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Wintermute: Weak US Non-Farm Payrolls Drive Risk Asset Rebound, ETF Funds Flow Back into Crypto Market

Wintermute released a market update noting that U.S. non-farm payrolls in July unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, significantly weaker than market expectations, pushing September rate hike expectations down from 55% to 40% and driving a broad rebound in risk assets. Gold led the weekly gains, with Nasdaq, S&P 500, Bitcoin, and altcoins generally rising, while Brent crude oil fell 6.85%.

Plan B: Scarcity, Not Short-Term Price Fluctuation, Is the Core of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value

Bitcoin analyst Plan B stated on the X platform that the core of Bitcoin's long-term value lies in scarcity, not short-term price fluctuations.Plan B believes that many people focus on Bitcoin's price charts, while the S2F model he uses focuses on the degree of asset scarcity. This model measures scarcity through "existing supply ÷ annual new production," where the S2F for gold is approximately 60. Due to Bitcoin's fixed total supply of 21 million coins and its predictable issuance schedule, its S2F is currently around 120 and continues to rise over time.The Bitcoin halving mechanism is an important driver of the S2F model. Approximately every four years, the Bitcoin network reduces the block reward by half, decreasing new supply and roughly doubling the S2F level, making it the core supply-side event observed by the model.Plan B emphasized that the S2F and its upgraded version, the S2FX model, predict long-term average value rather than precisely forecasting market tops or bottoms. Bitcoin's price typically fluctuates around the model's estimated value, and investors should focus on multi-year cycle averages rather than single-day price highs. Additionally, Plan B believes that as scarcity increases, Bitcoin is undergoing different stages of development, including proof of concept, payment network, "digital gold"/store of value asset, and institutional-grade financial asset. Each increase in scarcity could bring new market narratives and capital inflows.However, Plan B also reiterated that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." He stated that the S2F model is merely a tool for long-term understanding of Bitcoin's scarcity, not a trading signal or a "crystal ball" for price prediction. Although the model has withstood major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and China's mining ban, it still has limitations.

BIP-110 fork chain lags Bitcoin mainnet by 326 blocks, expected to take over six years before mining difficulty adjustment

The Bitcoin rule change proposed by BIP-110 triggered a chain fork on Saturday, with the fork chain producing only 2 blocks so far before stalling. Since the fork chain inherits the high mining difficulty of the Bitcoin mainnet and its token has no market value, miners lack the incentive to support it, causing the chain to lag the mainnet by 326 blocks. The fork chain must reach 2,016 blocks before mining difficulty can be reduced, which is currently estimated to take over six more years. Some observers say it is still too early to declare the attempt a failure. (CoinDesk)

Bybit Releases Latest Options Weekly Report (08.03-08.10): NFP Major Surprise as Labor Market Cools, XAUT Leads Strongly, Bybit Newly Lists HYPE Options

Last week, major assets closed higher across the board: July Non-Farm Payrolls -23k severely dampened rate hike expectations, the USD broke below 100, and Gold and Crypto benefited in tandem. BTC/ETH ETF weekly net inflows were $853M/$245M, the third-largest institutional buying week of the year. Core risk this week: 8/12 CPI (08:30 ET), determining the direction of September rate hike expectations. Strategy advances on three fronts: Sell ETH weekly expiry $1,800 P (annualized ~15-20%), Sell HYPE 1D $52 P (annualized ~70%, newly listed on Bybit), Sell XAUT 1D $4,360 C (annualized ~30-60%). All three positions must be reduced to safe levels before CPI.

BIP-110 Core Supporter Luke Dashjr Steps Down as OCEAN Chairman

Odaily News: Luke Dashjr announced on X that he will temporarily step down from his roles as Chairman and Chief Technology Officer of OCEAN, shifting his focus to Bitcoin and the open-source projects that support it.Luke Dashjr is a core supporter of BIP-110, but as of August 9, OCEAN's default stratum endpoint has reverted to the non-BIP-110 chain, and miners' hashing power is no longer being directed to the BIP-110 chain by default.

Upbit 将上线 DOS 韩元、BTC 及 USDT 交易对

According to the official announcement, Upbit will list DOS KRW, BTC, and USDT trading pairs.

