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Kalshi applies to launch forex and interest rate perpetual contracts

Odaily News: Andy Ross, head of institutional business at Kalshi, said that Kalshi has submitted an application to regulators to launch perpetual contracts based on foreign exchange and interest rates. The application was submitted on Monday and had not appeared in the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) public filing system as of Tuesday afternoon. Previously, the CFTC approved Kalshi to list bitcoin perpetual contracts in May this year, followed by the launch of ETH and XRP perpetual contracts. Since then, Kalshi has continued to expand perpetual contracts beyond cryptocurrencies: it submitted applications for gold, silver, and platinum perpetual contracts in July, and on August 18, it submitted applications for U.S. large-cap stock index and copper perpetual contracts. Ross said Kalshi hopes to bring multiple asset classes such as stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, fixed income, and interest rates into a unified trading interface. Currently, the platform's market count has increased from approximately 4,000 to around 10,000, and activity has gradually spread from a few popular markets to a wider range of markets.

South Korean police arrest 4 Uzbek nationals for transferring funds to a Syrian terrorist organization and purchasing vehicles

Odaily News – The Gwangju Metropolitan Police Agency in South Korea arrested 4 Uzbek nationals in April under the Prohibition of Funding for Terrorist Acts Act. Among them, the principal suspect has been indicted, detained, and is standing trial, while the other 3 are under investigation without detention; one individual has been placed on an Interpol Red Notice.Police allege that between August 2024 and April 2025, the principal suspect transferred 4,267 USDT in 7 separate transactions to Katibat Tawhid wal Jihad (KTJ), a Syria-based organization. Founded in 2014, KTJ is primarily composed of Central Asian militants and has been designated as a terrorist organization by both the United Nations and the United States.The investigation shows that the principal suspect also received cryptocurrency from KTJ and used it to purchase 11 used cars and 2 excavators, with a total value of 170 million KRW (approximately $121,000), and shipped the vehicles to Syria. The other 3 individuals are suspected of assisting with the procurement and export.Police stated that this case, which involves receiving cryptocurrency from a terrorist organization, purchasing and supplying vehicles, is the first of its kind in South Korea. The investigation also revealed that the principal suspect used 3 personal wallets and deposited vehicle payments into an account under his spouse's name. The case remains under investigation. (Decrypt)

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent reportedly urges Japan to raise interest rates, Bitcoin's fixed monetary policy draws attention

Odaily News, according to reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent recently urged Japan to raise interest rates to curb the continued depreciation of the yen. Analysts believe this highlights that traditional monetary policy is susceptible to government and external influences. In contrast, Bitcoin's monetary policy is preset by code, with new coin issuance following a fixed schedule and halving approximately every four years, offering greater predictability. In the short term, Bitcoin still finds it difficult to shake off shocks from traditional financial markets. If Japan's rate hike drives a rapid appreciation of the yen, low-interest yen financing trades accumulated over the long term could be unwound, potentially triggering sell-offs in stocks, bonds, and crypto assets. In August 2024, the Bank of Japan's rate hike strengthened the yen and put pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin. On the technical front, BTC's 50-day moving average has been rising steadily and is close to crossing above the 200-day moving average, potentially forming a "golden cross." Analysts note that moving averages are lagging indicators, and the historical predictive performance of the golden cross as a standalone indicator has been unstable.

Bitfinex Securities Lists 5 Tokenized Notes, Offering Exposure to Bitcoin Treasury Companies Including Strategy and Metaplanet

Odaily News - Bitfinex Securities, the tokenized investment platform under crypto exchange Bitfinex, has listed 5 tokenized notes, providing eligible investors with economic exposure to bitcoin treasury companies such as Strategy, Metaplanet, H100 Group, and Capital B. The platform has also listed Strategy's floating-rate perpetual preferred stock, STRC.The aforementioned notes are issued through the Luxembourg-based ORO (II) fund and managed by SICOS Securities. The underlying securities are held in custody by regulated financial institutions but do not grant investors direct ownership of shares in the corresponding companies. The products allow fractional investments starting from approximately $1 and support trading in USD, USDT, and Bitcoin, and are only available to eligible non-US investors.Bitfinex Securities stated that this marks the first time such products are available for secondary trading on a regulated tokenized securities exchange. Following the completion of a $50 million tokenized fundraising round for metals company Alkemya in August this year, the platform's total listed assets have surpassed $500 million. (Cointelegraph)

