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Stock offering size expanded to $20 billion, with Intel institutional demand reportedly exceeding $100 billion

Odaily News: Citrini analyst jukan posted on X platform, stating that GF Securities Overseas Electronics Newsletter reiterated its Buy rating on Intel with a $136 price target, and believes this stock offering sends a positive signal. The report expects Intel's foundry business to break even in Q4 2027, with margin leverage effects fully reflected by 2028. Yield rates and external customer expansion—especially progress with Apple—are advancing steadily, and the EMIB customer base is also expanding, with customers including Google and AWS. Intel has secured support from substrate supplier Unimicron and will produce silicon capacitors internally. The report raised Intel's expected EPS for 2026 and 2027 by 3% and 1% respectively, maintaining the $136 price target after accounting for dilution effects. Intel expanded its stock offering from the initially planned $15 billion to $20 billion, with institutional demand reportedly exceeding $100 billion. The offering price was $95, and the overallotment option has been fully exercised. CEO Lip-Bu Tan and his family subscribed approximately $12 million at the offering price, which the report believes reflects management's confidence in the company and may support capital expenditure for fiscal year 2027. The report states that Intel reiterated its foundry business will achieve breakeven by the end of 2027; if delayed to 2028, the primary reason would be increased demand for additional investment. The report maintains its previous assessment, expecting 18A yield of approximately 80% in Q2 2026, with CWF already entering the capacity ramp-up phase. External customer collaboration continues to advance, with Apple's 14A high-volume manufacturing being particularly notable. The report raised Intel's back-end business revenue expectations for fiscal years 2027 and 2028 to $1.1 billion and $7 billion respectively, citing improved visibility into AWS Trainium3 adopting EMIB-T in 2027, as well as Google's Humufish and Triggerfish entering production expansion phases from H2 2027 to 2028. The report also expects that AWS and Microsoft ASIC products may adopt EMIB in 2028.

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TSMC July Revenue Up 45% Year-on-Year, AI Demand Remains Strong

According to Bloomberg, TSMC announced July revenue reached 467.58 billion New Taiwan dollars (approximately 14.5 billion U.S. dollars), a 45% year-on-year increase, showing AI hardware demand remains strong amidst market volatility. As a core chip supplier for Nvidia and Apple, TSMC's sales growth for the current quarter is expected by analysts to average 46.8%.

Apple is in early talks with ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) about supply arrangements, planning to use its components in some devices sold in China

Odaily News, Citrini analyst jukan stated on the X platform that, according to WSJ, Apple has entered preliminary discussions with ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) regarding supply, intending to use its components in some devices sold in China.

SK Hynix Stock Still Favored by Institutions After Volatility: HBM4 and Long-Term Supply Agreements Support AI-Era Growth

According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.

Western Union Launches Stablecard in 37 Markets, Integrating USDPT Remittances

Western Union has partnered with stablecoin infrastructure provider Rain to launch Stablecard, a digital wallet and Visa-branded card that enables users to hold and spend US dollar-pegged stablecoins. The product is now available in 37 markets, with Western Union planning to expand to more than 60 markets by the end of this year. Stablecard supports USDPT, a US dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by Anchorage Digital Bank and running on the Solana blockchain. Users can directly receive Western Union remittances and transfer funds to compatible crypto wallets and exchanges. Users can also spend their balances at all Visa-accepting merchants, as well as through Apple Pay and Google Pay. Western Union also unveiled USDPT in May and expanded its ecosystem through exchange partnerships in June.

Goldman Sachs: Apple Market Cap Overtakes Nvidia, Price Target Raised to $370

According to TechFlow Research, on Monday (July 27), Apple rose over 1%, with its market cap reaching $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia's $4.78 trillion to return to the top spot in global market cap. Over the past month, Apple outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 23 percentage points, marking the largest single-month excess return since 2005. Goldman Sachs raised the target price from $330 to $370 on the same day, maintaining a Buy rating, citing increased confidence in the iPhone upgrade cycle and AI strategy. Apple will release its Q3 earnings report on Thursday, with the market expecting EPS to be $1.89. This market cap overtaking occurred against the backdrop of growing investor concerns over the ROI on huge AI capital expenditures, with Google's FCF turning negative and Nvidia facing sell-offs, while Apple became a safe haven instead due to restrained AI spending.

