News linked to this event type.
Odaily reports, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, the first batch of prediction market ETFs in the United States could launch next week. Roundhill has submitted updated documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, aiming to activate six prediction market ETFs on May 5. The products will be designed around event contracts related to the U.S. presidential and congressional elections.Additionally, similar products submitted by GraniteShares and Bitwise may also be launched around the same time. James Seyffart believes this reflects a growing trend of combining event contracts with ETF products. (The Block)
according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale address 0x8d0E, which had previously accumulated losses of approximately $13.74 million, opened a 10x leveraged long position on DOGE in the past 2 hours. The position size is 40 million DOGE, worth about $4.4 million.
According to chart analysis by independent analyst Markus Thielen, Bitcoin has weakened for five consecutive months since hitting an all-time high in October 2025, only posting positive returns in March 2026. April is not yet over, but this month’s gains are poised to become Bitcoin’s strongest single-month performance since April 2025—potentially marking its second consecutive month of gains. Analysts note that two successive monthly recoveries have already signaled some degree of repair, and when combined with the historically bullish seasonal pattern from May through July, Bitcoin may continue to receive some support going forward. However, a single-month rebound remains insufficient to confirm a trend reversal.
According to QCP Capital’s market report, as the geopolitical risk premium gradually subsided last week, market sentiment turned cautious, and investors’ attention has refocused on policy direction, the interest-rate path, and the economic growth outlook. Equities have been trading near recent highs but lack momentum for an upside breakout. The Federal Reserve’s FOMC decision is due today. A pause in rate hikes is now the baseline market expectation; however, with no new CPI or employment data released since the prior meeting, markets are highly sensitive to Chair Powell’s commentary—any hawkish signal could swiftly reprice front-end rates and tighten financial conditions. Meanwhile, growing attention is turning to potential leadership changes at the Fed. Kevin Warsh has gained increasing traction in market forecasts. His hawkish stance on inflation and skepticism toward quantitative easing stand in marked contrast to current policy approaches. Should he assume leadership, liquidity-driven assets—including crypto—could face pressure, given crypto markets’ particular sensitivity to rising real yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. Regarding Bitcoin: after a strong performance in April—supported by ETF inflows and sustained institutional accumulation—the price has entered a range-bound phase. Funding rates remain subdued, volatility continues to narrow, and the broader market is in a wait-and-see mode. QCP believes Bitcoin’s next directional move will hinge more on Fed signals and macroeconomic data than on crypto-native flows. Additionally, the upcoming tech earnings season, alongside releases of the PCE and GDP price indices, will further test the validity of the “soft landing” narrative.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a whale address deposited $2 million worth of USDC into HyperLiquid and opened a short position of 80,000 contracts on BRENTOIL with 3x leverage, betting on a decline in crude oil prices.
Bitget will list Gensyn (AIGENSYN) in the AI zone. The deposit channel is now open, and the trading channel will open at 19:00 (UTC+8) today.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), the wallet address 0x859D—associated with Fenbushi Capital—withdrawed 3,063 ETH (approximately $7.13 million) from Aave and immediately deposited them into Binance. These ETH were withdrawn from Binance one month ago at an average price of $2,017; the current unrealized profit is approximately $969,000.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai9684xtpa), the address 0xfda…39f26 deposited 3,418 $ETH to Binance one hour ago, worth approximately $7.98 million. Combined with a previous deposit recorded on April 26, if both deposits represent sell orders, this address will have fully liquidated its position, with an average deposit price of approximately $2,332. The address initially accumulated 3,700 $ETH at an average price of $1,973 in February. Over two months, this yielded a return of approximately 18.2%, generating an estimated profit of $1.328 million.
According to Arkham monitoring, two newly created whale addresses collectively purchased $103.16 million worth of ETH; their buying pattern closely matches Bitmine’s historical purchase records, suggesting a possible link to Tom Lee.
According to HyperBot data, the total open position value of the perpetual contract held by the whale associated with Matrixport has reached $81,379,845, with a total account net value of $40,076,832. From this morning to noon, the price of ETH continued to rise, and the floating profit on this address has reached $2 million.It currently holds 35,000 ETH, with a position value of approximately $81.38 million. The average entry price is $2,269, the current mark price is $2,325, and the estimated liquidation price for this position is $1,204.
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), on April 28, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $89.65 million. BlackRock’s IBIT led with an outflow of $112.22 million, followed by Bitwise’s BITB with an outflow of $13.65 million, and Fidelity’s FBTC with an outflow of $4.98 million. Ark’s ARKB recorded a net inflow of $41.20 million, while all other products remained flat.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), on April 28, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $21.8 million: BlackRock’s ETHA led with an outflow of $13.17 million, Grayscale’s ETHE followed with $6.91 million, and Fidelity’s FETH saw an outflow of $1.72 million; all other products remained flat.
according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time April 28) Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $21.8019 million.The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow yesterday was Blackrock's ETF ETHA, with a single-day net outflow of $13.1697 million. Currently, ETHA's historical total net outflow has reached $55.642 million.The next was Grayscale's Ethereum Trust ETF ETHE, with a single-day net outflow of $6.9149 million. Presently, ETHE's historical total net outflow has reached $5.254 billion.As of press time, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stands at $13.571 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Ethereum's total market cap) of 4.9%, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $12.026 billion.
According to SoSoValue data, as of yesterday (Eastern Time, April 28), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net outflows of $89.6754 million.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow was the ARKB ETF from Ark Invest and 21Shares, with a net inflow of $41.2021 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow for ARKB stands at $1.608 billion.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow was BlackRock's IBIT ETF, with a net outflow of $112 million. As of now, IBIT's historical total net inflow is $78.118 million.As of press time, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $100.390 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Bitcoin's total market cap) at 6.56%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $58.211 billion.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited 211,694 SOL into Binance today, worth $177,700. The whale withdrew 200,010 SOL from Kraken 11 months ago, when it was worth $353,900. Based on current prices, the whale is facing a loss of $17.62 million.
James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg, announced in a post that prediction market ETFs are expected to officially launch next week. Roundhill’s related application documents have been submitted, with an effective date set for May 5. The first batch of prediction market ETFs will be based on election outcomes regarding whether the U.S. House of Representatives or Senate will be controlled by the Democratic or Republican Party.
According to the official announcement, Binance will support the RIF Network upgrade and hard fork. Deposits and withdrawals of tokens on the Rootstock Infrastructure Framework (RIF) network will be suspended starting at 17:00 on May 4, 2026. The network upgrade and hard fork will occur at block height 8,804,200, approximately at 18:00 on May 4, 2026. Once the upgraded network stabilizes, deposits and withdrawals of tokens on this network will resume.
Bitget has launched a new edition of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 111,111 BLEND tokens. New users can earn up to 1,111 BLEND tokens per person by completing tasks such as net deposits and futures trading. Detailed rules have been published on the official Bitget platform. Eligible users must click the “Join Now” button to register in order to participate. The participation period ends on May 5 at 18:00 (UTC+8).
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), another newly created on-chain wallet received 20,000 $ETH (approximately $45.85 million) from FalconX; this wallet is suspected to belong to Bitmine. So far, newly created wallets suspected to be affiliated with Bitmine have collectively received 45,000 $ETH from BitGo and FalconX, with a total value of approximately $103 million.