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Standard Chartered Bank Analyst: US Treasury Expands Long-Term Bond Buyback, BTC May Hit $100,000 by Year-End

According to Cointelegraph, Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoff Kendrick pointed out in the latest client report that the U.S. Treasury announced the scale of 10- to 30-year Treasury bond buybacks will be at least doubled from $2 billion per operation to $4 billion, with an execution period from September 9 to November 4. This policy drove long-term U.S. Treasury yields down significantly, effectively alleviating selling pressure in the bond market. Kendrick stated that such government liquidity interventions have historically been bullish for Bitcoin, and coupled with its fixed supply attribute, BTC is expected to hit $100,000 before the end of the year. Technically, he views $65,500 as a key support level; once effectively broken above, it can confirm that the bottom of this cycle has appeared.

Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin Hitting $100,000 by Year-End: U.S. Treasury Expanding Bond Buybacks Could Be Key Catalyst

Odaily News – Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) could rise to $100,000 by the end of 2026 as the U.S. Treasury expands liquidity support for the long-term bond market.In a recent client report, Kendrick noted that Bitcoin's current key technical resistance level is $65,500. If the price breaks through this level, it could signal that the cyclical low for this market cycle has already formed. He suggested investors begin positioning for a Bitcoin rally to $100,000 by year-end. Kendrick stated that beyond the four-year cycle pattern for Bitcoin, which suggests the market may be nearing a bottom, the U.S. Treasury's recent announcement to expand long-term bond buybacks is also a significant catalyst.The U.S. Treasury plans to raise the cap on buyback operations for 10- to 20-year and 20- to 30-year Treasury bonds from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. The expanded program is scheduled to be implemented from September 9 to November 4. Following the announcement, yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries notably declined, easing the pressure that the significant sell-off in the bond market had placed on financial markets.Kendrick believes the Treasury's expanded bond buybacks represent a "favorable environment for Bitcoin," as Bitcoin has previously benefited multiple times from government liquidity interventions, while its fixed supply mechanism gives it properties that hedge against currency debasement. In the market, Bitcoin rose over 6% on Wednesday, briefly approaching $69,000, marking its highest level since early June. Kendrick has previously been repeatedly bullish on Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, arguing that as global fiscal pressures increase and monetary policy trends toward easing, Bitcoin may enter a new long-term upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)

Robinhood Chain Approaches $1B TVL, with Uniswap Providing Nearly All Liquidity

Odaily News Robinhood's blockchain project, Robinhood Chain, has seen its total value locked (TVL) approach $1 billion. According to Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick, nearly all of its liquidity is provided by Uniswap V2, V3, and V4, making it the fastest-growing blockchain by this metric. Protocol fees generated by Robinhood Chain through Uniswap have now become the largest source of UNI burns. Since the Robinhood-related fee switch was activated on July 27, the annualized UNI burn rate has reached approximately $90 million. At roughly $3.50 per token, this equates to burning 25 million UNI annually, representing slightly more than 4% of the circulating supply. Robinhood Chain launched on July 1, with a focus on bringing real-world assets on-chain, and reached 194,000 daily active users within its first week. The partnership allows Robinhood to directly leverage mature DeFi infrastructure to provide liquidity for blockchain expansion. Robinhood is expanding its business into cryptocurrency, prediction markets, and tokenization. The company reported record second-quarter revenue and earnings, though cryptocurrency trading volumes and related revenue both declined. (Cointelegraph)

研究人员设虚假加密初创公司"Ballena Azul"诱捕疑似朝鲜 IT 工人,成功提取关键情报

据 Cointelegraph 报道,网络安全公司 BCA LTD 创始人 Mauro Eldritch与 Telefónica Tech 网络威胁情报分析师 Heiner García 联合搭建虚假加密初创公司"Ballena Azul",成功诱使疑似朝鲜 IT 工人在受控虚拟桌面环境中工作长达五周,并全程监控其行为。 调查显示,相关工人使用的外部服务器与此前分发 InvisibleFerret、BeaverTail及 OtterCookie 等恶意软件的朝鲜网络行动基础设施存在关联;工人还大量依赖 ChatGPT 辅助编程、Google Gemini 伪造身份文件。研究人员指出,朝鲜 IT 工人通过伪造美国身份获取远程工作,所得薪资最终流向平壤政权的大规模杀伤性武器项目,美国财政部数据显示,此类计划 2024 年为朝鲜创收近 8 亿美元。

