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Bitwise CIO: Even If the Clarity Act Does Not Pass This Week, the Crypto Industry Will Still Move Forward

According to The Block, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that even if the US Clarity Act fails to pass this week, the crypto industry will still find a way forward. The US Congress will enter summer recess from August 10 to September 11, leaving the Clarity Act with only a three-day window to advance in the Senate. Hougan pointed out that if the bill fails to pass, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins may directly introduce regulatory rules more friendly to the crypto industry, which could even become an accelerator for industry development. However, he also warned that delayed legislation will increase market uncertainty, further hindering institutional investors from entering the market.

Clarity Act potential vote could hit the schedule 30 hours after Thune files cloture motion

Odaily News: Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X platform, saying that procedural matters related to the ongoing continuing resolution may explain why Senate Majority Leader John Thune did not file a cloture motion tonight on the motion to advance the Clarity Act, but a lack of votes and major issues still under discussion could also be factors. Once procedural matters related to the continuing resolution are resolved, expectations are rising that Thune could file the cloture motion as early as tomorrow. If he files the motion, a potential Clarity Act vote would hit the schedule 30 hours later. The bill still has unresolved issues, including the lack of a bipartisan ethics agreement, the White House's refusal to take a position, and ongoing disagreements surrounding BRCA. However, he has heard from multiple sources that some people now want lawmakers to go on the record with an official vote, even if the bill does not pass.

Senators Demand SEC Investigation into Trump Meme Coin

Odaily News - U.S. Democratic Senators Elizabeth Warren and Richard Blumenthal sent a letter to SEC Chairman Paul Atkins on Monday, calling for an investigation into whether President Trump's related Meme coins violate securities laws.In the letter, the two senators cited reports stating that since the Trump Meme coin launched in January 2025, nearly 1 million crypto wallets have incurred losses, totaling approximately $3.81 billion. They accused Trump of potentially engaging in a "rug pull" and requested that the SEC determine whether fraudulent arrangements or securities law violations exist.Warren and Blumenthal stated that despite the token's price being driven by Trump's own public statements, its value has plummeted significantly, making it necessary for the SEC to investigate whether a fraudulent scheme exists and to prevent continued extraction of substantial value from hundreds of thousands of investors.The letter comes as the White House is evaluating the latest ethics provisions compromise regarding conflicts of interest in Trump's cryptocurrency business. This proposal is seen as key to advancing the "Clarity Act" crypto market structure legislation. A previous Trump-endorsed draft drew opposition from Democrats because it only restricted public officials and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets, did not cover other family members, and designated the Department of Justice for enforcement.The two senators also claimed that Trump has an "active interest" in encouraging supporters to trade his Meme coin, and alleged that Trump has earned $636 million in revenue from the Meme coin. With the Senate entering its August recess on Friday and attention subsequently shifting to the November elections, whether the "Clarity Act" can advance in the near term still depends on whether both parties can reach consensus on Trump-related crypto conflicts of interest.

美国区块链协会致信参议院领导人,就《Clarity 法案》回应警长协会质疑

据 Cointelegraph 报道,美国区块链协会已向参议院领导人 John Thune 与 Chuck Schumer 致信,逐条回应美国全国警长协会针对《Clarity 法案》提出的相关质疑与指控。

Blockchain Association rebuts National Sheriffs' Association, says Clarity Act will not weaken law enforcement

Odaily News: The U.S. crypto industry group Blockchain Association wrote to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on Monday, rebutting the National Sheriffs' Association's (NSA) previous criticism of the Clarity Act, arguing that the latter misunderstands the bill's design for DeFi regulation.Last week, the NSA wrote to Senate leadership, claiming that the Clarity Act's exemptions for DeFi regarding anti-money laundering, sanctions compliance, and KYC rules are too broad, potentially making it harder for law enforcement to combat financial crime. Representing over 3,000 sheriffs and 10,000 public safety officials, the NSA's stance has intensified the controversy surrounding the bill ahead of its advancement in the Senate.Blockchain Association, in response, stated that the Clarity Act does not grant the crypto industry a "blanket exemption" but instead imposes strict obligations on intermediaries while equipping law enforcement with tools to combat financial crime. Lindsay Fraser, the group's Chief Policy Officer, said that with the Senate vote approaching, it is necessary to correct the misunderstandings surrounding the bill.

