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“1011 Insider Whale” Agent: Market Misreads Trump’s “Project Freedom”; Real Risks May Just Be Beginning

Garrett Jin, agent representing the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that Trump’s launch of the so-called “Project Freedom” is not a de-risking signal, but is more likely to act as a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Multiple factors are converging, including energy inventory pressures, enhanced regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic pathways. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals, but their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risks. Overall, investors are advised to maintain a cautious and hedging mindset, paying close attention to the potential disruption of market sentiment by macroeconomic and geopolitical variables.Although the market has interpreted this move as a sign of easing tensions, driving risk assets higher, the underlying structure is more akin to a strategic framework of “limited engagement plus potential response.” The action primarily maintains shipping security through coordinated shipping lanes, insurance support, and military standby, rather than direct escort operations. This approach could, in fact, amplify reactions to specific triggering events.

“1011 Insider Whale” Agent: Trump’s “Freedom Plan” Could Be a Risk Trigger, and the Market May Be Underestimating Potential Volatility

Garrett Jin, the agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” authored an analysis stating that Trump’s so-called “Project Freedom” is not a signal of risk mitigation but rather a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Although the market interprets it as a de-escalation and has driven risk assets higher, its underlying structure more closely resembles a “limited engagement + potential response” strategic framework. This initiative primarily maintains maritime security through coordination of shipping lanes, insurance support, and military readiness—rather than direct naval escort—potentially amplifying market reactions once triggered by specific events. Meanwhile, multiple factors—including energy inventory pressures, heightened regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic channels—are converging. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals; however, their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risk. Overall, investors are advised to maintain caution and adopt hedging strategies, closely monitoring how macroeconomic and geopolitical variables could potentially disrupt market sentiment.

U.S. Law Firm Files for Restraining Order to Prevent Arbitrum DAO from Transferring Stolen and Frozen ETH from Kelp

According to Cointelegraph, U.S. law firm Gerstein Harrow LLP has filed an application with the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York seeking a temporary restraining order and three writs of execution to prevent the Arbitrum DAO from transferring 30,766 ETH (valued at approximately $73 million) frozen following the Kelp vulnerability. The firm argues that its clients obtained default judgments against North Korea in U.S. courts in 2010, 2015, and 2016, entitling them to roughly $877 million in compensation—and contends that the stolen ETH constitutes North Korean-linked assets that should be used to satisfy those judgments. Kelp DAO suffered a $292 million hack on April 18; the attacker was identified as TraderTraitor, a subgroup of the North Korean state-sponsored hacking group Lazarus Group. Aave Labs previously proposed unfreezing the seized funds and transferring them into the “DeFi United” fund to compensate rsETH holders—but this legal action by Gerstein Harrow may significantly delay compensation for victims. Members of the Arbitrum DAO community have criticized the move, arguing it shifts the burden of North Korea’s debts onto another set of victims, thereby exacerbating the original harm. Gerstein Harrow had previously pursued litigation related to the 2023 Heco Bridge hack involving Teth

analysis: Bitcoin has broken through the key resistance zone that was suppressing its price, and may maintain a strong volatility in the short term

OdailyOdaily reported that Bitcoin has broken through the $80,000 mark, rising approximately 2.6% in 24 hours to $80,150, driving the overall crypto market higher. ETH rose 3.6%, and XRP rose 2%. Nick Ruck, Director of LVRG Research, stated that this breakthrough shattered the key resistance zone that had been suppressing prices over the weekend, with short-term momentum clearly turning stronger. Meanwhile, Dominick John, an analyst at Zeus Research, noted that the upward price movement was accompanied by a technical short squeeze.On the capital front, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows for the fifth consecutive week, attracting approximately $154 million last week, indicating continuously strengthening institutional allocation demand. Analysts believe that if the capital inflow trend continues and is compounded by macroeconomic uncertainties, Bitcoin may maintain strong volatility in the short term. The market will closely monitor the impact of subsequent economic data and shifts in risk sentiment on the price trend. (The Block)

Strategy's BTC Holdings Market Cap Surpasses $65 Billion, Q1 Earnings Expected This Week

Odaily Strategy founder Michael Saylor posted on X yesterday stating that the company will suspend its routine weekly Bitcoin purchase plan this week, marking the second time this year it has paused weekly accumulation.To date, Strategy holds a total of 818,334 BTC, representing approximately 3.9% of Bitcoin's total supply. Data from Saylortracker shows that as Bitcoin staged a strong rebound today, breaking through the $80,000 mark, the total market value of BTC held by Strategy has returned to above $65 billion, currently standing at $65.74 billion. The average cost price is $75,537, with an unrealized profit of $3.926 billion.Strategy is expected to announce its Q1 earnings on Tuesday, with the market anticipating a loss per share of $18.98, higher than the loss of $16.38 per share in the same period last year. Its ongoing coin purchases are primarily financed through stock (MSTR) and perpetual preferred stock. Among these, the high-dividend product STRC (annualized yield approximately 11.5%) has raised concerns among some analysts regarding structural risks, though others argue that this model can convert yield demands into long-term Bitcoin exposure. (The Block)

“Brother Maji” earned approximately $1.27 million in the past 24 hours.