量子攻击或以"不明原因入侵"形式首现,Tether 铸币密钥或成首要目标

据 Cointelegraph 报道,区块链初创公司 Quantus 创始人 Christopher Smith 警告称,量子计算破解现代加密技术的首个信号,可能并非高调盗取中本聪比特币,而是一系列无迹可查的钱包资产异常转移——攻击者无需入侵设备或交易所系统,仅凭链上暴露的公钥即可推算出私钥。Smith 指出,若攻击发生,"唯一的法证证据就是没有任何入侵痕迹"。 在攻击目标方面,Smith 认为加密领域最具价值的目标或为 Tether 铸币密钥,量子攻击者可凭此凭空增发 USDT 并迅速抛售套利。Blockchain Capital 安全研究员 Sean Cheetham 则认为,攻击者更可能优先针对交易所热钱包,以避免引发广泛警觉。 在时间线方面,Smith 给出 2028 年前实现量子破密的概率为"五五开",Cheetham 认为 2030 年代初"几乎确定"会到来。Google 已于今年 3 月将后量子迁移时间表提前至 2029 年。

Coldcard vulnerability investigation escalates: At least 15 attackers identified, a single victim's findings reveal 12 BTC stolen

Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn stated that based on new victim reports received following the incident, the number of attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability has reached at least 15.Thorn noted that information provided by victims helped the research team uncover previously unidentified attack activity. Unlike thefts from centralized exchanges, correlations between the attackers in this vulnerability exploit require confirmation through on-chain analysis and victim feedback.He added that a single victim reporting less than 1 BTC stolen helped the team discover a previously unknown attack, which siphoned approximately 12 BTC from 126 addresses.According to Galaxy Research's earlier estimates, the Coldcard vulnerability has led to at least three rounds of attacks, with losses amounting to approximately $100 million in BTC. Additionally, Galaxy has identified a suspected fourth round of attacks, which could bring total losses to approximately $130 million.Meanwhile, the incident has also sparked discussions regarding the security of Bitcoin self-custody. Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi stated that "AI security hardening costing around $2" could potentially have prevented this vulnerability, and noted that some AI models were able to rediscover related vulnerabilities within a relatively short timeframe. However, industry insiders pointed out that current claims about the speed of AI discovering vulnerabilities lack rigorous blind testing and verification.Researchers believe that as AI model capabilities improve, the costs of vulnerability discovery and attacks in the crypto industry may continue to decline, requiring wallet developers to further strengthen code audits and security protections. (Cointelegraph)

Leopold responds to his fund's dismal July performance, apologizing to investors: "We let you down"

Odaily News: Affected by a sharp decline in artificial intelligence (AI)-related stocks, investment firm Situational Awareness suffered a severe drawdown in July, with the fund's net value falling 67% in a single month. Aschenbrenner previously gained attention for publishing the research report "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead" on AI development trends, which discussed topics such as AI capability advancement, industrial competition, and AI safety over the next decade. This significant fund drawdown also highlights the challenges facing AI-themed investing: even with a long-term bullish view on technological transformation, concentrated bets on a few high-growth tech assets can still lead to剧烈 short-term volatility.The fund's founder and AI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner acknowledged that market performance in July fell far short of expectations and said in a letter to investors: "We let you down."The Situational Awareness fund previously attracted attention for its bets on long-term AI industry growth, with an investment strategy focused on AI infrastructure, AI chips, and related technology companies. However, the AI sector underwent significant adjustments in July, with high-valuation tech stocks facing sell-offs that dragged down the fund's performance.This drawdown reflects the high volatility risk within the AI investment boom. Although the market remains optimistic about the long-term development of artificial intelligence, some AI-related assets that had previously seen rapid valuation gains underwent noticeable corrections amid changes in interest rates, earnings expectations, and capital flows. (Cointelegraph)

Coinkite Issues Coldcard Mk3 Security Warning, Suspected to Be Related to $38 Million Bitcoin Theft Incident

据 Cointelegraph 报道,加拿大比特币硬件钱包制造商 Coinkite 警告 Coldcard Mk3 用户立即迁移资金,受影响固件版本为 2021 年 3 月发布的 4.0.1 至最终版本 5.0.3,Mk4、Q 及 Mk5 不受影响。与此同时,比特币安全专家正在调查一起涉及 594.48 枚 BTC(约 3830 万美元)的异常清仓事件,涉及 1324 个 UTXO 在三个区块内通过 500 笔交易被转移,所有地址均为单签名地址。

ARK Invest Analyst: Crypto Industry Enters Largest Consolidation Phase in History

According to Cointelegraph, ARK Invest researcher Lorenzo Valente noted in a post on July 30 that the cryptocurrency industry is entering the largest consolidation phase in history. As investors become increasingly strict in screening projects, revenue is accelerating towards concentration among a few top protocols—Hyperliquid and Pump.fun collectively account for approximately 67% of the industry's application revenue, and with Ethena included, the combined share of the top three approaches 80%. Valente expects this trend to accelerate in the coming months, triggering more M&A, bankruptcies, and project closures. Meanwhile, BitMEX and BitMart recently announced the shutdown of trading services in succession, further confirming the consolidation trend. Valente believes that this round of consolidation is "extremely beneficial" for the long-term development of the crypto industry.