Wintermute Weekly Report: CPI Falls More Than Expected Amid Escalating Iran Tensions, BTC Closes Higher Against Trend to Become Week's Strongest Risk Asset

According to Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the largest single-month drop since April 2020, overall inflation decreased from 4.2% to 3.5%, the market immediately priced in a hold for the July FOMC, and the probability of a rate hike in September also dropped from over 75% to 63%. However, the US restarted a naval blockade on Iranian ports and conducted air strikes for the fourth consecutive night, Brent crude surged 15.54% in a single week, reaching a high of $87 per barrel, pressure for energy inflation to rebound is accumulating, casting doubt on the sustainability of this CPI decline. Meanwhile, China's Moonshot released the open-source model Kimi K3, claiming performance comparable to frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic, directly impacting the AI compute narrative, TSMC fell 7% in a single day, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its worst weekly performance in 15 months, the Nasdaq dropped 4.16%, and Nvidia temporarily ceded the top spot in global market cap to Apple. The crypto market, however, strengthened against the trend, becoming the best-performing risk asset of the week. Within minutes of the CPI data release, BTC surged from around $62,000 to $64,900, ETH jumped 7% in a single day to $1,884, CoinGlass data showed approximately $134 million in short positions were liquidated within the first hour. BTC ETF

Apple Gets Semiconductor Tariff Exemption, Will Produce Mac and iPhone Chips at Intel

Citrini analyst jukan posted on X, citing WSJ, that Apple has secured a semiconductor tariff exemption after committing to use Intel’s foundries. Apple will produce not only Mac chips but also iPhone chips at Intel.

Citrini analyst jukan: It is highly irrational to extrapolate isolated channel conditions to the entire market

: Citrini analyst jukan posted on platform X, stating that some friends asked for his opinion on the Evercore channel survey. Evercore reported that several OEMs admitted they have simultaneously placed orders with both distributors and brokers for the same project due to extended lead times. Even if the three major DRAM manufacturers attempt to eliminate overbooking and duplicate orders, it cannot be completely prevented.He believes that extrapolating the situation occurring in a few isolated channels to the entire market is highly irrational. He also shared comments from Lynx on Meta's storage procurement on the same day: According to Lynx's survey, Meta is willing to purchase memory and flash storage from major suppliers at spot prices; unlike Apple, Lynx does not expect Meta to complain about high prices and anticipates that Meta has already factored in price increases in its capital expenditure plans.

Apple Begins Testing CXMT DRAM for Devices Sold in China

: Citrini analyst jukan stated on platform X that, according to FT reports, Apple has started testing CXMT's DRAM for use in Apple devices sold in China.

AI sector pullback: biggest loser lost over $8.5 million; whale once held $90 million long position

According to Hyperinsight’s monitoring, large-cap tech stocks weakened due to Apple’s sharp decline, while persistently high U.S. PCE inflation and further cooling of market expectations for rate cuts prompted investors to take profits from overvalued AI-related stocks; AI industry chain stocks broadly declined overnight and into this morning.

Duan Yongping’s First Position in Circle in Q1 2026, with a Market Value of $19.08 Million

Well-known investor Duan Yongping’s U.S.-based investment account, H&H International Investment, filed an SEC Form 13F for the first quarter of 2026, revealing that as of March 31, 2026, it held 19 securities with a total portfolio value of approximately $20.004 billion; all positions were independently decided. Specifically, the account held 28,945,607 shares of Apple (AAPL), valued at $7.346 billion; 9,147,796 shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), valued at $4.384 billion; 13,843,775 shares of NVIDIA (NVDA), valued at $2.414 billion; 19,748,294 shares of Pinduoduo (PDD), valued at $2.018 billion; 3,408,900 shares of Tesla (TSLA), valued at $1.267 billion; and 1,016,000 shares of Microsoft (MSFT), valued at $376 million. Circle was newly disclosed as a position this quarter, with a holding of 200,000 shares valued at $19.082 million, representing approximately 0.1% of the portfolio.

QCP: BTC Monthly Gain Exceeds 14%; Geopolitical and Security Incidents Disrupt Market Sentiment

QCP Group’s analysis states that U.S.-Iran negotiations have once again collapsed, while the Middle East ceasefire continues, leaving the overall geopolitical landscape relatively static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, with Trump suspected as the target. Following Asia’s market open, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH above $2,400—but gains quickly reversed amid concerns triggered by news of Iran’s Foreign Minister traveling to Russia for talks with Putin. Since early April, BTC has rallied over 14% cumulatively, marking four consecutive weeks of positive closes. Spot ETFs recorded nine straight days of net inflows totaling approximately $2.11 billion. Strategy funds added over $3.8 billion worth of BTC in the past month. The current key resistance level for BTC lies near the CME gap around $82,000. BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain persistently negative; a breakout above this level could trigger short-covering. Implied volatility continues declining, and risk-reversal skew has narrowed somewhat, signaling gradually rising market interest in upside exposure. Key events this week: - April 29: Earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, plus the FOMC interest-rate decision. - April 30: Apple earnings report, U.S. Q1 GDP data, and March PCE inflation data.