Goldman Sachs: Constellation Energy signs 3.6GW nuclear PPA with Google, contract rate rises to 28%

According to Chaoxiang Research, Goldman Sachs' October 6, 2026 research report indicates that Constellation Energy has signed a combined approximately 3.6 GW nuclear power purchase agreement with Google. The agreement includes an 890 MW nuclear capacity upgrade for a 20-year term, and 2,700 MW of existing nuclear capacity for a 15-year term, totaling approximately 3.59 GW. Constellation Energy has committed to investing more than $4.3 billion. The agreement increases the company's contracted nuclear capacity share from 13% to 28%. Goldman Sachs estimates that pre-growth free cash flow will rise from approximately $449 million to $1.167 billion, representing 5% to 14% of its estimated 2030 baseline. Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating with a $305 target price, versus the current stock price of $267.62. Goldman Sachs views the agreement as positive for both the company and the industry, and believes investor skepticism regarding PJM's ability to secure PPAs may now shift. Goldman Sachs also notes that Constellation Energy offers relatively lower valuation attractiveness compared to other independent power producers. Whether the revaluation trend persists will depend on whether PJM policy developments yield adverse outcomes, including the IRAS ruling expected by October 12 and the pending RBP process.