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Probability drops to historic low, expectations for formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 turn bearish

Sentiment regarding bets on the formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 has turned bearish, with the probability of the bill being passed within the year falling to a historic low. The market's peak expectation for the bill at the beginning of the year once reached 82%, but as negotiations have hit multiple deadlocks, the probability has continued to decline. The core disagreements hindering the bill's progress include a standoff over ethics clauses, opposition from banking lobbying groups regarding provisions related to stablecoin interest payments, as well as a tight congressional schedule and the approaching midterm elections, which have compressed the window for deliberation and voting. Although major industry players generally support this comprehensive digital asset regulatory bill, traders believe that the multiple disagreements cannot be resolved in the short term, and the bill will likely be unable to complete the full legislative process and take effect within 2026.

Cumulative profit of $25.1 million, the most profitable trader on SPCX holds $8.7 million in SPCX short positions

according to HyperliquidNews monitoring, the most profitable trader on SPCX currently holds 67,900 SPCX short positions, worth approximately $8.7 million, with an unrealized profit of $2.35 million, and has received $54,300 in funding fees. This wallet has a cumulative profit of $25.1 million, of which perpetual contract profits total $22.54 million.

Suspected BANK Foundation wallet transfers 84 million BANK to Aster

according to Arkham monitoring, 84 million BANK tokens have been transferred from a suspected BANK Foundation wallet, BANK Foundation Wallet (0xEde6…3B11a), to a new address (0x5721…22Bd8). Subsequently, this address transferred the relevant tokens to the Aster deposit address (0x1284…87974).Market data shows: The price of BANK tokens has surged significantly over the past few days, rising more than threefold, and is now quoted at approximately $0.16.

Analysis: Kimi Sparks Wall Street Concerns Over "Second DeepSeek Shock", Funds Flowing Out of High-Valuation Tech Stocks

According to The Wall Street Journal, following Moonshot AI's release of the low-cost, high-performance large model Kimi K3, Wall Street has once again seen concerns about a "DeepSeek-style shock," with the AI chip sector facing selling pressure. Morgan Stanley stated that the market may experience AI industry turbulence similar to that triggered by DeepSeek in early 2025, where the rise of low-cost, high-performance AI models could challenge top U.S. model developers such as OpenAI and Anthropic, while simultaneously weakening demand for the large-scale compute infrastructure underpinning the U.S. AI investment boom.

Analysis: Bitcoin's Historic Support Zone Emerges, Over Half of Supply Already Turned Over Above $59,000

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that data indicates Bitcoin is currently establishing a significant support level within the $59,000 to $70,000 range, which has become one of the most fiercely defended price zones in Bitcoin's history.Approximately 50% of the total Bitcoin supply has now been turned over above the $59,000 mark. If the millions of Bitcoins believed to be permanently lost are excluded, this percentage would be even higher. This round of turnover is primarily driven by short-term holders (STH), revealing a divergence in market participant behavior, with some investors choosing to panic sell while others continue to accumulate.However, although multiple indicators have entered extremely bearish or oversold zones, the formation of the $59,000 to $70,000 range has some rationale. This does not necessarily mean the market has confirmed a bottom. More accurately, Bitcoin's bottom structure is still in the process of being built. Additionally, the large trading volume peak near $84,500 is mainly attributed to internal Bitcoin transfers on Coinbase and should not be included in market behavior analysis.

Account margin $15 million: An address opens a $2.155 million short position on ChangXin Memory via TWAP

Odaily reports, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, an address has opened a $2.155 million TWAP short position on ChangXin Memory Technologies. If fully executed, this would become the second-largest position of Hyperliquid CXMT. The TWAP order size is 300,000 CXMT, with an opening average price of $7.1825. Currently, 1.14% of the order has been filled, and the account margin is $15 million.

Ansem: If Zcash breaks through the 750 range, the uptrend could significantly accelerate.

Trader Ansem stated that Zcash has been consolidating within the relevant range for nearly a year, identifying 750 as a key level to watch. He believes that if the price breaks out upward and sets a new high, the next phase of gains in the current trend could be quite rapid. Although he does not currently hold long positions, he believes that failing to allocate after the breakout is confirmed could be a mistake.

Crypto trader Doctor Profit: Has fully closed all crypto short positions and started buying Bitcoin spot in phases.

Well-known crypto trader Doctor Profit stated that he has closed all previous cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin short positions established in the $115,000 to $125,000 range and the $79,000 to $82,000 range, as well as multiple altcoin short positions positioned over the past few months, and added that he has locked in significant profits.