Arthur Hayes: Rising Dollar Liquidity Will Drive Bitcoin and Crypto Higher

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Arthur Hayes stated on the X platform that his article "Yen-quake" will introduce how Buffalo Bill Bessent plans to manipulate the dollar-yen exchange rate and restart the money printing press. Arthur Hayes said that over the past decade, the continued weakening of the yen has driven gains in global asset markets, but this situation will eventually come to an end. The yen is the lowest-valued currency globally and is also a point of contention among the United States, China, and Japanese everyday voters. There are three ways to resolve the yen issue, but the U.S. Treasury and Japanese politicians tend to favor only one of them. He will explain the operating mechanisms of each yen appreciation method and why the final option is the preferred approach; he will then discuss how to execute the third option at the political level. He stated that as dollar liquidity rises significantly, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will rally. The three options include: 1. The Bank of Japan sharply raises interest rates, causing the dollar-yen interest rate differential to disappear, at least on the short end. 2. The government persuades domestic institutions and public bodies such as GPIF to change their investment mandates, selling overseas assets and buying local assets. 3. Preferred option: The Japanese Ministry of Finance conducts repurchase transactions of its U.S. Treasury holdings with the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars; it then sells dollars and buys yen in the foreign exchange market. Arthur Hayes said that before getting into the details, speculators should consider why yen appreciation is being discussed now. Over the past few decades, many have claimed that the yen was about to appreciate and trigger a global unwinding of carry trades. Two weeks ago, monetary policy officials from the United States and Japan conducted a joint exchange rate manipulation operation, though they euphemistically called it intervention. U.S. Treasury Secretary Buffalo Bill Bessent indicated a desire to raise the counterparty limit for the FIMA repo facility, enabling Japan's Ministry of Finance to use its massive asset reserves to defend the yen. Japan's Ministry of Finance also stated it is working closely with the United States to push the dollar-yen exchange rate lower. Relevant officials are signaling to the market their support for a shift in global currency relations, so the market must pay attention to this.

CLARITY Act will hold a procedural Senate vote on September 15, requiring 60 votes to advance

Odaily News: The U.S. Senate will hold a procedural cloture vote on a motion related to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) at 2:15 PM ET on September 15. This marks the first full Senate vote on the bill since it passed the House in July 2025. The bill is numbered H.R. 3633 and was previously passed by the House with 294 votes in favor and 134 votes against. The vote concerns whether to limit debate on the motion to proceed with the bill; supporters need 60 votes to succeed. Republicans currently hold 53 seats in the Senate. If all Republican senators vote in favor, they would still need 7 additional votes; any absence or opposition would increase the number of additional votes required. If the procedural vote passes, the subsequent debate time on the motion to proceed will be capped at 30 hours, after which the Senate will vote on the motion itself. Only if the motion is approved will the bill be formally considered, and the bill itself will still need to pass another 60-vote cloture motion. If the Senate amends the text, the revised version would need to be sent back to the House for a vote. (Bitcoin.com News)

Keel Infrastructure Shuts Down All US Bitcoin Mining Facilities, Sells Over 1,000 BTC to Pivot to AI Data Centers

According to Cryptopolitan, Bitcoin mining company Keel Infrastructure (formerly Bitfarms) released its Q2 2026 financial report this Monday, disclosing that the company has completed the shutdown of all its US Bitcoin mining farms, and sold 1,085 BTC between April 1 and August 7, cashing out approximately $75 million, and currently still holds 1,861 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at approximately $121 million. Financially, Keel's Q2 revenue was $30 million, down 50% year-over-year, mainly dragged down by weak Bitcoin prices and the shutdown of the Moses Lake mining farm; operating loss reached $141 million (including $84 million in non-cash depreciation), net loss from continuing operations was $64 million, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $24 million. Following the announcement, KEEL stock price fell more than 11% in a single day. In terms of strategic transformation, Keel is converting its core sites in Pennsylvania, Washington State, and Quebec into high-performance computing data centers; currently, permitting approvals for the three priority sites are nearly complete, and negotiations with potential tenants are underway. The company's current liquidity is approximately $819 million, including $698 million in unrestricted cash and $121 million in Bitcoin, and during the quarter, it also raised $458 million through convertible notes.

BTCPay Server Hit by Critical Vulnerability Exploit, Supporters Launch Up to 3 BTC Bounty to Recover Stolen Funds

According to The Block, open-source Bitcoin payment processor BTCPay Server disclosed a critical security vulnerability being actively exploited last Friday and urgently requested users to upgrade to version 2.4.2. The vulnerability affects all versions prior to 2.4.2; attackers can use it to steal administrator macaroon authentication credentials of LND nodes, thereby fully controlling the connected Lightning Network wallets. Users such as Foundation and Citadel21 have confirmed that their Lightning node funds were drained, but BTCPay has not publicly disclosed the total amount stolen or the number of affected nodes. Currently, the official release version 2.4.2 has fixed this vulnerability, and on-chain hot wallets are not affected. The BTCPay Server Foundation has donated 0.21 BTC each to security researcher Craig Raw and Bitcoin Red Team to commend their responsible private disclosure of the vulnerability. Meanwhile, BTCPay supporters have promised to provide a bounty incentive of "10% of recovered funds," capped at 3 BTC.