Binance saw $15.7 billion in net inflows in August, accounting for over 75% of all centralized exchange inflows

Odaily News: Cryptocurrency exchange Binance recorded $15.7 billion in inflows in August, setting a monthly record and capturing more than 75% of all centralized exchange inflows. During the same period, Bitcoin's price surged over 20% to break through $80,000, driving growth in exchange trading volumes.Binance Research noted that the $15.7 billion figure is approximately 8.4 times that of the exchange with the second-largest positive inflows, with Bybit and OKX ranking among the three exchanges with the highest liquidity concentration. Inflows at smaller platforms were more dispersed.Additionally, Binance faces allegations in the European Union of accepting local users without obtaining a license under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). (Bitcoin.com News)

Campaign of Brazil's pro-Bitcoin presidential candidate suspended, over $6.4 million in public funds frozen

According to BeInCrypto, Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) ruled on August 31 to suspend presidential candidate Renan Santos's digital campaign and freeze approximately 3.3 million reais (about $640,000) in public campaign funds. Justice Dias Toffoli ruled that because Santos registered his 16 campaign social media accounts 12 days past the filing deadline, he violated regulations. He was barred from participating in debates and placing paid political advertisements, with a fine of 50,000 reais (about $10,000) imposed for each violation. Santos had publicly pledged at the "Rio Blockchain 2026" conference on August 13 that if elected, he would establish a national Bitcoin reserve and turn Rio de Janeiro into a "crypto-friendly" city, while abolishing the Financial Operations Tax (IOF), making him the only candidate in this election to openly support a Bitcoin reserve. Santos termed the ruling "censorship" and stated he would pursue an appeal. His candidacy has not been revoked, and street campaigning may continue. Brazil's general election will take place on October 4.

JPMorgan and Citadel Securities Both Warn: Stay Cautious Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls, Advise Investors to Hedge Downside Risk in Advance

Odaily News JPMorgan and Citadel Securities have both issued short-term warnings, advising investors to remain cautious ahead of the upcoming period of dense macro data releases and the Federal Reserve policy meeting, and to utilize option prices currently at yearly lows to strengthen downside risk hedging.After Fed Chair Warsh delivered a clear signal in his highly anticipated speech on August 28, emphasizing that U.S. inflation has not shown any substantial slowdown, the trading team led by JPMorgan's Head of U.S. Market Intelligence, Andrew Tyler, decided to abandon their bullish stance ahead of the September 16 Fed policy decision. Although they expect economic data and corporate earnings to continue providing support, they have downgraded their view on U.S. equities to tactically cautious.Scott Rubner, Head of Equity and Equity Derivatives Strategy at Citadel Securities, noted that retail investor buying activity in September, as tracked by his firm, has been the weakest of the year since 2019. On days when the S&P 500 index declines, average net retail buying volume is only about half of normal levels. (Bloomberg)

The Ninth Circuit ruled that Kalshi sports event contracts are not swaps, New Jersey has until September 3 to seek Supreme Court review

Odaily News - The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled 3-0 on August 28 that sports event contracts offered by Kalshi are not swaps, and that the Commodity Exchange Act does not preclude Nevada from applying gambling regulations to the relevant contracts. The court also vacated a prior injunction that allowed Kalshi to continue offering the contracts, and denied injunction requests from Crypto.com and Robinhood.The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit ruled in April of this year that Kalshi's related contracts were likely swaps and protected by federal law from state regulation. The two federal appellate courts are now split on the issue, and New Jersey has a September 3 deadline to petition the U.S. Supreme Court for review.Kalshi said it will seek further review and believes current U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rules do not prohibit sports event contracts. Robinhood said it plans to appeal; the CFTC, meanwhile, noted that derivatives structured as swaps qualify as swaps, and except for onions and movie box office revenue, the law provides no related exemptions. (Bitcoin.com News)