PayPal reports Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, advancing stablecoin and AI payment tools

: Global payments company PayPal reported its second-quarter earnings, with earnings per share of $1.26, compared to $1.30 in the same period last year, falling short of the analyst consensus estimate of $1.28. Revenue reached $8.68 billion, surpassing last year's $8.29 billion and exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $8.47 billion. PayPal recorded a non-GAAP adjustment of $81 million, related to gains and losses from strategic investments and crypto assets held for investment purposes. PayPal stated that since the company does not actively trade these assets and does not rely on them to fund ongoing operations, it excludes the related gains and losses from non-GAAP results. In its second-quarter investor presentation, PayPal stated that the company is leveraging its payments network, risk infrastructure, and trust capabilities to expand agent-based payments, stablecoins, identity, and biometric technologies. PayPal also noted that its PayPal World platform facilitated approximately $200 million in total payment volume between Venmo and PayPal.

Binance app unavailable on Google Play in some EU countries

Binance’s Android app is no longer available on the Google Play Store in several European Union countries. Spanish users have confirmed that the Binance app can no longer be found through Google Play searches, though it remains accessible via the Oppo App Market, an Android app store used by Oppo devices. Checks in Poland indicate that the Binance app is still available on Google Play, suggesting the situation does not cover all EU markets. Last week, OKX Europe CEO Erald Ghoos stated on X that the app was removed due to licensing requirements under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). This development comes weeks after Binance withdrew its MiCA application in Greece. The transition period for the framework ended on July 1st. Subsequently, Binance notified some EU users that access to certain services would be restricted, although withdrawals remain available.

Ending over two months of net outflows, USDC exchange flows turn to net inflows

CryptoQuant data shows USDC exchange flows have turned back to net inflows after over two months of net outflows. This shift may indicate that U.S. buying funds are re-entering the crypto market. (Cointelegraph)

Robinhood Reportedly in Talks to Integrate Crypto.com Prediction Market Products

According to Cointelegraph, Robinhood is negotiating with crypto trading platform Crypto.com to expand its prediction market business, planning to integrate yes/no event contract products provided by Crypto.com. People familiar with the matter stated that both parties are still in the discussion phase, and specific cooperation arrangements have not yet been finalized. Robinhood launched prediction market services in March 2025, initially offering related products through Kalshi to comply with regulatory requirements of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and subsequently integrated ForecastEx and Rotella. Bernstein analysts recently raised the price target from $130 to $160 due to optimism regarding Robinhood's development in the prediction market and tokenized stock sectors, and predicted that prediction market business revenue could reach $1.7 billion in 2028. However, the U.S. prediction market industry currently still faces legal disputes between state and federal regulators.

Analysis: Bitcoin's Supply in Profit Approaches 60%, But Confirming a Bull Market is Still Premature

the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data suggests it is still insufficient to confirm the start of a new bull market, with the risk of another downturn remaining.Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This metric represents the proportion of BTC supply whose current market price is higher than its acquisition cost. It has rebounded significantly from the 2026 low of 46.2% on June 30, now approaching 60%. However, the recovery of the supply in profit still needs sustained validation. Historical cycles indicate that the true end of a bear market typically requires two conditions to be met simultaneously:First, the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must consistently remain above 1 and not drop below it for several weeks.Second, Bitcoin's Supply in Profit needs to stabilize above 64%.Analysts point out that this cycle has already seen one "false breakout." Between April 28 and June 1 this year, the average LTH-SOPR stayed above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the Supply in Profit briefly rose to 67%. However, the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the 30-day SMA of the LTH-SOPR has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, remaining a key risk signal for assessing the strength of the market recovery.While the proportion of BTC in profit is improving, the market needs further confirmation regarding long-term holder behavior and changes in the profit structure before determining whether the current rebound will genuinely transition into a new upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)