朝鲜黑客组织 Kimsuky将 AI 武器化,针对加密货币领域发动更隐蔽网络攻击

According to Bitcoin.com, cybersecurity company Genians Security Center released an analysis report stating that the North Korean Reconnaissance General Bureau-affiliated hacker group Kimsuky is building and testing an AI-centric cyberattack tool suite. Researchers discovered traces of the deployment of three local AI platforms, Ollama, GPT4All, and Msty, in their infrastructure, as well as AI development framework components such as Microsoft Semantic Kernel and LLaMaSharp, indicating that the organization is systematically developing dedicated AI attack tools rather than just making temporary attempts. Since early 2026, Kimsuky has used high-quality documents created by generative AI for spear-phishing attacks targeting the virtual assets, financial investment, and game development sectors; AI-generated professional documents have significantly reduced the effectiveness of traditional phishing email identification. The attack vector consists of ZIP archives disguised as legitimate documents, containing malicious LNK files that can silently execute PowerShell commands in the background after being triggered.

Reduced about two-thirds of Bitcoin long positions, 5x leveraged whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" holdings drop to approximately 1,240 BTC

"Set 10 Big Goals First" (@jasonleo) posted on X platform, stating that as Bitcoin failed to hold above $65,000, they have reduced about two-thirds of their long positions above the cost price, with holdings decreasing from approximately 3,500 BTC to around 1,240 BTC, while retaining part of the position for further observation. The position screenshot they shared shows they are currently long 1,241.644 BTC with 5x leverage, at an average entry price of approximately $63,967.54, with margin of about $15.87 million, unrealized loss of roughly $52,000, and a liquidation price of approximately $29,267.82.

BIP-110 Developer Plan: Hard Fork on September 1 to Change Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work Algorithm

: Bitcoin News stated on the X platform that Luke Dashjr said the developer meeting "went smoothly" and related plans are moving forward, proposing to change Bitcoin's proof-of-work algorithm via a hard fork. Developers are expected to announce the selected hash algorithm tomorrow and enable RTDS starting from the first block. Block size reduction and replay protection are also under discussion. The news comes amid reports that Dashjr is no longer a licensed user of the BIP content repository. If the proposal is implemented, the proof-of-work algorithm change would create an independent blockchain, effectively forming a new altcoin, with existing BTC holders receiving tokens on the forked chain.

Hashi Testnet Opens Real-Time Deposit and Withdrawal Dashboard

Odaily News: Sui posted on X, stating that the Hashi testnet dashboard now displays real-time deposit and withdrawal records, and expressed gratitude to the Sui and Bitcoin communities for testing Hashi and driving its improvements.

Trump family-backed WLFI receives $100 million token investment, funds traced to Guren "Bobby" Zhou, a subject of a UK money laundering investigation

Odaily News: UAE-based foundation Aqua1 Foundation purchased $100 million worth of governance tokens from decentralized finance project World Liberty Financial (WLFI) on June 26, marking the largest single publicly disclosed purchase of the token to date. The funds trace back to Chinese businessman Guren "Bobby" Zhou, with up to $75 million flowing to entities linked to the Trump family and World Liberty Financial co-founder Zach Witkoff. WLFI tokens confer governance and voting rights and do not represent equity in the company. Zhou was arrested in the UK in March 2021 on suspicion of money laundering, with UK law enforcement investigations still ongoing as of late July 2026. Two of his long-time employees were indicted in September 2025, one of whom has pleaded guilty, with trial scheduled for 2028. Zhou has not yet been formally charged. Zhou met with Eric Trump in Dubai to discuss the investment and described it as participation in the "Trump family's crypto project." The source of the $100 million Aqua1 used to purchase WLFI remains unclear, and public information does not indicate any direct link between these specific funds and money laundering activities. (Bitcoin.com News)

Today, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 1,731 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs recorded a net inflow of 29,900 ETH

Odaily News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, as of the August 10 data update, Bitcoin ETFs saw a single-day net inflow of 1,731 BTC, valued at $112 million; over the past 7 days, net inflows totaled 12,400 BTC, valued at $799 million. Ethereum ETFs saw a single-day net inflow of 29,900 ETH, valued at $56.78 million; over the past 7 days, net inflows totaled 118,500 ETH, valued at $225 million.

