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JPMorgan: Strategy's Bitcoin Purchases Could Reach $30 Billion This Year

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), led by Michael Saylor, has been accelerating its Bitcoin acquisitions this year. JPMorgan analysts stated that if the current pace continues, the company's total Bitcoin purchases for the year could reach approximately $30 billion. So far this year, Strategy has added 145,834 Bitcoin to its holdings, valued at around $11 billion. Analysis indicates that a significant portion of the company's purchases occurred when Bitcoin was below its average cost of roughly $75,000, reflecting a more "opportunistic" allocation strategy.At the current rate, Strategy's total Bitcoin purchases in 2026 could significantly exceed the approximately $22 billion levels seen in 2024 and 2025. Analysts noted that the company has re-accelerated its buying since April, suggesting its strategy is becoming more dependent on market conditions and financing availability. Meanwhile, Strategy's stock continues to trade at a premium of approximately 26% to its net asset value (NAV), providing favorable conditions for the company to continue purchasing Bitcoin through equity and debt financing. The company currently holds approximately 818,334 BTC, with a total value exceeding $65 billion. (The Block)

A certain address bought $480,000 worth of SATO at the peak, currently facing an unrealized loss of $276,000.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, on-chain analyst Ai Yi monitored that over the past 11 hours, address 0xe5f…cceaf purchased $480,000 worth of SATO at an average price of $1.4304, buying right at the peak. This makes it the address with the highest purchase amount in the last 24 hours (and also the new second-ranked address), currently facing an unrealized loss of $276,000. 23 hours ago, it withdrew 1.23 million USDC from Hyperliquid, likely for position building. The wallet still has 750,000 USDC unused, and SATO is its only Memecoin. Although it has dropped significantly, it has not reduced its position for now.

AWS partners with Coinbase and Stripe to launch AI agent stablecoin payment functionality, enabling microtransactions using USDC

According to The Block, Amazon Web Services (AWS) has partnered with Coinbase and Stripe to launch Amazon Bedrock AgentCore Payments, enabling AI agents to conduct transactions using stablecoins. Coinbase stated that developers can build “agent-based payment” solutions using the x402 protocol, allowing AI agents to make micro-payments in USDC. This feature enables AI agents to instantly pay for web content, APIs, MCP servers, and other agents. AWS noted that developers can choose between Coinbase and Stripe wallets and fund those wallets using either stablecoins or fiat currency.

Today, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 261 BTC, and Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of 663 ETH

according to Lookonchain monitoring, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of 261 BTC today, Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of 663 ETH, and Solana ETFs saw a net inflow of 240,595 SOL.

Metalpha-linked wallet deposits 27,000 ETH into Binance, worth approximately $62.78 million

according to Lookonchain monitoring, a wallet associated with Metalpha deposited 27,000 ETH (worth approximately $62.78 million) into Binance in the past hour.

An address deposited 14,062 ETH (worth $32.82 million) into Binance

that, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi’s monitoring, address 0x8Ad…Ab818 deposited 14,062 ETH (worth $32.82 million) into Binance. This batch of ETH was just redeemed from Etherfi, suspected to be for selling.

TD Cowen Sees STRC Financing Boosting BTC Yield, Raises Strategy Price Target

investment bank TD Cowen on Thursday raised its price target for Strategy (MSTR) to $395 from $385, believing the market underestimates the capital efficiency of the company’s bitcoin accumulation strategy following its increased issuance of STRC perpetual preferred stock. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete indicated that the new target still implies over 110% upside from Strategy’s Wednesday closing price of $186.82.The analysis notes that Strategy is gradually reducing common equity financing and increasingly relying on STRC perpetual preferred stock, which yields 11.5%, to fund bitcoin purchases. STRC is also a core component of Michael Saylor’s “42/42 plan,” which aims to raise $42 billion each through equity and fixed-income instruments over three years.TD Cowen believes the market underestimates the effect of the STRC structure on boosting “BTC Yield,” a metric measuring the company’s growth in bitcoin holdings per fully diluted share. The report raised its BTC Yield forecast for Strategy’s fiscal 2026 to 18.2% from 16.7%, and for 2027 to 9.6% from 5.4%. Additionally, analysts argue that concerns about Strategy being a “perpetual dilution machine” are exaggerated. The company’s annual preferred stock dividend payments, currently around $1.5 billion, represent only about 2.2% of the value of its 818,334 BTC reserve.In TD Cowen’s base case scenario, bitcoin is expected to reach $140,000 by the end of 2026. In a bull case, bitcoin could rise to $175,000, with Strategy potentially purchasing over $5 billion in bitcoin per quarter. (The Block)

Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market

According to Odaily, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necessary for Bitcoin to enter a sustainable bull market cycle. He believes that the "shitcoin purge" has actually been underway since 2021, but a larger-scale clearance is still needed to restore a healthy market structure. Capital is continuously flowing from high-risk tokens to Bitcoin, with the rising BTC dominance rate serving as a clear signal.Data shows that GeckoTerminal tracks over 25 million deployed tokens, with more than 11.6 million projects failing in 2025 alone, primarily due to the burst of the Meme coin bubble. CoinShares researcher Luke Nolan stated that the claim "95% of tokens are worthless" is reasonable.Although Bitcoin has returned above $81,000, Ben Cowen remains cautious, believing that BTC is still in a bear market phase. He warns that if it fails to hold the key resistance level around $88,880, the price could correct to the $58,000-$62,000 range. Against the backdrop of delayed Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risks, the crypto market continues to face short-term pressure. "2026 is more likely to be a reset year rather than a year for reaching new highs." (CoinDesk)

BTC OG Insider Whale’s Representative: Market Disguises Calm as Underlying Risks Continue to Accumulate

Odaily  News: Garrett Jin, representative of the "BTC OG Insider Whale," published an analytical article titled "A Painted Ceasefire," warning crypto traders not to be lulled by the surface-level market trends. While the market appears stable, underlying risks are continuously building. He pointed out that following Trump’s visit to China, the window for a US-Iran military conflict could reopen at any time. This current ceasefire is merely a delay in confrontation, not the beginning of favorable developments. Market sentiment is currently highly optimistic, with Saudi Arabia and Iran reaching a cooperation memorandum, impressive earnings reports from tech companies, rising South Korean stocks, and Bitcoin approaching the $82,000-$83,000 range. However, macro-level hidden dangers are gradually emerging: a liquidity drought in large corporate transactions, airline bankruptcies, banks provisioning for potential war losses in advance, and Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves hitting a new all-time high. Garrett Jin predicts that late May could be a key turning point. If tech giants continue to exceed performance expectations, the risk window may be delayed until the July earnings season. (Garrettsignal)

Sources: U.S. Department of Justice is investigating a $2.6 billion oil transaction linked to the Iran war

According to ABC News, sources revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating a series of suspicious trades in the oil market ahead of a major statement by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding war with Iran. The Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are examining at least four such trades, in which traders collectively bet over $2.6 billion on oil prices falling before the decline occurred.

Analysis: Bitcoin Falls Back Below $81,000 After Failing to Break the 200-Day Moving Average, Historical Trend Sparks Market Caution

Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)

A newly created wallet withdrew 2,500 BTC from Binance, worth approximately $200 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a newly created wallet withdrew 2,500 BTC from Binance, valued at approximately $202.36 million.

HyperLiquid whale Loracle.hl currently holds unrealized profits exceeding $8.55 million, with cumulative profits of approximately $36 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), HyperLiquid whale Loracle.hl currently holds unrealized profits exceeding $8.55 million, with cumulative profits totaling approximately $36 million. Two hours ago, the whale closed a short position on BRENTOIL, realizing profits of over $991,000. Its current positions include: - Long ZEC (10x leverage): $5.9 million unrealized profit - Long TON (5x leverage): $1.88 million unrealized profit - Short CL (10x leverage): $1.8 million unrealized profit - Long BTC (20x leverage): $834,000 unrealized profit - Short HYPE: $1.47 million unrealized loss

HashKey Exchange Launches Limited-Time RLUSD Deposit Rewards and Fee Discount Campaign