Profit of $34.7 million: Hyperliquid whale 5bro.eth places a limit long order for 2,000 ETH to reduce short position

Odaily Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, 5bro.eth (0x58bro) deposited 1.5 million USDC and placed a limit order to go long on 2,000 ETH, worth approximately $3.73 million. If executed, their position will decrease from a short of 6,500 ETH to a short of 4,500 ETH. The lifetime profit for this address is $34.7 million. The address is 0x418aa6bf98a2b2bc93779f810330d88cde488888.

floating loss of $8.31 million, ETH's largest short seller pension-usdt.eth shorts 50,000 ETH

ETH's largest short seller pension-usdt.eth holds 50,000 ETH short positions, worth approximately $93.3 million, currently with a floating loss of about $8.31 million. This whale has accumulated historical profits of $35.6 million.

A whale holds 1,660 BTC, continuing to go long on BTC, valued at $107 million

according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale continues to go long on BTC, with its position having reached 1,660 BTC, valued at $107 million, and a liquidation price of $63,123.

A whale holding a $5.67 million Aster position shorted ESPORTS, incurring a loss of $442,000

that, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale on Aster holds an ESPORTS position worth approximately $5.67 million and has shorted approximately $1.44 million worth of ESPORTS, currently incurring a loss of about $442,000. The address is 0x89C3E5068d29Bdc3F25EC1044169C5CC7fd4A013.

Profited $547,000, Hyperliquid TOP1 CASHCAT Short Position Closed for Profit Taking

according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, an address (0xc36…e105B) opened a short position at $0.11899 on July 14th. It added to the position when the market cap fell below $100 million. Early this morning, it closed the entire position at $0.05848, netting a profit of $547,000 in four days (including funding fee gains), achieving a return rate of 35.5%.

Citrini Raises DRAM Price Forecast: Q3 Average Price May Rise 21% QoQ, Higher Than TrendForce Forecast

Citrini analyst Jukan stated in a post that, according to the latest channel research, the global DRAM market average selling price (ASP) for the third quarter is expected to rise 21% quarter-over-quarter. This expectation is higher than TrendForce's previous forecast of a 13% to 18% increase in traditional DRAM prices and an overall increase of 8% to 13% including HBM.

South Korean Stocks Suffer Over 12 Trillion Won Foreign Sell-Off in July, Samsung and SK Hynix Face Contrasting Fortunes

According to Etoday, Korea Exchange data shows that from July 1 to 16, foreign investors cumulatively net sold approximately 12.44 trillion won worth of Korean stocks, with net sales of 12.10 trillion won in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) market and 338.1 billion won in the KOSDAQ market. Meanwhile, foreign capital net bought approximately 593.7 billion won worth of Korean ETFs against the trend.

BONK 财库攻击者再向 Coinbase 转入 4000 亿枚 BONK ,价值约 111 万美元

据链上分析师余烬监测,BONK 财库攻击者于 5 小时前再次向 Coinbase 转入 4000 亿枚 BONK ,价值约 111 万美元。

A whale transferred another 583.23 BTC, worth approximately $37.57 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a Bitcoin whale has again transferred 583.23 BTC to a new wallet, valued at approximately $37.57 million. Onchain Lens stated that the address acquired 852.469 BTC for approximately $15.63 million about 8 years ago, when the Bitcoin price was around $18,300. Since then, the whale has continued to distribute the relevant holdings to multiple new wallets and transferred some funds to exchanges.

Stablecoin market sees $12.413 billion outflow in 62 days, USDT market cap still exceeds $184 billion

Odaily News According to Defillama data, the stablecoin market has experienced an outflow of $12.413 billion in the 62 days since May 17, 2026, with $1.555 billion flowing out since July 11, marking one of the largest contractions in over four years. As of July 18, Tether's USDT market cap stood at $184.055 billion, while Circle's USDC market cap was $73.376 billion. Over the past week, USDT decreased by 0.06%, and USDC decreased by 0.04%. Sky's USDS market cap was $6.66 billion, declining by 12.30% over the past week, making it the worst performer among the top ten stablecoins.World Liberty Financial's USD1 fell by 4.59%, while Sky's DAI decreased by 0.43%. Global Dollar's USDG rose by 9.08% over the past week, reaching a market cap of $3.164 billion, the highest gain among the top ten stablecoins. PayPal's PYUSD increased by 1.60% to $2.877 billion, while Circle's USYC and BlackRock's BUIDL decreased by 3.64% and 8.68%, respectively.

A trader who legally withdrew 4.426 trillion BONK from the BONK treasury has sold another 800 billion BONK today

Odaily reports, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader who legally withdrew 4.426 trillion BONK (worth $21.2 million) from the BONK treasury has sold another 800 billion BONK (worth $2.48 million) today. Since the incident on July 6, BONK has dropped by 40%. The trader still holds 2.4 trillion BONK, worth $6.94 million.

Profiting $1.4 Million, Whale geminisat.eth Transfers 19,200 ETH to Binance

Odaily Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ember's monitoring, whale geminisat.eth (0x49C5...f1f2) transferred 19,235 ETH (approximately $35.34 million) to Binance 15 minutes ago. These ETH were withdrawn from Binance by him 1 month ago, when the ETH price was $1,766, resulting in a profit of $1.4 million.