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“1011 Insider Whale” Agent: Market Misreads Trump’s “Project Freedom”; Real Risks May Just Be Beginning

Garrett Jin, agent representing the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that Trump’s launch of the so-called “Project Freedom” is not a de-risking signal, but is more likely to act as a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Multiple factors are converging, including energy inventory pressures, enhanced regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic pathways. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals, but their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risks. Overall, investors are advised to maintain a cautious and hedging mindset, paying close attention to the potential disruption of market sentiment by macroeconomic and geopolitical variables.Although the market has interpreted this move as a sign of easing tensions, driving risk assets higher, the underlying structure is more akin to a strategic framework of “limited engagement plus potential response.” The action primarily maintains shipping security through coordinated shipping lanes, insurance support, and military standby, rather than direct escort operations. This approach could, in fact, amplify reactions to specific triggering events.

“1011 Insider Whale” Agent: Trump’s “Freedom Plan” Could Be a Risk Trigger, and the Market May Be Underestimating Potential Volatility

Garrett Jin, the agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” authored an analysis stating that Trump’s so-called “Project Freedom” is not a signal of risk mitigation but rather a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Although the market interprets it as a de-escalation and has driven risk assets higher, its underlying structure more closely resembles a “limited engagement + potential response” strategic framework. This initiative primarily maintains maritime security through coordination of shipping lanes, insurance support, and military readiness—rather than direct naval escort—potentially amplifying market reactions once triggered by specific events. Meanwhile, multiple factors—including energy inventory pressures, heightened regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic channels—are converging. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals; however, their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risk. Overall, investors are advised to maintain caution and adopt hedging strategies, closely monitoring how macroeconomic and geopolitical variables could potentially disrupt market sentiment.

North Korea denies involvement in crypto theft allegations, accused of stealing over $570 million this year

North Korea has denied allegations of its involvement in cryptocurrency theft, calling the claims "absurd slander" and a "political tool." The statement, issued by state-run media, emphasized that necessary measures will be taken to safeguard national interests. However, data from blockchain analytics firm TRM Labs shows that in the first four months of 2026, hacker groups linked to North Korea have stolen approximately $577 million, accounting for about 76% of global crypto theft losses during the same period. This includes two major attacks on KelpDAO (approximately $292 million) and Drift Protocol (approximately $285 million).TRM pointed out that the attacks are primarily associated with the Lazarus Group and its sub-organizations. Since 2017, the cumulative scale of crypto theft linked to North Korea has exceeded $6 billion.U.S. and international agencies widely believe that such funds are used to support military and missile programs. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Department has recently imposed sanctions on relevant individuals and entities, targeting approximately $800 million in illicit fund flows in 2024. (The Block)

U.S. Law Firm Files for Restraining Order to Prevent Arbitrum DAO from Transferring Stolen and Frozen ETH from Kelp

According to Cointelegraph, U.S. law firm Gerstein Harrow LLP has filed an application with the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York seeking a temporary restraining order and three writs of execution to prevent the Arbitrum DAO from transferring 30,766 ETH (valued at approximately $73 million) frozen following the Kelp vulnerability. The firm argues that its clients obtained default judgments against North Korea in U.S. courts in 2010, 2015, and 2016, entitling them to roughly $877 million in compensation—and contends that the stolen ETH constitutes North Korean-linked assets that should be used to satisfy those judgments. Kelp DAO suffered a $292 million hack on April 18; the attacker was identified as TraderTraitor, a subgroup of the North Korean state-sponsored hacking group Lazarus Group. Aave Labs previously proposed unfreezing the seized funds and transferring them into the “DeFi United” fund to compensate rsETH holders—but this legal action by Gerstein Harrow may significantly delay compensation for victims. Members of the Arbitrum DAO community have criticized the move, arguing it shifts the burden of North Korea’s debts onto another set of victims, thereby exacerbating the original harm. Gerstein Harrow had previously pursued litigation related to the 2023 Heco Bridge hack involving Teth

Exodus discloses holdings of 628 BTC and 1,861 ETH, with Q1 digital asset losses of approximately $36.4 million

Odaily, a crypto wallet provider listed on the US stock exchange, Exodus has released its first-quarter financial report for 2026. The report disclosed that the company holds approximately $122.6 million in digital assets and cash, including 628 BTC and 1,861 ETH. Additionally, the Exodus Pay payment function launched in all 50 US states and select global markets in April. Exodus stated that due to market price fluctuations, its digital assets suffered losses of approximately $36.4 million, while transaction processing volume fell to about $1.18 billion, a sequential decline of 22%. (Globenewswire)

Kraken’s parent company completes acquisition of Bitnomial, expanding its presence in the U.S. crypto derivatives market

According to The Block, Payward, Kraken’s parent company, has announced the completion of its acquisition of Chicago-based crypto-native exchange Bitnomial, thereby obtaining a full suite of U.S. derivatives licenses from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), including Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), Designated Contract Market (DCM), and Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) licenses. Payward stated that it will first launch spot margin trading on Kraken, followed by perpetual contracts and options products, all available to eligible U.S. customers. This acquisition will also provide partners—including banks, brokers, and payment service providers—with a channel to offer U.S. derivatives to their end customers. Bitnomial will operate independently under Payward while retaining its existing licenses and regulatory framework. The transaction’s value is reported to be up to $550 million, comprising cash and stock, implying a valuation for Payward of approximately $20 billion; however, the final terms have not been disclosed.