According to an official announcement by HashKey, HashKey Exchange—a licensed virtual asset exchange operated by Hong Kong-listed HashKey Holdings Limited (3887.HK)—has launched a time-limited RLUSD deposit reward program and RLUSD withdrawal fee discount following the official listing of Ripple USD (RLUSD) on its platform on February 13, 2026. This promotion is available for a limited time only and is exclusively open to eligible professional investors. **Promotion 1: RLUSD Deposit Reward Program** From now until May 22, 2026, customers who deposit RLUSD into their HashKey Exchange accounts—meeting or exceeding the minimum amount required for their chosen tier—and maintain the corresponding RLUSD account balance through June 23, 2026, will receive the applicable reward. Rewards are capped at up to 25,000 RLUSD and are allocated on a first-come, first-served basis. **Promotion 2: RLUSD Withdrawal Fee Discount** Withdrawals of RLUSD via the Ethereum (ERC-20) network completed before May 30, 2026, will incur zero withdrawal fees. For full details—including eligibility criteria, reward tiers, balance maintenance requirements, reward quota limits, scope of fee discounts, and other applicable terms and conditions—please refer to the official HashKey Exchange campaign page.

Bitget CandyBomb: 600,000 KAIO tokens unlocked for perpetual contract trading

Bitget has launched a new edition of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 600,000 KAIO tokens. New users can earn up to 6,000 KAIO each by completing tasks such as net deposits and futures trading. Detailed rules have been published on the official Bitget platform. Eligible users must click the “Join Now” button to register in order to participate. The campaign ends on May 13 at 21:00 (UTC+8).

A wallet疑似 linked to Matrixport deposited 403,300 HYPE tokens into Hyperliquid, valued at approximately $17.4 million.

According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), a wallet疑似 linked to Matrixport deposited 403,289.5 HYPE tokens into Hyperliquid four hours ago—valued at approximately $17.4 million—and has since begun selling them. To date, this address has sold 100,000 HYPE tokens, receiving 4.24 million USDC in return.

A whale spent $325,000 to buy Sato, with an average market cap of $28.4 million at entry

According to Odaily monitoring, a whale began accumulating Sato three hours ago, purchasing a total of $325,000 worth at an average market cap of $28.4 million, currently showing an unrealized profit of $32,000.

Matrixport-affiliated wallet sells 100,000 HYPE tokens, cashing out approximately $4.238 million

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a wallet associated with Matrixport deposited 403,290 $HYPE tokens (approximately $17.3 million) into HyperLiquid, then immediately sold 100,000 of them at an average price of $42.38, realizing approximately $4.238 million in USDC. The wallet currently still holds 303,290 $HYPE tokens (approximately $13 million).

Analysis: Tripartite Signal Convergence—On-Chain Data, Futures, and Options—Suggests BTC May Rally to $85,000

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen from approximately $63,000 to over $80,000 in the past three months, with multiple key indicators now converging on an $85,000 target. On-chain, BTC has broken above two critical support levels—the “Realized Market Value” ($78,200) and the “Short-Term Holder Cost Basis” ($79,100). Research firm Glassnode notes that the next resistance level lies near the Active Realized Price of $85,200. In the futures market, funding rates have shifted from negative to neutral, signaling a clear retreat of prior large-scale short pressure and rising risk of a short squeeze. In the options market, market makers hold roughly $2 billion in “short gamma” exposure near $82,000; rising prices will compel them to continuously hedge by buying BTC, generating positive feedback. However, analysts caution that Bitcoin remains highly correlated with U.S. tech equities—should equity markets shift toward risk-aversion, upward momentum could be dampened.

Meme token $SATO enters its second rally; top trader has already realized a profit of $398,000

According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai_9684xtpa), the meme token $SATO has entered its second rally, with its market cap surging from under $3 million to over $40 million. Notably, top-tier participants in this rally accumulated positions逆势 during the prior downtrend—directly purchasing via the $SATO bonding curve—causing data tools like GMGN to fail displaying their true acquisition costs. On-chain data reveals the current top holders as follows: • #1 runecrypto.eth: Accumulated between May 6–7, spending 34.7 ETH to buy 375,046 $SATO tokens at an average price of ~$0.2186; current unrealized profit ≈ $398,000 • #2 0x313…6ABAe: Accumulated between May 5–7, spending 35 ETH to buy 350,000 $SATO tokens at an average price of ~$0.2363; current unrealized profit ≈ $365,000 • #3 0x7F5…c8F2d: Accumulated between May 4–7, holding 260,969 $SATO tokens