Strive added 6,236 BTC in Q2, achieving a yield of 23.9%

Odaily News Nasdaq-listed institution Strive has released its Q2 financial report for the period ending June 30, 2026. The company acquired a total of 6,236 Bitcoin in Q2, bringing its first-half total to 12,237 Bitcoin, with a Q2 Bitcoin yield of 23.9% and a first-half yield of 37.7%. Between July 1 and August 7, it added another 303 Bitcoin. The Q2 GAAP net loss was $257.6 million, of which 94.1% was attributable to the decline in the fair value of its Bitcoin holdings and STRC shares; the non-GAAP adjusted net loss attributable to common shareholders was $275 million.Since June 16, the company has initiated daily floating distributions on its SATA series perpetual preferred stock, distributing dividends 44 consecutive times as of August 7. Strive has now fully repaid all long-term and short-term debt, achieving zero leverage. As of August 7, it held $154.9 million in cash and cash equivalents, with the fair value of its Strategy STRC preferred stock at $48 million. The company has also launched an updated financial dashboard to enhance disclosure related to SATA products. (Globenewswire)

Bitdeer mined 2,694 BTC in Q2, total revenue of $228.8 million

Odaily News Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer released its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026. The company reported total Q2 revenue of $228.8 million, up year-over-year; a gross loss of $8.5 million, a net loss of $92.3 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $31.1 million. BTC mining output in Q2 totaled 2,694 BTC; self-mining hashrate stood at 73 EH/s, with total managed hashrate at 86.1 EH/s, and 289,000 mining machines under management. As of June 30, the company held $496.3 million in cash and restricted cash, along with $196.9 million in digital assets and accounts receivable.In terms of AI cloud business, Q2 AI cloud revenue reached $14 million, with a 16-year, $4.7 billion AI/HPC data center lease agreement secured in Tydal, Norway. As of July 31, Bitdeer's total global power capacity reached 2,980.2 megawatts, with crypto mining facilities in Norway, Malaysia, Ohio, and other locations advancing their transition to AI computing centers. (Globenewswire)

BIP-110's largest miner Roughnecks resumes mining, chain block production has been stalled for 37 hours

Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to Bitcoin News monitoring, Roughnecks, the largest miner on BIP-110, has stated it will resume mining on the BIP-110 chain. Roughnecks had previously announced a suspension of operations on Saturday. It has been 37 hours since the last block was mined on the BIP-110 chain, and the signaled hashrate supporting BIP-110 has dropped from over 15 EH/s to 1.16 EH/s. The BIP-110 chain now lags approximately 250 blocks behind the original Bitcoin chain, making continued mining extremely costly with limited economic incentives. Roughnecks stated that it plans to continue mining until BIP-110 is able to implement the proof-of-work change. This change would permanently separate BIP-110 from Bitcoin's existing proof-of-work network, effectively creating a new coin.

Avenir Group-incubated crypto-friendly securities platform UMX launches public beta

Odaily News: UMX (The Unified Market Exchange), incubated by Avenir Group under Li Lin, has announced the launch of an invitation-only public beta.According to the introduction, UMX is positioned as a crypto-friendly securities platform for global professional investors, integrating crypto assets and real securities trading on the same platform to improve capital efficiency in cross-asset trading. During the public beta phase, the platform offers crypto spot, leverage, futures, and options trading, as well as real US stocks, ETFs, and US stock options trading.This public beta focuses on opening the capital flow channel between crypto assets and securities accounts. UMX has designed cross-market fund transfers, financing, and crypto-to-stock conversion mechanisms. Users can use "Convert & Transfer" to automatically convert stablecoins such as USDT into USD and transfer them to securities accounts with one click, or use "Borrow & Transfer" to collateralize non-stablecoin crypto assets to gain purchasing power for trading US stocks, ETFs, and US stock options. After completing fiat account verification, users can also open a personal fiat account under their own name for fiat deposits and withdrawals. Securities holdings can also be converted into corresponding stock tokens via the "Stock-to-Token" function, which can be counted toward crypto trading account margin at a corresponding discount rate, and these stock tokens can also be converted back into the corresponding securities assets.Around cross-asset capital efficiency, the platform has introduced a cross-asset margin mechanism, where eligible wealth management assets can also be used as margin. During the public beta, the platform has also launched BTC and USDT wealth management products, with maximum annualized returns of up to 2.5% and 5.5%, respectively. UMX stated that this model aims to reduce the operational costs incurred by professional investors from frequent fund transfers and fragmented account management, while providing a unified capital and risk management framework for cross-asset allocation.This public beta is invitation-based. Users who have obtained a beta code can complete registration via the UMX official website (umx.com) to experience the currently available products and services; users who have not yet received a beta code can reserve the official version, receive launch notifications, and participate in the early-bird benefits program.