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Exchange Stablecoin Reserves Shrink 20%, Binance Share Rises Against the Trend to 68.5%

According to BeInCrypto, CryptoQuant data shows that centralized exchange stablecoin reserves fell from a high of about $80 billion at the end of 2025 to about $64 billion, shrinking by about $16 billion (about 20%). Among them, Binance showed relative resilience, with its stablecoin share rising from just over 60% to 68.5%, while platforms such as Coinbase, Bybit, and OKX saw more significant reductions. Meanwhile, on-chain analysis platform Santiment detected that pessimistic sentiments such as "crypto is dead" on X and Reddit continued to intensify, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently at 46, still in the fear zone. The total stablecoin supply also fell from a high of nearly $316 billion in May to $300.89 billion, but the decline was far lower than on the exchange side, indicating that some liquidity may have shifted on-chain rather than exiting completely.

Bank of Italy Research: Stablecoin Cross-Border Remittance Costs Not Lower Than Traditional Channels

According to BeInCrypto, a field research report recently released by the Bank of Italy shows that stablecoins do not possess a systemic cost advantage in cross-border remittances. Researchers tested USDC transfers of $200 through 10 actual remittance corridors, covering routes between Italy and Argentina, Brazil, South Africa, the UAE, and Japan, with total fees ranging from 0.3% to nearly 9%, showing a significant disparity. The study found that on-chain transfers themselves accounted for an average of only 0.4% of the total cost; what truly drove up fees were steps still reliant on banks and exchanges, such as funding, currency conversion, and withdrawal. Taking the UAE-to-Italy corridor as an example, where bank transfers were unavailable and credit card funding was forced, fees alone reached as high as 3.8%. Meanwhile, transfer speeds also differed significantly due to variations in destination payment infrastructure. Instant payment systems like Brazil's Pix could complete settlement within 20 minutes, while South Africa required 1 to 2 business days, no different from traditional bank wire transfers. The report pointed out that stablecoins currently still heavily rely on the banking system they attempt to replace, and the narrative that "stablecoins are quietly replacing traditional payment rails" remains unsubstantiated.

Bitcoin Approximately 69-73 Days Away from Cycle Bottom, Analysts and Institutions Disagree on Four-Year Cycle

According to BeInCrypto, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that Bitcoin is currently on day 1,363 of this cycle, while the past two cycles bottomed out on day 1,432 and day 1,436 respectively. Based on this, the bottom of this cycle is estimated to appear in October 2026, approximately 69-73 days from now. Cowen also pointed out that August and September have historically been seasonally weak periods for Bitcoin, with an average decline of about 10% in August during midterm election years. However, this prediction faces institutional-level skepticism. Fidelity pointed out that within months after Bitcoin hit an all-time high, one-year volatility touched a new low, a signal that never appeared in previous cycles; Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes that continuous inflows into spot ETFs and corporate balance sheet allocation demands have weakened traditional halving cycle patterns; Grayscale's 2026 outlook report also holds a similar view. Cowen, however, insists that although tops are becoming flatter, the bottom ranges of the four cycles have hardly shifted.