Bernstein: Slim Hopes for Clarity Act Passage, SEC and CFTC May Accelerate Crypto Regulatory Rulemaking

According to The Block, Bernstein analysts indicated that the likelihood of the U.S. Clarity Act passing within 2026 is declining, with the Senate left with only this week's window (before recess on August 7). Analysts noted that if the bill fails, the digital asset market may experience a negative reaction in the short term, but the SEC and CFTC will accelerate rule-making under the "Project Crypto" framework, covering token classification, DeFi, and self-custody regulatory details, while continuing to promote innovative areas such as tokenized real-world assets (RWA), perpetual contracts, and prediction markets. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig previously also warned that if Congress fails to act, regulators will be forced to "take over all rule-making". Currently, bipartisan senators Thom Tillis and Ruben Gallego have submitted a revised ethics compromise proposal, and negotiations are still ongoing.

JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation

According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.

"Clarity Act" Legislation Hits Stalemate, Bipartisan Senators Submit New Ethics Compromise Proposal to the White House

According to The Block, bipartisan Senators Thom Tillis (Republican) and Ruben Gallego (Democrat) submitted a new ethics compromise proposal to the White House on Thursday morning local time, attempting to break the deadlock in advancing the Clarity Act cryptocurrency legislation. Currently, there is less than a week left until the Senate recesses on August 7, but the bill still has not obtained the 60 votes required for passage. Democrats insist on adding stricter ethics provisions to constrain the Trump family's crypto interests, including the Meme coins they issued and the World Liberty Financial project in which the family participates, while some Republican senators have objections to the stablecoin interest provisions, worrying that it will divert deposits from traditional banks to the crypto sector. Although the draft leaked last week prohibited public officials and their spouses from issuing digital assets, it did not cover other family members, and included a "sunset clause" expiring in January 2029, which critics believe essentially nullifies the entire ethics provision. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent subsequently blamed the Democrats on X, stating that they "chose political gaming on the verge of a major victory". The Crypto Innovation Committee (CCI) warned that if the bill fails to pass, the US will hand over its global leadership position in the field of crypto regulation.

JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing Within the Year Decreases, Potentially Undermining Crypto Market Prospects

analysts at JPMorgan stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the Clarity Act, passing the Senate by the end of this year has decreased, posing a headwind for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts pointed out that prediction markets show the likelihood of the bill passing this year has dropped to its lowest point of the year, with Kalshi at 37% and Polymarket at 26%.JPMorgan noted that the Senate prioritized other legislative matters before the summer recess. Additionally, unresolved issues such as ethical clauses, enforcement authority, stablecoin yields, DeFi, and illicit finance have made the bill's advancement prospects more uncertain. The bank had previously viewed the Clarity Act as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market, as it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for the digital asset industry: digital commodities would be regulated by the CFTC, while digital securities would continue to fall under the SEC's jurisdiction.Analysts believe that if the bill is ultimately passed, it would help develop more institutionalized market infrastructure, ease regulatory restrictions on DeFi and stablecoin issuers, boost domestic liquidity and trading volumes in the U.S., and lower the barriers to entry for brokerages, exchanges, market makers, custodians, and bank-related platforms seeking to participate in the crypto industry.

White House is reviewing the latest ethics proposal related to the Clarity Act, which could impact the Senate's vote progression next week

Fox Business crypto journalist posted on platform X, stating that according to multiple sources outside Capitol Hill, the latest ethics proposal coordinated by SenThomTillis and SenRubenGallego includes a role for state attorneys general, but the full details of the plan and the additional provisions added in response to White House concerns remain unclear. The White House is currently reviewing the latest draft received this morning. Additionally, the journalist learned that industry representatives spent most of yesterday calling the White House, arguing that reaching an ethical compromise is crucial to advancing the Clarity Act's legislative process. The White House's response will largely determine whether the Senate moves forward with the bill's vote next week.