Interactive Brokers Adds 9 New Cryptocurrency Trading Pairs

Interactive Brokers has added 9 new cryptocurrency trading pairs and now supports users withdrawing stablecoins to external wallets via USDC, PYUSD, and RLUSD. (Cointelegraph)

Analysis: Although Bitcoin has rebounded nearly 10% in July, the 2022 bear market trend may still repeat

According to Cointelegraph, although Bitcoin's cumulative gain since July has approached 10%, marking the best performance in the same period in nearly four years, multiple market analysts warn that the current trend is highly similar to the bear market period in 2022, and the market may turn weak again starting from August. Looking back at 2022, Bitcoin once rebounded nearly 17% in July, but subsequently fell about 14% and 3% in August and September, respectively. Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that Bitcoin currently basically aligns with the historical average July performance, but the third quarter has historically been one of the weakest quarters for Bitcoin, with an average gain of only about 6%. The gradual decline in market liquidity and trading volume may be an important reason leading to the weak performance in the third quarter. Rekt Capital also pointed out that Bitcoin's price trend in 2026 shows high similarity to previous bear market cycles. If history repeats itself, Bitcoin may continue the summer rebound trend in the second half of July, but subsequently face a new round of adjustment.

New York Lawsuit Continues to Unfold, 15-Year Dormant Bitcoin Address Transfers 30 BTC Worth Approximately $1.88 Million

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin address "1KV47" recently completed its first transfer operation in nearly 15 years, moving 30 BTC (approximately $1.88 million) out of the wallet. The address initially received the aforementioned Bitcoin in August 2011. This address is one of 39,069 listed addresses in a New York lawsuit, where plaintiff "Noah Doe" and two Wyoming companies are attempting to claim ownership of these dormant Bitcoins under New York State lost property law. According to data from Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn, 31 related addresses have transferred 17,527 BTC in June, a significant increase compared to 4,834 in February. Legal experts point out that address dormancy is not equivalent to abandonment of ownership, and in the absence of proof of private keys, the basis of this lawsuit is "extremely weak".

Binance Records Weekly Net Outflow of $1.23 Billion; ETH Withdrawal Transactions Hit Over Three-Year High

Odaily reports, according to DefiLlama data, Binance saw a net outflow of $1.23 billion in the week starting June 29, a 207% increase from approximately $400 million the previous week. The total monthly net outflow stands at about $3.2 billion. CryptoQuant indicates that Binance's single-day ETH withdrawal transactions exceeded 166,000, marking the highest level in over three years. Over the same period, ETH rose approximately 12.5% in the past seven days, trading at $1,766 at press time; BTC gained 4.3% in the same period, trading at $62,925 at press time.DefiLlama data shows that Bitfinex recorded an outflow of $407.5 million over the past week, Gate saw $214.3 million in outflows, OKX had $87.1 million, and Bybit saw $78.4 million. Meanwhile, Crypto.com and HashKey Exchange posted net inflows of approximately $63 million and $53.3 million, respectively, while KuCoin, Gemini, and Bitvavo recorded net inflows of $22.1 million, $17.4 million, and $15.8 million. (Cointelegraph).

Revolut Announces USDT Delisting by End of August, Strengthening Signal of European Compliance Tightening

Odaily Planet Daily reports that digital bank and fintech platform Revolut has notified some users that it will officially delist the dollar stablecoin Tether (USDT) after August 31, 2026, and will automatically convert users' remaining holdings into their base fiat currency at the exchange rate of that day.According to the official notice, Revolut will suspend USDT purchase services starting July 6, and will halt USDT deposits after July 30, at which point any incoming USDT transfers will be directly rejected.If users have not sold or withdrawn their USDT by the end of August, their holdings will be automatically converted by the system into the account's base currency. The company attributes this adjustment to "regulatory and risk-related considerations," but has not specified the exact regulatory framework triggering the move.This move reflects the trend of fintech platforms continuously tightening the scope of access to related assets amid the changing global regulatory environment for stablecoins. Previously, trading platforms including Coinbase have delisted USDT in the European market to comply with the EU's MiCA regulatory framework.Currently, Revolut has not clarified whether this policy applies to all regions, but the company has obtained an EU Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP) license, indicating it is strengthening its compliance-oriented product structure adjustments. (Cointelegraph)

Standard Chartered Bank issues first rating on Morpho, with a price target of $60

According to Cointelegraph, as tokenized TradFi assets continue to flow into DeFi, Standard Chartered Bank has rated Morpho for the first time, projecting the price could rise to $60 by the end of 2030, representing approximately 33x upside from current levels.