month to 3 months accounts for 6.7%, and 3 months to 6 months accounts for 8.1%. He believes that this trend usually appears at the end of a bear market: on one hand, it indicates that the number of Long-Term Holders (LTH) is increasing, with fewer coins in active circulation in the market; on the other hand, it also indicates that new demand has not yet significantly returned.
CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ noted that data shows the Ethereum Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) on the Binance platform has fallen back to approximately -0.35, entering a range that has historically corresponded to significant price bottoms multiple times. This indicator reflects the unrealized profit/loss status of specific holding groups; the current negative value indicates that relevant Ethereum holdings are overall in a state of relatively deep unrealized losses.
此前消息,Ki Young Ju 发文表示,CME 对冲基金罕见转为 BTC 期货净多头,大户正看涨比特币。
According to Yonhap News, the phenomenon of "reverse Kimchi premium" in South Korea's virtual asset market has continued to intensify since the beginning of this year. According to monitoring by on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, the average Bitcoin Kimchi premium index in early August was -0.48%, and the Ethereum average was -0.49%, meaning domestic prices were lower than those on overseas exchanges. Of the 221 days this year, the number of days with a reverse Bitcoin Kimchi premium reached 123, marking the first time since CryptoQuant began tracking this data in July 2020 that it exceeded the number of days with a positive premium. The record for the longest consecutive streak was also recently broken—from June 20 to July 24 this year, a reverse premium was recorded for 35 consecutive days, surpassing the previous historical record of 23 days. Analysts noted that the continued expansion of the reverse Kimchi premium mainly stems from three factors: first, the South Korean stock market has continued to strengthen, attracting a large number of investors to shift away from the crypto market; second, tighter regulations have prevented new services such as derivatives from being launched, suppressing the inflow of new funds; third, the crypto asset taxation policy is about to be implemented, further depressing investment attractiveness.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on the X platform that Bitcoin is currently trading below the short-term holder (STH) cost basis, which refers to the average purchase price of Bitcoin held for less than 155 days. As of August 8, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at $64,952, while the short-term holder realized price stands at $67,523. The spot price is 3.8% below this level, with a gap of $2,571—the narrowest since July 21. Over the past 284 days, Bitcoin has closed below the STH realized price on 279 days. This time may be no exception, as short-term holders are likely to begin selling into the market to exit at the breakeven point.
CryptoQuant analyst abramchart stated that data shows Bitcoin recently recorded significant inflows into accumulation addresses, with over 38,000 BTC transferred into wallets typically associated with long-term holders and OTC settlement. On the surface, this movement leans positive, but when considered alongside the realized price of accumulation addresses, market signals remain relatively complex.
According to CryptoQuant on-chain data, total institutional BTC holdings, including trusts, ETFs, and closed-end funds, have decreased from 1.33 million BTC three months ago to 1.2 million BTC, a decline of approximately 10%. Meanwhile, the corporate Bitcoin treasury model is also facing pressure. Novaque Research analysts pointed out that the market cap of multiple Bitcoin treasury companies has currently fallen below the net asset value (NAV) of their BTC holdings, and the previous positive cycle mechanism of "stock price premium → financing to buy BTC → strengthening premium" has significantly weakened. The listed company with the largest holdings, Strategy, even sold 1,638 BTC last week.
Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on platform X, stating that the cumulative trading volume of the Trump family-linked stablecoin USD1 on Binance has surpassed $50 billion. Data shows that since its launch over a year ago, USD1 has experienced rapid growth in trading scale. The stablecoin was launched by World Liberty Financial in March 2025, a project co-founded with the participation of the Trump family. USD1 is primarily backed by U.S. dollars and short-term U.S. Treasury assets, and adopts an institutional-oriented compliance framework. Currently, the market cap of USD1 has exceeded $4 billion.
CryptoQuant stated that as crypto asset prices remain under pressure, large holders are increasing their positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, indicating they may be preparing for the next market cycle.The firm believes this behavior suggests the current bear market may have entered its final phase. However, CryptoQuant also emphasized that the market has not yet confirmed a bottom, and prices could still decline further.CryptoQuant Research Head Julio Moreno stated that the largest holder groups of BTC, ETH, and XRP are increasing their supply holdings as prices approach or fall below their realized prices. This shift in positioning helps reduce downward pressure and aligns with characteristics typical of the late stage of a cyclical downturn.Data shows that, excluding exchanges and mining pools, Bitcoin whale balances have rebounded from a low of approximately 2.87 million BTC in December 2025 to roughly 3.06 million BTC. This data also excludes holdings by ETFs or digital asset treasury companies.CryptoQuant noted that Bitcoin whale holdings have maintained a positive 30-day growth for most of 2026, and accumulation intensified when Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in June. However, current whale balances remain below the 2025 bull market peak of approximately 3.23 million BTC, suggesting there is still room for continued accumulation.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on the X platform that the current Bitcoin (BTC) supply profit ratio is approximately 52%, meaning nearly half of Bitcoin holdings are still at a loss, and the market is approaching a key turning point in the bear market cycle.The analysis points out that historically, during each bear market, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio eventually falls below 50%, entering a stage where "loss-making positions are in the majority." This typically signals further release of market pressure and serves as an important indicator of the late bear market phase.Data shows that in June and July of this year, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio briefly fell below 50%, but overall it remained near the critical level. Analysts believe this indicates that the current bear market cycle has entered a deeper stage.The analysis states that regardless of where the final market bottom price lies, the Bitcoin market may currently be entering the final phase of the bear market.However, the profitable supply ratio only reflects the on-chain cost structure of holdings and cannot alone determine the market bottom. Further observation combining indicators such as capital flows, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment is still required.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated in a post that while Bitcoin continues to oscillate within the $60,000 to $65,000 range, the Binance Whale Inflow Ratio has risen to 0.52, hitting a new high in nearly four months. The rise in this indicator suggests that compared to retail and small-to-medium traders, whales have recently transferred more Bitcoin to Binance, implying that potential selling pressure in the market has increased.
CryptoQuant 分析师 Moreno 发文表示,数据显示,USDT 市值正经历历史上较为剧烈的收缩阶段,60 日市值变动约为减少 40 亿美元,接近历史低位区间。过去 11 天内,USDT 供应量进一步减少约 8.7 亿美元,表明收缩趋势仍在延续。
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Moreno stated that USDT liquidity is experiencing one of the most severe contraction phases in its history. The 60-day change in USDT market cap has fallen to approximately -$4 billion, nearing historical extreme negative levels. Meanwhile, liquidity contraction is still accelerating, with USDT supply decreasing by approximately $870 million over the past 11 days, indicating this is not merely a lagged effect of earlier redemptions.Stablecoins are the most direct source of available liquidity in the crypto market. Sustained USDT expansion is typically accompanied by stronger BTC price performance, while prolonged contraction phases often correspond to weak demand, market pullbacks, and declining risk appetite. However, the correlation between USDT flows and BTC price does not prove direct causation—both may be simultaneously influenced by risk-aversion sentiment, with redemption pressure and spot selling occurring in tandem. The current BTC decline is not an isolated event but is occurring against the backdrop of one of the market's primary liquidity sources steadily shrinking, which also explains why recent bounces have been difficult to sustain. To improve market conditions, we need to see the 60-day change in USDT stabilize, daily supply contraction slow, and a return to an expansion phase.