US Treasury Secretary Urges Senate to Immediately Vote on the Clarity Act, Citing Satoshi Nakamoto

Odaily News: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Senate on Thursday to pass the Clarity Act, stating that the House of Representatives passed the bill over a year ago, and staff from the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees have since conducted thousands of hours of negotiations on bipartisan amendments. Bessent stated that the bill will enhance consumer protection and anti-money laundering requirements while providing regulatory certainty for digital assets. He also noted that the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act provision within the Clarity Act will protect decentralized software developers, making it clear that they are not subject to the registration requirements of the Bank Secrecy Act. Bessent criticized Senate Democrats for delaying the vote for political reasons, arguing that the vote will determine whether the United States maintains its global leadership position in digital assets. He concluded his statement by quoting Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto: "If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry." The Clarity Act aims to establish a federal framework for the US digital asset market and divide the regulatory responsibilities for digital assets between the SEC and the CFTC, with most crypto assets generally falling under CFTC jurisdiction. Senate Majority Leader John Thune recently indicated that the bill is not expected to pass the Senate before the August recess.

JPMorgan: Decreased Likelihood of Clarity Act Passing This Year Hampers Crypto Market Prospects

JPMorgan has stated the decreased probability of the Clarity Act passing this year poses an obstacle to the crypto market and institutional adoption. JPMorgan indicated that the legislation would provide regulatory clarity, encouraging banks and asset management firms to expand into the digital asset space. Related delays could shift tokenization towards traditional financial infrastructure rather than public blockchain networks.

SEC Chair: If the Clarity Act Is Not Passed, SEC Will Create Its Own Crypto Rules

According to Decrypt, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated that if Congress fails to pass the Clarity Act, the SEC is "ready at any time" to issue cryptocurrency market rules independently. Atkins emphasized that legislation is the only way to prevent the regulatory framework from shifting with changing administrations, and expressed continued optimism regarding the bill's ultimate passage. Currently, the Clarity Act passed the House of Representatives last July with a 294-134 vote, and passed the Senate Banking Committee this May with a 15-9 vote, but has not yet undergone a full Senate vote (requiring 60 votes to pass). Senate Majority Leader Thune recently hinted that the bill may not be voted on before the August recess. If passed, the bill would transfer regulatory authority over the spot market for most tokens to the CFTC, removing them from SEC jurisdiction. The SEC has made advance arrangements; the "Project Crypto" regulatory scheme advanced by Atkins has been included in the 2026 agenda, covering token registration exemptions, safe harbors, and broker-dealer custody, and is regarded as a transitional plan for the Clarity Act.

White House and Treasury Department Deny Involvement in "Clarity Act" BRCA Amendment Proposal

According to reporter Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett), the controversy surrounding the BRCA provisions in the Clarity Act continues to intensify. Two key groups representing prosecutors have submitted amendment proposals to the White House, proposing to remove relevant provisions protecting software developers from criminal prosecution, but the National Sheriffs' Association (@NationalSheriff), which previously publicly opposed the Clarity Act, did not co-sign the proposal. In response, both the White House and the Treasury denied Senator Cortez Masto's claim that "the proposal reflects their position." Crypto Council Executive Director Patrick Witt stated that the proposal is "far from" the government's position, while the Treasury directly pointed out that the wording of the relevant provisions came from Washington lobbyists.

