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Bitcoin Falls Below $65,000: Fed Meeting Looms, Structural Concerns Over Strategy and Leverage Risks Converge
Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)
BIT Weekly Report: Multi-dimensional Technical Signals for Bitcoin Converge Bullishly; $73,000 Becomes the Key Threshold for Reversal Confirmation
According to BIT on Target’s weekly report, the Bitcoin bear market phase may be nearing its end, with multiple time-frame signals gradually converging. The weekly stochastic oscillator has declined to its lowest level since January 2023—a reading that historically corresponds to market bottom zones. Meanwhile, the trend model has also turned bullish, and the current price action exhibits stronger continuity conditions compared to the previous two signal reversals. On the price front, Bitcoin is currently consolidating near $70,000, gradually approaching its 21-week moving average—the critical bull-bear demarcation line. The report notes that $73,000 has served as a key inflection point since March 2024; a decisive breakout and sustained hold above this level would further confirm the reversal signal. On-chain capital inflow data shows a recent monthly inflow of approximately $1 billion—marking a clear improvement over prior periods of deep net outflows. The report also cautions that, before prices enter the target zone, the upward momentum may still be disrupted by short-term risk factors.
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Bitcoin Falls Below $65,000: Fed Meeting Looms, Structural Concerns Over Strategy and Leverage Risks Converge
Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)
BIT Weekly Report: Multi-dimensional Technical Signals for Bitcoin Converge Bullishly; $73,000 Becomes the Key Threshold for Reversal Confirmation
According to BIT on Target’s weekly report, the Bitcoin bear market phase may be nearing its end, with multiple time-frame signals gradually converging. The weekly stochastic oscillator has declined to its lowest level since January 2023—a reading that historically corresponds to market bottom zones. Meanwhile, the trend model has also turned bullish, and the current price action exhibits stronger continuity conditions compared to the previous two signal reversals. On the price front, Bitcoin is currently consolidating near $70,000, gradually approaching its 21-week moving average—the critical bull-bear demarcation line. The report notes that $73,000 has served as a key inflection point since March 2024; a decisive breakout and sustained hold above this level would further confirm the reversal signal. On-chain capital inflow data shows a recent monthly inflow of approximately $1 billion—marking a clear improvement over prior periods of deep net outflows. The report also cautions that, before prices enter the target zone, the upward momentum may still be disrupted by short-term risk factors.