MGBX will list LABUSDT and TAGUSDT perpetual contract trading pairs

that, according to official sources, MGBX will list LABUSDT and TAGUSDT perpetual contract trading pairs at 18:00 (SGT) on May 4, 2026.Trading opening time: 18:00 (SGT) on May 4, 2026;Leverage: Up to 25x supported.

Kraken parent company Payward completes Bitnomial acquisition, officially enters the U.S. crypto derivatives market

Payward (Kraken’s parent company) has announced the completion of its acquisition of Bitnomial, marking its official entry into the U.S. crypto derivatives market with full regulatory credentials. Following the transaction, Payward now holds a comprehensive set of U.S. CFTC licenses, including Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), Designated Contract Market (DCM), and Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) status, enabling it to launch compliant derivatives services in the U.S. market.Payward stated that it will gradually roll out spot margin trading under the Kraken brand, followed by plans to launch perpetual contracts and options products, while expanding institutional-grade derivatives capabilities through the Bitnomial framework. It is reported that Bitnomial, as a Chicago-based native crypto derivatives trading platform, has long held the three core CFTC licenses and has been relatively aggressive in listing new assets. After the transaction, it will retain its existing licenses and regulatory framework, continuing operations within the Payward system.Additionally, this acquisition continues Payward’s recent expansion moves: the company had previously secured a $200 million investment from Deutsche Börse Group and filed IPO-related documents with the U.S. SEC, signaling its accelerated push into globally compliant derivatives and capital market pathways. (The Block)

Binance Futures to Launch AMD, QCOM, and USAR USD-Margined Perpetual Contracts

According to the official announcement, Binance Futures will launch AMDUSDT, QCOMUSDT, and USARUSDT—three USD-quoted perpetual contracts—in phases on May 6, 2026. These contracts track the stock prices of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Qualcomm (QCOM), and USA Rare Earth (USAR), respectively. Each contract offers up to 10x leverage, a funding rate cap of ±2%, and funding settlements every eight hours. The contracts support multi-asset margin mode, enabling users to use non-USDT assets such as BTC as margin.

Binance Futures to Launch AMDUSDT, QCOMUSDT, and USARUSDT USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contracts

: According to an official announcement, Binance Futures will launch AMDUSDT, QCOMUSDT, and USARUSDT USDⓈ-M perpetual contracts.

U.S. CFTC’s Request for Comments on Prediction Market Rules Has Received Over 1,500 Responses, Revealing Clear Industry Divisions

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has received over 1,500 public comments on its proposed rules for prediction markets, reflecting intensifying regulatory discussion in this space. Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have expressed support for the proposed regulatory framework, viewing it as conducive to industry standardization and development. However, some stakeholders have called for stricter regulation and enforcement measures to mitigate potential risks. Market analysts note that this comment period highlights substantial disagreement regarding the compliance boundaries, product classification, and regulatory positioning of prediction markets. The finalization of these rules may thus become a pivotal factor shaping the industry’s future development.

Binance Wallet: Users with at least 220 Alpha Points can claim 2000 BILL tokens in airdrop

the Binance Wallet announced on X platform that Binance Alpha will launch Billions Network (BILL). The Alpha launch and trading will begin on May 4, 2026, at 15:00 (UTC+8). Users holding at least 220 Binance Alpha Points can claim the token airdrop. Claim 2000 BILL tokens on the Alpha event page, available on a first-come, first-served basis. If the event has not ended, the score threshold will automatically decrease by 5 points every five minutes.Claiming the airdrop will consume 15 Binance Alpha Points. Users must confirm their claim on the Alpha event page within 24 hours; otherwise, they will be considered to have forfeited the airdrop.

Doubao Launches Paid Subscription Service, Focusing on Complex Productivity Scenarios

According to Yicai, the Doubao app’s App Store page recently displayed a statement regarding a paid version. Doubao’s official response stated that the platform has always offered free services and is currently exploring the launch of additional value-added services; however, related plans remain in the testing phase. Sources close to Doubao revealed that the paid features will primarily focus on complex tasks and productivity scenarios, including PPT generation, data analysis, and film & television production. The official statement noted that as model capabilities continue to improve, such complex, high-value tasks require significantly more computational resources and inference time; therefore, a paid service is planned to meet this demand, while the free version will continue to serve users’ everyday needs.

Bybit to Launch BILL Spot Trading Soon

Official announcement: Bybit will list Billions Network (BILL) spot trading in its Spot Trading section. BILL is the native token of Billions Network, a privacy-preserving network focused on Human + AI identity verification—enabling both humans and AI to securely prove their identities without revealing personal information.