According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), influenced by the market rebound, Machi Big Brother (@machibigbrother) realized profits of approximately $1.27 million over the past 24 hours. His current holdings include: 13,175 ETH (approximately $31 million), 360 BTC (approximately $28.33 million), and 75,000 HYPE (approximately $3.13 million).

whale “pension-usdt.eth” faces $16 million in unrealized losses on Bitcoin and Ethereum long positions

Odaily reports, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, as the crypto market rebounds, whale “pension-usdt.eth” is now facing $16 million in unrealized losses on its 3x leveraged long positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

A whale opened a 3x leveraged long position on 133.59 million TST tokens through a new wallet

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale opened a 3x leveraged long position on 133.59 million TST tokens, worth $2.05 million, through a new wallet.

SpaceX IPO may trigger Wall Street capital reallocation for subscription, billions of dollars in tech stocks could be sold

SpaceX is about to launch a massive initial public offering (IPO), sparking intensive interest from major Wall Street funds. According to reports, about a week ago, a private jet emblazoned with the SpaceX logo carried nearly 200 investors from major Wall Street funds to Texas to attend a multi-day roadshow briefing held by SpaceX executives. Due to overwhelming subscription demand, the plane could not even accommodate all interested investors. As the listing of this company, composed of Musk's rocket and AI businesses, draws near, Wall Street may be discussing which tech stocks to sell in order to free up capital for subscribing to SpaceX shares, which is expected to trigger a sell-off in tech stocks worth tens of billions of dollars. (The Information)

Morgan Stanley: It will still take time for Bitcoin to enter U.S. bank balance sheets, but preparations are already underway.

According to CoinDesk, Amy Oldenburg, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Morgan Stanley, stated at the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas that U.S. banks may hold bitcoin on their balance sheets in the future—but the timeline remains uncertain due to guidance from the Federal Reserve, the Basel Accords, and global regulatory requirements. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley’s recently launched MSBT—the first bank-issued bitcoin ETP—drew over $100 million in inflows within its first six days of listing, all sourced exclusively from self-directed investment channels and not yet made available to financial advisors. Oldenburg noted that slow adoption by the advisor channel stems primarily from an education gap; the bank has initiated internal training programs to address this and is applying for a digital trust charter from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to support direct custody of crypto assets and spot crypto trading services.

A newly created address deposited $1 million into Hyperliquid to go 10x long on WTI crude oil.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a newly created address deposited $1 million into Hyperliquid to open a 10x long position on WTI crude oil.

A major whale deposited 141.26 BTC into Kraken after remaining inactive for two years.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a whale deposited 141.26 BTC—worth $11.16 million—into Kraken after two years of dormancy.

B.AI subsidy increased: top up and get a 1:1 bonus—effortlessly unlock Sun Ge’s brain

According to an official announcement, B.AI has launched a major recharge bonus upgrade campaign on May 3. For a limited time, the platform is offering a 1:1 matching recharge reward mechanism—users receive an equivalent credit bonus for every dollar they recharge, effectively reducing the cost of invoking cutting-edge large language models such as GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus 4.7, as well as the “Brother Sun Brain” model and Web3 trading skill packs by up to 50%. This campaign removes the first-recharge restriction entirely: every recharge automatically triggers an equal-value bonus, with each user eligible to accumulate up to $100 in free credits. Additionally, the platform releases a daily $10,000积分 subsidy pool (points subsidy pool), available on a first-come, first-served basis across the network, resetting every day. Starting today, visit http://b.ai to unlock top-tier computing power at the lowest possible cost—and fully unleash the limitless potential of AI Agents and on-chain ecosystems.

CryptoQuant Analyst: Model Shows BTC Needs to Drop to $59,000 for Mid-to-Long Term Bottom Formation to Begin

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr posted on X, stating that based on the Adjusted Realized Price Bands model calibrated to Bitcoin's current circulating supply, a drop to the key $59,000 range is required for a true mid-to-long term bottoming process to begin. Bottoming is not a short-term process and will not be completed within one to two weeks; the base case scenario estimates it will take approximately six months.Axel Adler Jr emphasized that while Bitcoin has recently seen some increase in price, what truly drives market stabilization is not sentiment recovery or a local rebound, but the return of long-term genuine demand. That is, when the market begins to price in future value again and spot buying continues to recover, the bottom may be truly established.