Former U.S. Representative George Santos banned for life from Kalshi and fined $71,400 for manipulating his own prediction market appearances

Odaily News The prediction market platform Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Representative George Santos and fined him $71,400. Kalshi determined that he manipulated markets related to whether he would attend the State of the Union address, profiting $17,800 from the scheme.In a disciplinary notice issued on August 28, Kalshi's compliance department stated that Santos made multiple large trades in the relevant markets between February 2 and 25. Since he could influence the market outcome, platform rules prohibited him from trading in that market; he subsequently made false or misleading statements regarding his attendance plans in an attempt to influence the prices of the "Yes" and "No" contracts.Kalshi determined that the statements were intended to manipulate prices and did cause price movements, resulting in violations of rules against market manipulation, trading on event outcomes, and fraudulent manipulation. He was also penalized for failing to cooperate with the investigation. This penalty marks the first time Kalshi has issued a lifetime ban against a former member of Congress. (Decrypt)

Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, plans to include ETH and USDT in crypto-backed loans.

According to CoinDesk, Russia’s largest bank, Sberbank, plans to include Ethereum (ETH) and the Tether stablecoin (USDT) in its cryptocurrency collateral lending program, listed alongside Bitcoin (BTC) as acceptable collateral, once regulatory approval is granted. Deputy President Anatoly Popov stated that the bank will gradually expand its accepted asset scope after adapting to Russia’s new cryptocurrency regulations. Last August, the Central Bank of Russia had already placed BTC, ETH, and USDT on a draft list of digital currencies permitted for open trading at domestic exchanges. Sberbank had previously issued Russia’s first bitcoin collateral loan to mining firm Intelion Data last December. Notably, USDT carries additional sanctions risks; Tether can freeze tokens linked to sanctioned entities without a court order, while Sberbank has been subject to U.S. and EU sanctions since 2022. Russia’s new cryptocurrency law will officially take effect on September 1, and market participants must complete their licensing applications by July 2027.

Gemini Wins Arbitration Ruling; Collapse of Earn Lending Program Not Deemed Fault

According to CNBC, an arbitrator ruled on August 12 that cryptocurrency exchange Gemini was not at fault in the collapse of its Earn lending program, citing insufficient evidence that it misled users or failed to conduct due diligence on its primary lending partner, Genesis Global Capital. A user had previously filed a claim against Gemini in late 2024. Launched in 2021, the Earn program offered annualized yields of up to 7.4%, but crypto market weakness in 2022 led Gemini to suspend withdrawals, impacting over 300,000 users. Following this, Gemini reached a settlement with Genesis, and Earn users have recovered $2.18 billion in digital assets, accounting for approximately 97% of the debt. More than ten related disputes involving Gemini currently remain unresolved.

Bank of England Governor: Frontier AI Models Threaten Global Financial Stability

According to CNBC, Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), wrote to G20 finance ministers and central bank governors on August 31 to warn that frontier AI models are exhibiting increasingly sophisticated autonomy and threat capabilities, which could fundamentally alter the speed, scale, and economics of cyberattacks, potentially triggering disorderly adjustments across global financial markets. Bailey noted that highly concentrated third-party service providers will become critical nodes of systemic risk, emphasizing that most countries currently lack regulatory frameworks for the development and deployment of frontier AI. He also flagged vulnerabilities in sovereign debt markets, the growing trend of leverage in equity markets, and the overvaluation of AI-related assets, urging governments to accelerate the refinement of relevant safety mechanisms.