Hyperliquid Prediction Market Launch Day: BTC Market Volume Surpasses Kalshi and Polymarket

data from Predictefy shows that since Hyperliquid launched its event contract (prediction market) products, the trading volume of Bitcoin price-related event contracts on the platform within the same timeframe has exceeded that of similar markets on Kalshi, Polymarket, and all other prediction platforms.Previously, Hyperliquid launched its event contract market yesterday, with the first market being a daily settlement BTC price performance market.

Anthropic Plans Joint Venture with Blackstone and Goldman Sachs

informed sources have revealed Anthropic is finalizing an agreement to establish a new joint venture with Blackstone Group, Goldman Sachs, and several other Wall Street firms. The venture aims to sell artificial intelligence tools to companies backed by private equity. (Jinshi)

Polymarket official: Scheduled maintenance for 30 minutes starting at 20:30 tonight to fix the "ghost fills" issue

: Polymarket official Ale posted on X to disclose platform updates, stating:1. We are making final preparations for the launch of the "Deposit Wallet" feature to fix the "ghost fills" issue. It is expected to be released at 12:30 UTC on May 4th (which corresponds to 20:30 Beijing time). There may be a maintenance downtime of up to approximately 30 minutes during this period.2. The remaining liquidity rewards for the migration date (April 28th) have been distributed. Participants should be able to see them on the rewards page. Rewards will be distributed as usual at 00:00 UTC.3. Earlier today, due to the system processing historical rewards and recalculating new rewards, rewards were not accumulated normally for about 40 minutes. The issue has now been fixed, and real-time liquidity reward accumulation has resumed normally.4. The team has noticed an increase in "not enough balance/allowance" error reports and is working on a fix.5. Addressing the PnL (Profit and Loss) display issues some users experience after converting or merging positions, the team is developing a patch expected to go live around Wednesday.

Morgan Stanley: It will still take time for Bitcoin to enter U.S. bank balance sheets, but preparations are already underway.

According to CoinDesk, Amy Oldenburg, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Morgan Stanley, stated at the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas that U.S. banks may hold bitcoin on their balance sheets in the future—but the timeline remains uncertain due to guidance from the Federal Reserve, the Basel Accords, and global regulatory requirements. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley’s recently launched MSBT—the first bank-issued bitcoin ETP—drew over $100 million in inflows within its first six days of listing, all sourced exclusively from self-directed investment channels and not yet made available to financial advisors. Oldenburg noted that slow adoption by the advisor channel stems primarily from an education gap; the bank has initiated internal training programs to address this and is applying for a digital trust charter from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to support direct custody of crypto assets and spot crypto trading services.

Poll: Only 1% of U.S. Voters Cite Cryptocurrency as Top Issue in Midterm Elections

A survey of 1,000 U.S. registered voters, commissioned by CoinDesk, found that only 1% of respondents named cryptocurrency as the most important issue in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections—ranking it nearly last among all concerns. In contrast, cost of living (36%), jobs and the economy (13%), and Social Security and Medicare (11%) emerged as voters’ top priorities. The survey also revealed broadly negative public sentiment toward cryptocurrency in the U.S.: only 27% of respondents reported having invested in, traded, or used cryptocurrency, while another 27% said they might do so in the future. Approximately 47% believed the Republican Party is more crypto-friendly, compared to just 14% who viewed the Democratic Party as more supportive of the crypto industry. However, when asked which party they trust more to manage crypto-related matters, Democrats edged out Republicans slightly—27% versus 25%—while 40% said they trusted neither party. Although cryptocurrency is not a central election issue, roughly 40% of respondents indicated they would be more likely to vote for candidates whose views on crypto aligned with their own—suggesting the influence of digital asset issues in U.S. politics continues to grow.

Figure Founder Predicts Blockchain Will Reshape Wall Street Credit Infrastructure

Mike Cagney, founder of Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR), stated that the company is pushing to rebuild the underlying infrastructure of traditional credit markets through blockchain, bringing loans, real-world assets (RWA), and even stocks onto the chain. The goal is to enable credit flows to move away from traditional intermediary systems and become "the new infrastructure of Wall Street." According to data, Figure's monthly loan origination volume exceeded $1 billion for the first time in March this year, with total origination reaching $2.9 billion in the first quarter of 2026, an annualized scale of approximately $12 billion.Mike Cagney pointed out that loan tokenization can significantly reduce securitization costs and lower traditional intermediary fees, while enhancing liquidity through continuously updated credit markets, and enabling on-chain credit assets to directly integrate with the DeFi ecosystem, expanding the scope of investor participation. Its Forge platform can bundle loans into standardized asset pools and convert them into tokens usable as collateral within DeFi protocols.Currently, Figure is advancing related business within the Solana ecosystem and plans to expand to Ethereum. Additionally, the company has launched YLDS, a yield-bearing stablecoin with a scale of approximately $600 million, backed by traditional assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, and is exploring stock tokenization as well as on-chain staking and lending. Mike Cagney stated that blockchain will become one of the most transformative technologies and will redefine the structure of future financial markets. (CoinDesk)