UBS: The pace of Fed rate hikes may be lower than market expectations, and it expects to maintain interest rates unchanged following a December hike.

UBS stated that despite recent strong US economic data and rising inflation pressures, which have heightened market expectations for further Federal Reserve policy tightening, the bank believes the actual extent of rate hikes may be lower than current market pricing. UBS expects the Federal Reserve to implement one rate hike in December this year before holding steady thereafter, and anticipates inflation to steadily decline over the next six months. Meanwhile, higher bond yields are generating new fixed-income investment opportunities. UBS maintains its bullish outlook on fixed-income assets, believing that US economic resilience and AI investment will continue to support corporate earnings.