Nomura: Warsh’s Hawkish Debut Emphasizes Inflation; August Data May Keep Fed On Hold

According to ChaXiang Research, a Nomura Securities note dated August 28, 2026, indicated that Fed Chair Warsh emphasized the importance of the inflation target during his hawkish debut at Jackson Hole, hinting that policy may need to respond if inflation does not fall at a sufficient pace. However, he did not explicitly signal an imminent rate hike. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield spiked 7 basis points following the remarks, as markets raised the probability of a September rate hike from 30% to over 50%. Nomura expects August core PCE to rise approximately 0.2% month-over-month, which would be sufficient to justify the Fed keeping rates unchanged, though its sensitivity to incoming data has increased significantly. Warsh downplayed the significance of recent benign inflation readings, stating he does not foresee any improvement in the trend. He unexpectedly minimized the cooling of wage growth, noting that wages have long failed to serve as an effective indicator of underlying inflation trends. On the economic front, Warsh struck an optimistic tone, describing consumption as "healthy," capital expenditure as "growing rapidly," and the labor market as "consistent with full employment." Nomura forecasts a 60,000 increase in August non-farm payrolls, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.0%, and has revised up its third-quarter GDP nowcast to 3.6%. Nomura maintains its baseline assumption that the Fed will hold rates steady, but Warsh's hawkish tone implies that if the disinflationary process stalls, a rate hike could be placed back on the agenda.

Iceland Referendum Rejects Restarting EU Accession Talks, MiCA Not Applicable for Now

Odaily News: Iceland held a referendum on August 30, with 52.8% of voters, totaling 105,339 votes, opposing the restart of EU accession negotiations. This outcome allows Iceland to maintain its status as a member of the European Economic Area (EEA) and remain within the Schengen Agreement framework.As an EEA member rather than an EU member state, Iceland does not automatically apply the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). Crypto activities are primarily regulated under general financial laws. MiCA is expected to be incorporated into the EEA Agreement in the future, but no official timeline has been set yet. (Bitcoin.com News)

CME FedWatch: Probability of Fed Rate Hike in September Rises to 57%

The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 16 has risen to 57%, with the target rate range potentially rising to 3.75% to 4%; the probability of maintaining the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% stands at 43%.On August 21, the probability of a rate hike was 39.9%, which rose to 57% after the Jackson Hole speech on August 28, and market bets on a September rate cut have essentially disappeared.Polymarket data shows that the probability of the federal funds rate remaining unchanged is 52%, while the probability of a hike is 48%, with related trading volume exceeding $66.6 million. Kalshi data shows that the probabilities of holding rates steady and hiking are 52% and 48%, respectively, with related trading volume exceeding $23.8 million.In his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the Fed will adhere to its 2% Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index inflation target, and noted that his commitment is to discipline rather than specific decisions. Data shows that the 12-month PCE inflation rate is 3.7%, and the 6-month reading is 4.1%. (Bitcoin.com News)

Korean Leveraged ETF Enthusiasm Cools Sharply: Samsung and SK Hynix-Related Products See Concentrated Retail Selling

Odaily News – After South Korea raised capital thresholds and added trading restrictions, the leveraged trading capital previously concentrated in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix has contracted notably. However, some market participants worry that the restricted leveraged capital may shift toward index-based or overseas leveraged ETFs, and the effectiveness of the regulatory measures still requires further observation.Looking at specific targets, eight products linked to SK Hynix saw net selling of approximately 1.2415 trillion KRW, while eight products tied to Samsung Electronics recorded net selling of around 531.6 billion KRW.The cooling in trading activity is equally pronounced. The aforementioned 16 products posted an average daily trading volume of roughly 11.6787 trillion KRW from their listing in May through July 30. Since August, this has dropped to about 1.0059 trillion KRW, a decline of more than 90%, now equivalent to only about 8% of the level seen before the regulatory measures were implemented.The regulatory tightening began on July 31. South Korea's financial regulators raised the base margin threshold for single-stock leveraged ETFs from 10 million KRW to 30 million KRW; starting August 19, investors are also required to complete simulated trading before transacting in related products. Regulators plan to further increase the minimum trading unit, targeting an adjustment to 20 shares by November. Before the regulations were introduced, single-stock leveraged ETFs had enjoyed strong popularity among South Korean retail investors. Between May 27 and July 30, individual investors cumulatively net purchased approximately 15.2876 trillion KRW across the aforementioned 16 products, with SK Hynix-related products attracting about 9.9365 trillion KRW and Samsung Electronics-related products drawing around 5.3511 trillion KRW. (Newsis)

JaredfromSubway.eth sandwich attack bot has extracted $295 million in total, with $7.5 million stolen in June