Reuters: Iran’s Largest Crypto Exchange Nobitex Linked to the Family of Iran’s Supreme Leader

According to a Reuters investigation, Nobitex—the largest cryptocurrency exchange in Iran—was founded by members of the Kharrazi family, who maintain close ties to Iran’s highest leadership. The investigation found that the exchange was established by brothers Ali and Mohammad Kharrazi, who previously used the surname “Aghamir” to conceal their connection to the Kharrazi family—a family long embedded in Iran’s political inner circle, including historical links to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his successors. The report states that Nobitex currently serves over 11 million users and dominates Iran’s cryptocurrency market. It continued operating during Iran’s conflicts with the United States and Israel—even amid nationwide internet blackouts—and processed transactions throughout. Analysts estimate its trading volume exceeded $100 million during wartime, accompanied by substantial outflows of funds overseas. Additionally, multiple on-chain analytics firms have identified that the platform processed transactions linked to sanctioned entities, with estimated volumes ranging from $22 million to $366 million. Data also shows that wallets associated with the Central Bank of Iran transferred hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of cryptocurrency assets to Nobitex in 2025—widely believed to be an effort to circumvent financial sanctions. Nobitex has denied any government affiliation and stated that illicit transactions constitute only a small fraction of its overall business.

Iranian Crypto Exchange Nobitex Controlled by Founders' Family with Close Ties to High-Ranking Officials, Trading Remains Active During Wartime

Nobitex, Iran's largest cryptocurrency exchange, was founded by members of the Kharrazi family, who have close ties to Iran's supreme leadership. Investigations show the exchange was created by brothers Ali and Mohammad Kharrazi, who previously used the surname "Aghamir" to conceal their connection to the Kharrazi family. This family has long-standing, deep ties to Iran's political core, including historical links to Ali Khamenei and his successors.The report indicates that Nobitex currently serves over 11 million users, dominates the Iranian crypto market, and has continued operating throughout conflicts between Iran, the United States, and Israel, even processing transactions during nationwide internet blackouts. Analysts say its trading volume exceeded $100 million during wartime, with significant funds flowing overseas.Additionally, multiple on-chain analytics firms point out that the platform has processed transactions linked to sanctioned entities, with estimated volumes ranging from $22 million to $366 million. Other data shows that wallets associated with the Central Bank of Iran transferred hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets to Nobitex in 2025, allegedly to circumvent financial sanctions. Nobitex denies any connection to the government, stating that illegal transactions represent only a small fraction of its overall business. (Cointelegraph)

Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week | U.S.-Iran Tensions Reach a Critical Juncture; Nonfarm Payrolls Data Unlikely to Break Gold’s Stalemate

According to JIN10, U.S. President Trump criticized Tehran’s leadership for lacking unity, which he said is hindering agreement on ending the nine-week conflict that has triggered a global energy crisis. He stated that “Iran’s requests are ones I cannot accept,” though some traders interpreted this as a negotiating tactic rather than an abandonment of peace efforts. Investors will be watching for a new batch of U.S. corporate earnings reports and U.S. employment data. Below are the key market focus points for the coming week: Tuesday, 00:50: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Tuesday, 22:00: U.S. April ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and U.S. March JOLTS Job Openings; Wednesday, 20:15: U.S. April ADP Employment Change; Wednesday, 21:30: Alberto Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and an FOMC voter in 2028, speaks on the economic outlook and monetary policy; Thursday, 01:00: Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and an FOMC voter in 2027, participates in a panel discussion at a conference; Thursday, 19:30: U.S. April Challenger Job Cuts; Friday, 02:05: Loretta Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and an FOMC voter in 2026, delivers a speech; Friday, 03:30: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Friday, 22:00: U.S. May one-year inflation expectation (preliminary), U.S. May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary), and U.S. March wholesale sales (month-on-month). Forecasters expect the April nonfarm payrolls report—due next Friday—to show solid job growth.

A certain address spent 3 ETH to purchase ASTEROID 16 days ago, making a profit of approximately $1.26 million

according to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader spent 3 ETH (approximately $7,257) to buy 4.28 billion ASTEROID 16 days ago, and has since sold all of them for 550 ETH (approximately $1.27 million), realizing a profit of 547 ETH, or about $1.26 million.

A whale opened a 2x leveraged long position on MEGA worth approximately $12 million, with a liquidation price of $0.0011

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, after closing their ETH short positions over the past 3 days, a whale turned to a 2x leveraged long on MEGA. The current position size is approximately $12 million, with an entry price of $0.197 and a liquidation price of $0.0011. Affected by price fluctuations, the current value of this position is approximately $1.5 million, with unrealized losses exceeding $840,000.

BIO team address transfers approximately $5.03 million in tokens to exchanges

according to monitoring by crypto analyst Ai Yi @ai_9684xtpa, BIO has risen 118% over the past week. Approximately 11 hours ago, the project team's multi-signature address transferred 120 million BIO to three addresses, of which about 80 million were transferred to OKX and Binance, valued at approximately $5.031 million.