华尔街巨头支持《Clarity Act》加密监管法案

BlackRock、Fidelity 等华尔街机构公开支持《Clarity Act》加密监管法案,但 JPMorgan 与 Coinbase 在稳定币条款上存在分歧,参议院休会前立法时间紧迫。

AmericasCUs Supports Majority of Clarity Act, Calls for Strengthening Stablecoin Yield Provisions

Fox Business crypto journalist posted on X that former NCUA Chairman Rodney Hood stated last week that credit unions play an important role in modernizing the financial system. A few days later, AmericasCUs, along with credit union leagues in all 50 U.S. states, supported the vast majority of the Clarity Act. However, they echoed the banking industry's concerns regarding the bill's stablecoin yield provisions, urging senators to strengthen the language. These groups believe that the current Tillis-Alsobrooks compromise could still allow for "functionally passive" reward structures, potentially causing deposits to flow out of local credit unions.

CLARITY Act's probability of passage in 2026 drops to 30%, US Senator Jon Husted expresses support

on July 28 that U.S. Senator Jon Husted publicly supported the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, stating that if the United States wants to maintain its leading position in the digital asset field, it needs a clear, enforceable regulatory framework that supports innovation and employment.The CLARITY Act aims to establish the first comprehensive federal framework for crypto regulation in the U.S., dividing jurisdiction between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The bill classifies tokens into three categories, granting the CFTC exclusive regulatory authority over the spot market for digital commodities, while the SEC continues to oversee assets that still resemble securities.Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law by 2026 from 50% to 30%. Alex Thorn, the firm's Head of Research, stated that the 60-vote threshold in the Senate is the main obstacle, and supporters may not yet hold a simple majority.The revised version of the bill proposes to prohibit the President, Vice President, members of Congress, federal judges, and their spouses from receiving compensation through the issuance or sponsorship of digital assets during their term in office until January 2029. It also requires relevant officials to sell their cryptocurrency holdings or place them in a blind trust.

New York Attorney General: CLARITY Act Could Weaken State-Level Crypto Enforcement

: New York Attorney General Letitia James submitted written testimony to the U.S. Congress, urging stronger regulation of cryptocurrency companies and warning that proposed federal legislation could undermine states' ability to investigate fraud and hold platforms accountable. Letitia James stated that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act would preempt state-level digital asset market regulation and transfer oversight authority to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), thereby weakening state and local enforcement. She disclosed that the New York Attorney General’s Office has seen a threefold increase in crypto fraud complaints over the past three years, with total reported losses over the past five years approaching $500 million. She called on crypto platforms to comply with anti-money laundering, know-your-customer (KYC), and cybersecurity requirements, monitor suspicious activity and market manipulation, and be held financially responsible when they fail to protect customers from fraud.

2026 midterm election countdown: 100 days to go, nearly 70% of surveyed crypto holders say policy stance will influence their vote

As the 2026 midterm elections enter the final 100-day countdown, cryptocurrency advocacy group Stand With Crypto stated in a post on X on July 26 that nearly 70% of surveyed cryptocurrency holders believe a candidate's stance on crypto will influence their vote, and nearly 80% indicated they are almost certain to vote. Stand With Crypto noted that 73% of surveyed crypto holders are closely monitoring which crypto policies lawmakers support, while 59% do not have a fixed party affiliation. The organization stated that crypto supporters have contacted Congress over 1 million times regarding relevant legislation. Market attention is focused on the CLARITY Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025. The bill aims to clarify the division of responsibilities between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in digital asset regulation, and will influence whether certain digital assets are classified as securities or commodities under federal oversight. Supporters of the bill argue that there is a limited time window to advance legislation before the election-year agenda tightens. Opponents contend that any new framework must maintain protections against fraud, market manipulation, and investor losses. The discussions involve issues such as exchange access, investment products, taxation, and the role of federal regulators in digital finance.

US Senator Releases New Draft of Clarity Act, Adds High-Level Official Cryptocurrency Ethics Clause for the First Time

a US Senator has released a new draft of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (Clarity Act), merging two previously advanced versions from the Senate Banking Committee and the Senate Agriculture Committee, and for the first time, includes content related to ethics clauses. The ethics clause in the new draft proposes to prohibit senior government officials from sponsoring or issuing their personal cryptocurrencies. The bill has not yet been fully advanced, and it remains uncertain whether the key provisions will receive bipartisan support.