Odaily News: The sandwich attack bot operated by JaredfromSubway.eth has extracted a cumulative total of 117,007 ETH since March 2023, worth approximately $295 million at current prices. In June 2026, an anonymous attacker deployed 66 counterfeit token contracts, exploiting the bot's automated trading logic to steal at least $7.5 million in ETH and stablecoins, and funneled the funds into Tornado Cash. The stolen assets have not yet been recovered.Sandwich attacks are a form of Maximal Extractable Value (MEV): the bot monitors large transactions in Ethereum's public mempool, buys ahead of the target transaction, and sells after the transaction pushes the price up, capturing profits from the spread. The bot's primary contract had received a cumulative total of 117,007 ETH as of August 28.MEV-Boost block construction is centralized among a small group of participants, with relay.ultrasound.money, Titan Relay, and bloXroute regulated relays collectively forwarding approximately 85% to 88% of related blocks within a 24-hour window; Titan's builder independently assembled 50.3% of the blocks. Monthly sandwich attack extraction amounts have declined from approximately $10 million in late 2024 to roughly $2.5 million in October 2025. (Bitcoin.com News)

Jio Platforms Gets IPO Green Light, Once Launched Polygon Ecosystem Token JioCoin

Odaily News - Jio Platforms, the digital and telecommunications arm of billionaire Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries, has received regulatory approval, clearing a key hurdle for its long-anticipated initial public offering (IPO). According to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) website, the regulator issued a letter of observation to Jio Platforms during the week ending August 28, indicating that the company has been permitted to proceed with the IPO process. (Bloomberg)Jio Platforms' listing plans have drawn significant market attention. Last year, the company launched JioCoin, a reward token built on the Polygon blockchain. Community users have reported that the token has been integrated into Jio's web browser, JioSphere.

Irish police crack down on drug trafficking organization, seizing and freezing approximately $900,000 in crypto assets

Odaily News: Ireland's national police force, An Garda Síochána, reported on August 27 that during a specialized operation targeting organized crime in the Galway area, officers searched two properties and froze two cryptocurrency accounts with a combined value of approximately $900,000. Additionally, police froze a bank account containing €25,000 (approximately $29,100), seized €9,300 in cash, and confiscated drugs valued at approximately €18,300 in total (including amphetamines and cannabis). A man in his 40s linked to the case has been arrested and charged, and the investigation is ongoing. (garda.ie)

Bernstein: About 70 AI drug discovery programs have entered clinical trials; definitive answers will still take 3 to 5 years

According to Chaoxiang Research, a Bernstein report dated August 26, 2026, indicates that approximately 70 AI-driven drug development projects have entered clinical pipelines, with the vast majority still in early stages, leaving the true test for the next three to five years. The CEOs of DeepMind and Anthropic recently claimed that “most diseases will be cured within 5 to 10 years,” but Bernstein regards such statements more as defenses of AI’s societal value, noting they lack grounding in the practical realities of drug development. Every layer—from target discovery to clinical trials to healthcare system capacity—presents a bottleneck. Since biological mechanisms must ultimately be validated in humans, this timeline cannot be compressed by algorithms. Bernstein argues that AI’s core value in pharmaceuticals lies not merely in accelerating processes, but in enhancing decision-making quality. A 20% improvement in success rates generates R&D returns that far outweigh equivalent reductions in time and costs. Conversely, applying AI to treat refractory diseases where biological understanding remains limited can yield even greater value, even if the overall success rate is relatively low. Major pharmaceutical companies exhibit significantly different AI strategies: Eli Lilly leads in external partnerships (25 initiatives), Roche invests the most in computing power, and Amgen boasts the deepest data moat backed by deCODE Genetics. AI has yet to produce a measurable impact on FDA approval metrics; the average annual approval of 48.5 new drugs over the past five years better reflects regulatory modernization and the rise of biopharmaceuticals. AI has already begun playing a role in molecular design, virtual screening, and target discovery. However, “curing all diseases” requires surmounting multiple bottlenecks—a challenge that algorithmic iteration alone cannot resolve.